Race and Cambridge Elections

Choice Voting In
Action
History of African-American
Success in Cambridge
New brochure
on choice voting in Cambridge

Cambridge, Massachusetts ��� Choice Voting Fact
Sheet
Background Information
-
Cambridge has a 9-member City Council ��� The PR
threshold is 10%.
-
Cambridge has a 6-member
School Committee ��� The PR threshold is 14%.
-
Even with the thresholds above, African-Americans
have been able to elect representatives to both bodies in almost
every election in the 1960���s and 1970���s ��� with between 5-10% of
the total population. Hence, African-Americans held a higher
percentage of political seats than their proportion of the total
population.
-
Once African-Americans crossed over 10% of the
Voting Age Population in 1980, they have always had representation
on both bodies, sometimes with even two representatives on a body
(1971: two city councilors, 1993 & 1997: two school committee
members, 2001: two city councilors & two school committee
members).
-
PR has allowed women to achieve much greater
representation than in other methods of election. Between 1997 and
2001, the City Council and School Committee had female
representation between 1/3 and 2/3 of each body.
-
Choice Voting has survived legal challenges, most
recently in 1996. The Supreme Court of Massachusetts deemed Choice
Voting to be constitutionally valid. Note though, that the
legislature has repealed the Plan E form of PR government, with
Cambridge made an exception. Other municipalities may not now
switch to Choice Voting. There have also been 5 referenda to
repeal Choice Voting, but they all failed.
Racially Cohesive Voting
-
African-American voters in Cambridge tend to vote
along racial lines (as to other groups, such as
Italian-Americans). Despite the existence of political ���slate���
endorsements, African-American candidates on different slates will
all receive support from African-American voters. In 2001, Denise
Simmons and Ken Reeves��� 1st choice voters most often put the other
candidate as their 2nd choice.
-
Precincts with high African-American populations
also gave the most support to African-American candidates. In
2001, Ward 2/Precinct 1 overwhelmingly gave its 1st choice votes
to the African-American candidates for City Council and School
Committee. This pattern appeared throughout the
city.
-
This cohesive voting allowed Simmons and Reeves to
both be elected in 2001, as Ethridge King, a third
African-American candidate, transferred enough votes to the other
two, to elect them.
Choice Voting vs. Traditional
Voting
-
In Choice Voting, in 2001 Harding and Price (two
African-Americans) were both elected to the school committee.
Under a simulated winner-take-all election, Price would lose. In
1999, Ken Reeves (the only African-American candidate) won a city
council seat with a margin of 314, due in part to transferred
support from losing candidates. Under a simulated winner-take-all
election, his lead shrinks to 45 votes, so that a change in 23
votes would cause him to lose.

History of African-American Success in
Cambridge The
Cambridge city council consists of nine members elected at-large,
and the school committee consists of six members elected at-large.
Both city elections use the Choice Voting method of proportional
representation. In city council elections, a cohesive voting-bloc of
10% of the total population can guarantee their choice of one city
council member, and a voting-bloc of approximately 14% can guarantee
their choice of one school committee member. In 1903, before
proportional representation was adopted, the first African-American,
James Lew, was elected to the school committee. After his retirement
in 1908, the community wouldn���t have representation on the committee
for more than half a century. From 1941-1957, the African-American
population in Cambridge was less than 5% of the population, and
never elected an African-American member of the city council or
school committee. It wasn���t until 1959, after proportional
representation was adopted and the African-American population
neared 5.3%, that they were able to elect a school committee member,
Gustave Solomons. Solomons was subsequently re-elected to five
consecutive terms on the school committee. In 1963, after decades
without represenation, Cambridge elected an African-American council
member, Thomas Coates. Note though, that 10% is needed to guarantee
a city council seat, but the population was only around 5.3% at this
point. Hence, while Coates was re-elected in 1965, no
African-Americans were elected in 1967. Coates eventually won his
seat back in 1969, but as you can see, electoral success can be
precarious with such a small percentage of the population. See Table A Below
By 1970, Cambridge���s African-American population reached
6.8%, and in the following year���s election, two African-Americans
were elected to the city council. With only approximately 7% of the
population then, African-Americans held 22% of the city���s council
seats. Unfortunately, the victory was not a long-lived one, as only
one of the candidates was re-elected in the next election. Saundra
Graham, however, ended up serving nearly two decades and nine terms
on the council. The school committee elections during this period,
on the other hand, were not as stable for African-Americans. From
this group, one member was elected in 1971 and re-elected in 1973,
but African-Americans had no representation in the 1975 and 1977
elections. Finally, in 1979 Henrietta Attles was elected for two
terms, followed by Fran Cooper for four terms. Note that in 1980,
the African-American population in Cambridge finally crossed 10%,
the percentage of the population needed to guarantee a council
representative. Ever since then, African-Americans have been able to
elect members to the city council, and even on the school committee.
