1998 Congressional Races
Ý
Competitivess vs Turnout
Correlation
-0.481
State
District
Margin
Turnout
Regression
AL
1
99.4%
27.4%
27.6%
AL
2
38.6%
44.9%
38.0%
AL
3
16.2%
40.8%
41.8%
AL
4
12.9%
43.6%
42.4%
AL
5
39.4%
44.7%
37.8%
AL
6
43.7%
48.8%
37.1%
AL
7
98.0%
34.2%
27.9%
AK
AL
28.0%
59.1%
39.8%
AZ
1
29.2%
33.4%
39.6%
AZ
2
39.8%
20.4%
37.8%
AZ
3
34.5%
44.7%
38.7%
AZ
4
33.5%
34.2%
38.9%
AZ
5
6.4%
43.2%
43.5%
AZ
6
9.4%
47.4%
43.0%
AR
1
0.0%
0.0%
44.6%
AR
2
15.9%
39.8%
41.9%
AR
3
80.7%
43.5%
30.8%
AR
4
15.0%
37.4%
42.0%
CA
1
29.0%
46.5%
39.6%
CA
2
28.0%
48.3%
39.8%
CA
3
7.4%
45.9%
43.3%
CA
4
28.2%
58.1%
39.8%
CA
5
45.9%
43.1%
36.7%
CA
6
38.3%
52.4%
38.0%
CA
7
53.3%
38.9%
35.5%
CA
8
73.8%
35.8%
32.0%
CA
9
69.6%
38.0%
32.7%
CA
10
10.0%
55.1%
42.9%
CA
11
25.2%
38.4%
40.3%
CA
12
52.9%
37.9%
35.6%
CA
13
44.6%
33.5%
37.0%
CA
14
40.2%
41.3%
37.7%
CA
15
22.6%
41.6%
40.7%
CA
16
49.4%
28.7%
36.1%
CA
17
31.9%
38.2%
39.1%
CA
18
86.8%
35.0%
29.8%
CA
19
79.4%
40.8%
31.0%
CA
20
21.5%
26.7%
40.9%
CA
21
78.9%
36.9%
31.1%
CA
22
12.1%
45.6%
42.5%
CA
23
20.1%
38.8%
41.1%
CA
24
18.8%
40.0%
41.4%
CA
25
74.7%
36.8%
31.8%
CA
26
82.5%
20.4%
30.5%
CA
27
4.3%
35.7%
43.8%
CA
28
18.4%
37.1%
41.4%
CA
29
51.3%
35.8%
35.8%
CA
30
62.5%
17.2%
33.9%
CA
31
47.4%
21.7%
36.5%
CA
32
75.4%
29.7%
31.7%
CA
33
74.4%
12.9%
31.9%
CA
34
39.0%
28.1%
37.9%
CA
35
89.3%
22.7%
29.3%
CA
36
2.3%
39.3%
44.2%
CA
37
70.1%
21.9%
32.6%
CA
38
8.6%
31.0%
43.1%
CA
39
28.7%
36.1%
39.7%
CA
40
33.0%
36.8%
38.9%
CA
41
12.5%
32.1%
42.4%
CA
42
15.0%
29.5%
42.0%
CA
43
17.9%
37.2%
41.5%
CA
44
24.3%
38.7%
40.4%
CA
45
21.3%
35.7%
40.9%
CA
46
17.1%
21.0%
41.6%
CA
47
38.1%
44.4%
38.1%
CA
48
76.9%
42.4%
31.5%
CA
49
2.2%
38.7%
44.2%
CA
50
99.2%
19.6%
27.7%
CA
51
26.4%
47.8%
40.1%
CA
52
75.7%
37.0%
31.7%
CO
1
36.8%
41.0%
38.3%
CO
2
2.4%
56.0%
44.2%
CO
3
34.7%
58.6%
38.7%
CO
4
18.7%
55.8%
41.4%
CO
5
46.8%
54.3%
36.6%
CO
6
14.4%
49.0%
42.1%
CT
1
16.7%
39.5%
41.7%
CT
2
26.5%
37.4%
40.1%
CT
3
44.6%
35.6%
37.0%
CT
4
39.6%
31.9%
37.8%
CT
5
1.5%
37.1%
44.3%
CT
6
19.0%
40.3%
41.3%
DE
AL
34.5%
