CVD Reports on Congressional
Elections and Other Resources
Monopoly Politics
2004 (posted November 8, 2002)
Using results from the November 2002 House races, we are
able to make more than 350 projections in the 2004 US House races.
These projections will only change due to the creation of open seats
when members retire, die, lose in a primary or get kicked out of
office.
Dubious
Democracy 2003 (coming December 2002)
An update of our Dubious Democracy report that
contains 2002 election results
Mapping
our Future: A Public Interest Guide to Redistricting
A state-by-state guide to what governs redistricting in
each state, with information on the statutes governing redistricting,
litigation in the past decade, any reform efforts and legislation on
redistricting and an analysis of the political landscape in each
state. Updated regularly.
Youth Essay Contest
The Center conducted a national essay
contest with cash prizes on the question of why young people don't
vote. We received nearly 9,000 from all 50 states and several
foreign countries. We posted the prize-winning essays, along with
representatives from all the staets, as well as media coverage, unusual
essays and comments from judges.
Previous years' reports
Monopoly Politics
2002
Using a model that had a 99.9% accuracy in projecting
House winners from 1996-2000, the Center released over 330 projections
for the 2002 House races. Our projections were 100% accurate, and
allow us already to project over 350 winners in our Monopoly Politics 2004
report.
Dubious
Democracy 2001
An exhaustive collection of data from each state's
congressional elections on competitiveness, voter turnout, partisan
shares of the vote and seats, representation of women and minorities and
other measures of electoral health from 1982-2000 presented in an
attractive, easy-to-read format
Monopoly Politics
2000
A state-by-state, district- by-district list of
predictions and projected vote shares, along with information on
election results in each congressional district from 1992 to 1998. Check
out the accuracy of our
predictions.
Other resources
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Which incumbents got protected during
redistricting? Hint: It's got something to do with need.
(Oct 2002)
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Comparison of district partisanship and winning
percentage in 2000 US House elections
(October 2002)
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Some states became more competitive between the 1996 and 2000 presidential elections. Did these states
show an increase in voter turnout?
(July 2001)
- Results of the 2000 presidential race and projections for 2004(Februrary 2001)
- Comparison of competitiveness and
turnout in 1998 congressional elections (January 2001)
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Comparison of competitiveness and turnout by state in the 2000 presidential
election (January 2001)
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Democracy 6930 Carroll Ave. Suite 610 Takoma Park, MD
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