Sometimes, the group has held more than one seat on the council or
school committee, as happened in 1993, 1997, and 2001. The level and
consistency of this electoral success would not likely be possible
under a traditional at-large, winner-take-all system, because a
majority 51% of the population could dominate all 9 seats. In
addition, the Cambridge African-American population is
geographically dispersed, making super-majority, single-member
districts unfeasible. It is important to keep in mind though, that
Choice Voting is not a guaranteed quota system. A 10% citywide
population of African-Americans does not automatically get a seat on
the council, merely an opportunity. For example, the Asian-American
voting-age population in Cambridge is 12.3%. This is a significant
figure, in that this group has crossed the 10% threshold needed to
elect a city council member, and is very close to the near 14%
needed to elect a school committee member. In spite of this, this
group has not yet elected an Asian-American candidate, nor run a
candidate, even as the Asian-American percentage of the city
population has increased from 3.8% in 1980, to 8.4% in 1990, and 12%
in 2000. According to some accounts however, there is an
explanation for this. The Asian-American population is mainly driven
by those who are students at Harvard and MIT, and most students
never vote in local elections. This perception is confirmed by the
fact that the Asian-American voting-age population is larger than
the overall Asian-American population. Typically when minority
groups relocate or expand in an area, the overall population
percentages will be higher than the group���s corresponding voting-age
population, as children will make up a large part of the group���s
membership. The fact that the Asian-American population is largely a
student population helps explain why the voting-age figures are
larger. In contrast, African-Americans make up 11.9% of the overall
population, but only 10.1% of the voting-age population, while
Hispanics are 7.4% and 6.5%, respectively. The Hispanic community
being so small, has had limited success in electing members to
represent them. There have been two members elected to the school
committee from that group, Susana Segat and Sara Garcia. Garcia
however, was only a one-term member, and though she ran with the
community���s support likely won due to the fact that she was endorsed
as part of the CCA���s slate, as 14% is needed to win. Segat, on the
other hand, has won numerous terms on the committee, as a CCA
candidate, however some accounts indicate that the Cambridge
Hispanic community does not feel that she has represented them.
Segat tends to win with CCA support and by playing to different
groups, especially labor unions. Despite this, African-Americans
have formed a cohesive voting block, as many of their families have
been fully integrated into Cambridge civic life for several
generations. Like other longtime residents and city natives,
African-Americans generally vote in every election. Some accounts
indicate that these voters tend to vote pretty solidly for black
candidates for school committee, and largely so for City Council,
but to a lesser extent. So, as you can see a high minority
population is not in itself determinative of electoral success, but
it certainly provides a significantly greater opportunity under a
proportional representation system. Further dampening the strength
and cohesiveness of minority voting groups is the fact that the
voting-age population figures do not take into account whether
members of the racial groups are citizens and how long they have
been in Cambridge. The 1990 Census data indicates that 22.3% of the
city���s population was foreign-born in that year.