35.9%
38.7%
FL
1
99.5%
33.6%
27.6%
FL
2
95.2%
34.7%
28.3%
FL
3
10.9%
30.0%
42.7%
FL
4
0.0%
0.0%
44.6%
FL
5
66.3%
43.3%
33.3%
FL
6
0.0%
0.0%
44.6%
FL
7
0.0%
0.0%
44.6%
FL
8
31.6%
36.3%
39.2%
FL
9
0.0%
0.0%
44.6%
FL
10
0.0%
0.0%
44.6%
FL
11
29.7%
30.5%
39.5%
FL
12
0.0%
0.0%
44.6%
FL
13
0.0%
0.0%
44.6%
FL
14
0.0%
0.0%
44.6%
FL
15
26.2%
46.5%
40.1%
FL
16
0.0%
0.0%
44.6%
FL
17
0.0%
0.0%
44.6%
FL
18
0.0%
0.0%
44.6%
FL
19
0.0%
0.0%
44.6%
FL
20
0.0%
0.0%
44.6%
FL
21
49.5%
26.5%
36.1%
FL
22
0.0%
0.0%
44.6%
FL
23
0.0%
0.0%
44.6%
GA
1
100.0%
21.5%
27.5%
GA
2
13.6%
33.0%
42.3%
GA
3
100.0%
28.7%
27.5%
GA
4
22.1%
36.8%
40.8%
GA
5
57.0%
31.5%
34.8%
GA
6
41.4%
53.2%
37.5%
GA
7
10.7%
36.0%
42.7%
GA
8
24.7%
33.1%
40.4%
GA
9
100.0%
28.1%
27.5%
GA
10
19.2%
33.9%
41.3%
GA
11
38.6%
42.3%
38.0%
HI
1
25.2%
43.9%
40.3%
HI
2
45.1%
52.5%
36.9%
ID
1
10.5%
57.1%
42.8%
ID
2
7.8%
51.1%
43.2%
IL
1
76.5%
41.6%
31.5%
IL
2
79.7%
41.4%
31.0%
IL
3
45.0%
36.2%
36.9%
IL
4
65.9%
17.3%
33.3%
IL
5
47.9%
27.7%
36.4%
IL
6
37.2%
37.9%
38.2%
IL
7
92.9%
34.6%
28.7%
IL
8
37.3%
36.1%
38.2%
IL
9
51.5%
31.0%
35.8%
IL
10
100.0%
32.5%
27.5%
IL
11
17.6%
41.0%
41.6%
IL
12
20.7%
39.2%
41.0%
IL
13
22.0%
48.4%
40.8%
IL
14
39.5%
41.3%
37.8%
IL
15
23.2%
39.1%
40.6%
IL
16
100.0%
34.6%
27.5%
IL
17
3.1%
45.4%
44.0%
IL
18
100.0%
37.4%
27.5%
IL
19
16.6%
49.0%
41.7%
IL
20
22.6%
46.5%
40.7%
IN
1
46.3%
31.9%
36.7%
IN
2
22.6%
39.5%
40.7%
IN
3
16.2%
35.7%
41.8%
IN
4
26.6%
37.3%
40.0%
IN
5
26.5%
40.3%
40.1%
IN
6
55.3%
46.1%
35.1%
IN
7
40.7%
38.1%
37.6%
IN
8
6.1%
42.2%
43.5%
IN
9
2.8%
45.3%
44.1%
IN
10
19.0%
29.1%
41.3%
IA
1
14.3%
45.5%
42.1%
IA
2
11.2%
46.4%
42.7%
IA
3
15.7%
45.4%
41.9%
IA
4
31.3%
48.4%
39.2%
IA
5
99.2%
33.0%
27.6%
KS
1
61.3%
41.9%
34.1%
KS
2
21.9%
38.9%
40.8%
KS
3
4.8%
43.3%
43.8%
KS
4
19.7%
36.2%
41.2%
KY
1
10.4%
37.5%
42.8%
KY
2
28.3%
39.7%
39.7%
KY
3
4.0%
42.0%
43.9%
KY
4
6.8%
38.9%
43.4%
KY
5
56.5%
41.2%
34.9%
KY
6
7.2%
42.2%
43.4%
LA
1
0.0%
0.0%
44.6%
LA
2
86.0%
28.0%
29.9%
LA
3
0.0%
0.0%
44.6%
LA
4
0.0%
0.0%
44.6%
LA
5
0.0%
0.0%
44.6%
LA
6
1.5%
44.1%