Another interesting aspect of Cambridge���s
political representation, is that it has afforded women nearly proportional
electoral success. In 2001 both the school committee and the city council were
1/3 female, and in 1999 the school committee was 2/3
female, while the city council was 1/3 female. Lastly,
in 1997 the school committee was 2/3
female, while the city council was nearly 45% female. Women in
countries using PR generally comprise somewhere in the range
of 25% - 35% of elected officials, as opposed to less than
5% here most U.S. cities. Hence, Cambridge���s elections reflect the international trend
of providing women greater representation through PR. Table A: Cambridge
African-American City Council & School Committee
Representation (format: Year #C.C.-#S.C.)
1941
0-0 |
1971
2-1 |
1943
0-0 |
1973
1-1 |
1945
0-0 |
1975
1-0 |
1947
0-0 |
1977
1-0 |
1949
0-0 |
1979
1-1 |
1950
Afr-Amer population = 4.3% |
1980 Afr-Amer
population = 10.9% |
1951
0-0 |
1981
1-1 |
1953
0-0 |
1983
1-1 |
1955
0-0 |
1985
1-1 |
1957
0-0 |
1987
1-1 |
1959
0-1 |
1989
1-1 |
1960 Afr-Amer
population = 5.3% |
1990 Afr-Amer
population = 13.5% |
1961
0-1 |
1991
1-1 |
1963
1-1 |
1993
1-2 |
1965
1-1 |
1995
1-1 |
1967
0-1 |
1997
1-2 |
1969
1-0 |
1999
1-1 |
1970 Afr-Amer
population = 6.8% |
2000 Afr-Amer
population = 11.9% |
| < TD
>
Slate Analysis & Race - 2001 City Council
Elections
In Cambridge,
voters tend to follow along lines of voting for the progressive
Cambridge Civic Association (CCA) slate endorsements or else voting
along independent lines. The official CCA candidates in 2001 were
Davis, Murphy, Pitkin, Simmons, King, and Pitkin. Decker was not a
CCA candidate, but her voters were for the most part. The
independent candidates were Galluccio, Maher, Reeves, Sullivan, and
Toomey. Note that Reeves is generally seen as a liberal, though he
no longer has the endorsement of the CCA. Following the distribution
of 2nd choice votes, several trends emerge. If a white CCA candidate
was chosen as a 1st choice, an African-American CCA candidate never
received the most or even the 2nd most 2nd choice votes. (insert
table) If a white, independent, non-CCA candidate was chosen as a
1st choice, an African-American non-CCA candidate never received the
most or even the 3rd most 2nd choice votes, and an African-American
CCA candidate did even worse, garnering not even the 7th most 2nd
choice votes. Further evidence of racially polarized voting lies in
the analysis of the two strongest African-American candidates,
Denise Simmons and Ken Reeves (as determined by # of 1st choice
votes). Simmons was a CCA slate candidate and Reeves was an
independent, non-CCA candidate. Simmons voters broke the slate lines
to give Reeves the largest percentage of their 2nd choice votes.
Likewise, Reeves voters broke slate lines to give Simmons the
largest number of 2nd choice votes. So essentially, those voting for
white candidates first tended not to vote for African-American
candidates of similar politics, but those voting for
African-American candidates first tended to vote for other
African-American candidates next, regardless of slate endorsements.