44.3%
LA
7
0.0%
0.0%
44.6%
ME
1
24.8%
46.5%
40.3%
ME
2
52.4%
43.6%
35.6%
MD
1
38.4%
43.1%
38.0%
MD
2
38.7%
46.0%
38.0%
MD
3
55.2%
38.6%
35.2%
MD
4
71.4%
33.7%
32.4%
MD
5
30.7%
43.1%
39.3%
MD
6
26.8%
45.0%
40.0%
MD
7
71.5%
29.4%
32.4%
MD
8
20.7%
48.4%
41.0%
MA
1
43.4%
37.1%
37.2%
MA
2
100.0%
28.8%
27.5%
MA
3
15.7%
40.9%
41.9%
MA
4
100.0%
32.2%
27.5%
MA
5
41.5%
40.4%
37.5%
MA
6
12.6%
44.6%
42.4%
MA
7
41.3%
40.0%
37.5%
MA
8
75.2%
23.0%
31.8%
MA
9
100.0%
31.9%
27.5%
MA
10
40.1%
50.5%
37.7%
MI
1
19.5%
50.5%
41.2%
MI
2
39.6%
50.7%
37.8%
MI
3
49.5%
47.1%
36.1%
MI
4
100.0%
36.5%
27.5%
MI
5
44.9%
44.6%
36.9%
MI
6
42.8%
37.1%
37.3%
MI
7
17.8%
41.9%
41.5%
MI
8
19.5%
48.5%
41.2%
MI
9
14.3%
43.9%
42.1%
MI
10
7.3%
46.8%
43.3%
MI
11
30.9%
49.6%
39.3%
MI
12
14.1%
41.9%
42.2%
MI
13
18.8%
38.0%
41.4%
MI
14
77.3%
34.8%
31.4%
MI
15
78.8%
29.1%
31.1%
MI
16
36.4%
39.2%
38.4%
MN
1
9.5%
60.1%
43.0%
MN
2
18.9%
66.9%
41.3%
MN
3
48.4%
71.0%
36.3%
MN
4
13.9%
58.4%
42.2%
MN
5
39.3%
50.1%
37.9%
MN
6
4.0%
77.9%
43.9%
MN
7
43.6%
60.1%
37.1%
MN
8
39.5%
66.2%
37.8%
MS
1
36.5%
26.6%
38.3%
MS
2
71.2%
32.7%
32.4%
MS
3
84.6%
27.1%
30.1%
MS
4
8.5%
37.3%
43.1%
MS
5
59.0%
27.3%
34.5%
MO
1
48.1%
29.8%
36.4%
MO
2
41.7%
48.2%
37.5%
MO
3
13.8%
41.1%
42.2%
MO
4
43.8%
44.6%
37.1%
MO
5
35.0%
35.9%
38.6%
MO
6
44.1%
45.9%
37.0%
MO
7
48.3%
41.7%
36.3%
MO
8
26.9%
39.8%
40.0%
MO
9
26.8%
45.2%
40.0%
MT
AL
8.6%
57.5%
43.1%
NE
1
47.1%
47.5%
36.5%
NE
2
31.3%
43.0%
39.2%
NE
3
84.3%
46.8%
30.2%
NV
1
3.6%
35.2%
44.0%
NV
2
81.1%
55.3%
30.7%
NH
1
33.7%
37.6%
38.8%
NH
2
8.4%
38.9%
43.1%
NJ
1
50.6%
28.3%
35.9%
NJ
2
35.1%
31.4%
38.6%
NJ
3
26.9%
34.8%
40.0%
NJ
4
27.2%
33.1%
39.9%
NJ
5
30.5%
36.9%
39.4%
NJ
6
16.7%
30.0%
41.7%
NJ
7
8.1%
31.7%
43.2%
NJ
8
26.6%
28.3%
40.0%
NJ
9
30.8%
29.4%
39.3%
NJ
10
72.7%
22.2%
32.2%
NJ
11
38.1%
32.5%
38.1%
NJ
12
2.9%
40.5%
44.1%
NJ
13
63.4%
19.3%
33.8%
NM
1
6.6%
48.2%
43.5%
NM
2
15.9%
41.9%
41.9%
NM
3
9.9%
49.5%
42.9%
NY
1
28.3%
35.8%
39.8%
NY
2
36.7%
29.3%
38.3%
NY
3
29.4%
40.0%
39.6%
NY
4
6.0%
38.0%
43.6%
NY
5
31.9%
32.4%
39.1%
NY
6
100.0%
17.5%
27.5%
NY
7
43.4%
15.6%
37.2%
NY
8
72.0%
27.0%
32.3%
NY
9
43.0%
22.3%
37.2%
NY
10
86.1%
21.7%
29.9%
NY
11
81.3%
20.2%
30.7%
NY
12
72.0%
15.3%
32.3%
NY
13
30.6%
26.2%
39.4%
NY
14
54.8%
27.9%
35.2%
NY
15
87.3%
22.2%
29.7%
NY
16
92.0%
18.3%
28.9%
NY
17
76.0%
21.0%
31.6%
NY
18
82.8%
23.6%
30.5%
NY
19
28.7%
37.8%
39.7%
NY
20
19.5%
39.4%
41.2%
NY
21
48.4%
43.8%
36.3%
NY
22
13.3%
44.5%
42.3%
NY
23
80.8%
31.6%
30.8%
NY
24
58.0%
34.6%
34.7%
NY
25
38.8%
40.1%
38.0%
NY
26
30.5%
39.2%
39.4%
NY
27
14.6%
41.0%
42.1%
NY
28
34.0%
41.8%
38.8%
NY
29
16.3%
38.6%
41.8%
NY
30
35.5%
38.8%
38.5%
NY
31
42.7%
36.9%
37.3%
NC
1
25.3%
34.2%
40.3%
NC
2
15.7%
41.7%
41.9%
NC
3
24.8%
32.7%
40.3%
NC
4
15.9%
52.4%
41.9%
NC
5
35.9%
41.2%
38.4%
NC
6
88.6%
29.7%
29.5%
NC
7
91.3%
32.9%
29.0%
NC
8
2.5%
33.0%
44.1%
NC
9
39.8%
41.3%
37.8%
NC
10
85.6%
32.9%
30.0%
NC
11
14.4%
46.3%
42.1%
NC
12
13.8%
35.8%
42.2%
ND
AL
15.1%
45.9%
42.0%
OH
1
6.0%
41.5%
43.6%
OH
2
51.6%
48.8%
35.8%
OH
3
38.6%
38.4%
38.0%
OH
4
27.6%
42.1%
39.9%
OH
5
33.4%
45.2%
38.9%
OH
6
13.9%
42.9%
42.2%
OH
7
39.5%
42.6%
37.8%
OH
8
41.5%
43.5%
37.5%
OH
9
62.4%
38.3%
33.9%
OH
10
33.5%
38.1%
38.9%
OH
11
67.4%
33.8%
33.1%
OH
12
34.3%
44.3%
38.7%
OH
13
23.1%
45.8%
40.6%
OH
14
25.4%
39.0%
40.2%
OH
15
37.3%
39.1%
38.2%
OH
16
28.0%
43.7%
39.8%
OH
17
36.4%
42.4%
38.4%
OH
18
20.5%
44.6%
41.1%
OH
19
32.8%
43.7%
39.0%
OK
1
23.6%
38.1%
40.6%
OK
2
17.9%
38.8%
41.5%
OK
3
23.9%
37.4%
40.5%
OK
4
23.0%
35.4%
40.6%
OK
5
36.4%
39.0%
38.4%
OK
6
31.8%
34.3%
39.2%
OR
1
3.1%
54.7%
44.0%
OR
2
27.7%
49.6%
39.8%
OR
3
100.0%
36.0%
27.5%
OR
4
42.1%
52.1%
37.4%
OR
5
15.1%
51.6%
42.0%
PA
1
64.6%
23.2%
33.6%
PA
2
73.1%
27.1%
32.1%
PA
3
18.7%
25.5%
41.4%
PA
4
27.6%
37.4%
39.9%
PA
5
84.9%
27.2%
30.1%
PA
6
22.0%
32.2%
40.8%
PA
7
43.6%
37.8%
37.1%
PA
8
30.6%
35.2%
39.3%
PA
9
99.5%
29.6%
27.6%
PA
10
0.3%
40.4%
44.5%
PA
11
33.7%
30.2%
38.8%
PA
12
37.0%
34.0%
38.3%
PA
13
5.0%
42.0%
43.7%
PA
14
22.2%
30.6%
40.8%
PA
15
10.0%
34.2%
42.9%
PA
16
41.1%
32.6%
37.6%
PA
17
100.0%
26.9%
27.5%
PA
18
35.4%
32.5%
38.5%
PA
19
39.1%
33.0%
37.9%
PA
20
100.0%
22.4%
27.5%
PA
21
26.8%
35.1%
40.0%
RI
1
39.1%
35.3%
37.9%
RI
2
47.2%
40.1%
36.5%
SC
1
91.0%
30.4%
29.0%
SC
2
16.8%
48.1%
41.7%
SC
3
99.7%
29.8%
27.6%
SC
4
17.5%
41.7%
41.6%
SC
5
17.5%
38.9%
41.6%
SC
6
46.8%
39.0%
36.6%
SD
AL
50.2%
52.0%
36.0%
TN
1
38.3%
23.8%
38.0%
TN
2
88.6%
24.6%
29.5%
TN
3
33.4%
27.7%
38.9%
TN
4
19.2%
26.0%
41.3%
TN
5
82.8%
21.6%
30.4%
TN
6
9.3%
34.4%
43.0%
TN
7
99.5%
23.2%
27.6%
TN
8
100.0%
19.1%
27.5%
TN
9
59.9%
24.3%
34.4%
TX
1
18.8%
32.7%
41.4%
TX
2
17.7%
33.8%
41.6%
TX
3
91.2%
27.8%
29.0%
TX
4
16.7%
34.8%
41.7%
TX
5
12.3%
26.7%
42.5%
TX
6
47.0%
37.5%
36.6%
TX
7
93.3%
28.8%
28.7%
TX
8
92.8%
32.6%
28.7%
TX
9
27.3%
32.9%
39.9%
TX
10
85.2%
31.7%
30.0%
TX
11
82.4%
20.9%
30.5%
TX
12
25.7%
26.1%
40.2%
TX
13
36.9%
29.2%
38.3%
TX
14
10.8%
37.6%
42.7%
TX
15
16.7%
22.2%
41.7%
TX
16
87.9%
20.0%
29.6%
TX
17
8.3%
34.1%
43.2%
TX
18
89.9%
22.1%
29.2%
TX
19
67.3%
32.1%
33.1%
TX
20
27.6%
20.0%
39.9%
TX
21
91.4%
42.9%
29.0%
TX
22
31.5%
33.0%
39.2%
TX
23
28.7%
30.6%
39.7%
TX
24
16.5%
24.8%
41.8%
TX
25
16.5%
25.0%
41.8%
TX
26
88.1%
32.3%
29.5%
TX
27
28.1%
25.6%
39.8%
TX
28
90.5%
20.8%
29.1%
TX
29
94.7%
12.3%
28.4%
TX
30
45.5%
19.5%
36.8%
UT
1
37.3%
44.9%
38.2%
UT
2
9.3%
46.9%
43.0%
UT
3
76.9%
36.9%
31.5%
VT
AL
32.9%
51.3%
39.0%
VA
1
76.4%
23.9%
31.5%
VA
2
94.3%
17.2%
28.5%
VA
3
76.0%
15.3%
31.6%
VA
4
97.0%
16.0%
28.0%
VA
5
98.9%
17.1%
27.7%
VA
6
38.6%
29.4%
38.0%
VA
7
78.7%
23.0%
31.1%
VA
8
33.6%
32.2%
38.8%
VA
9
21.8%
33.0%
40.8%
VA
10
46.4%
35.2%
36.7%
VA
11
81.7%
26.7%
30.6%
WA
1
5.7%
56.6%
43.6%
WA
2
10.4%
56.7%
42.8%
WA
3
9.3%
56.1%
43.0%
WA
4
44.7%
46.2%
37.0%
WA
5
18.9%
48.4%
41.4%
WA
6
36.7%
51.9%
38.3%
WA
7
88.2%
46.2%
29.5%
WA
8
19.5%
58.3%
41.3%
WA
9
29.4%
43.6%
39.6%
WV
1
84.7%
27.2%
30.1%
WV
2
51.6%
30.4%
35.8%
WV
3
86.6%
20.5%
29.8%
WI
1
14.4%
47.8%
42.1%
WI
2
5.8%
53.8%
43.6%
WI
3
43.1%
45.1%
37.2%
WI
4
16.0%
44.6%
41.8%
WI
5
56.6%
39.1%
34.9%
WI
6
92.6%
38.9%
28.8%
WI
7
21.3%
48.2%
40.9%
WI
8
9.2%
52.0%
43.0%
WI
9
91.3%
48.6%
29.0%
WY
AL
19.1%
54.8%
41.3%