For example, Simmons received between 12-13% of 2nd choice votes
from those voting for white CCA candidates, but received 34.6% of
Reeves' 2nd choice votes. Likewise, Reeves received a paltry 3-8% of
2nd choice votes from other non-CCA candidates, but received 20.8%
of Simmons' 2nd choice votes. In short, racially cohesive voting was
a factor in electing both Simmons and Reeves. See Table B Below
Under the Choice Voting system, both candidates needed 10% of
the vote, 1713 votes in this case, in order to be elected. By the
12th count, out of 14 counts, neither of them had crossed the
threshold. However, in the 13th count, a CCA endorsed, weaker
African-American candidate, Ethridge King, was eliminated, and
transferred enough votes to Simmons to push her over the winning
threshold, and transferred 120 of his 587 votes to Reeves - which
allowed Reeves to overcome the last remaining challenger in the
election, even though Reeves and King were not running on the same
slate. In fact, had this been a traditional winner-take-all
election, King could have jeopardized the election of Reeves. King
received 378 votes, while the margin separating Reeves from election
or defeat was only 124 votes. In a traditional election, a stronger
King could've sapped more votes from black voters, thus causing
Reeves to lose along with him. Choice Voting allowed
African-American voters to vote for King without worrying about
their vote actually working against them. Lastly, Reeves was an
independent, non-CCA candidate, yet his 1st choice supporters gave
King, a CCA candidate, virtually the same percentage of 2nd choice
votes as did those voting for CCA candidates first. Specifically, of
the voters who chose a CCA-endorsed candidate as their 1st choice,
3.6%-6.1% supported fellow slate-member, King as their next choice.
For those voters choosing a white, non-CCA candidate as their first
choice, only between 0.4%-2.4% selected King as their 2nd choice.
Reeves��� voters though, crossed political lines to vote for King 5.6%
of the time, nearly the same percentage as the CCA candidates.
Meanwhile, Simmons and Reeves, the two other African-American
candidates, had the highest percentages of 2nd choice votes for
King. Anecdotal accounts also indicate that Simmons and Reeves have
also translated their support from African-American voters into
support for issues of importance to African-Americans. Simmons
especially was known for consistent support of African-American
educational opportunities during her long tenure on the school
committee. Crossover voting of the type described above has also
been seen for other ethnic groups too. For example, in at least one
early 1990���s election, the Cambridge Italian-American population
gave much support in terms of 1st and 2nd choice votes to two
Italian-American candidates, even though they were running on
opposing slates. Table
B: 2001 African-American City Council
Candidates (All figures based upon top ten candidates &
includes Decker as CCA)
Denise Simmons (CCA
Candidate): Avg. % of 2nd Choice Votes received from White Ind.
Candidates: 3.1% Avg. % of 2nd Choice Votes received from White
CCA Candidates: 12.95% % of 2nd Choice Votes received from Reeves
(Ind.): 34.6%
Kenneth Reeves
(independent candidate): Avg. % of 2nd Choice Votes received from
White Ind. Candidates: 4.675% Avg. % of 2nd Choice Votes Received
from White CCA Candidates: 5.075% % of 2nd Choice Votes received
from Simmons (CCA): 20.8%
Ethridge King (CCA
Candidate): Avg. % of 2nd Choice Votes received from White Ind.
Candidates: 1.225% Avg. % of 2nd Choice Votes received from
White CCA Candidates: 5.15% % of 2nd Choice Votes received from
Reeves (Ind.): 5.6% % of 2nd Choice
Votes received from Simmons (CCA): 6.1% 2001 School Committee
Elections & Race
In the 2001 School Committee Elections, another
interesting dynamic appears. Harding was the African-American
candidate supported by a large African-American population, while
Price was the African-American candidate supported by a large white,
liberal population. The largely African-American Harding voters were
the most racially cohesive voters, as the largest percentage of
their votes were ���bullet��� votes. 24.2% of Harding voters only voted
for Harding, and did not list any 2nd choice votes, despite the fact
that Harding was part of the CCA slate, which contained five other
candidates. Price, the other African-American candidate, still
received the highest amount of 2nd choice votes from Harding voters
as their first choice vote. The largely white Price voters, on the
other hand, selected the white candidate, Turkel, the most often as
their 2nd choice, though Harding still did well. In addition, those
voters selecting white CCA candidates as their first choice never
gave the most 2nd choice votes to an African-American CCA candidate.
In fact, two white CCA candidates only gave between 2.9-4.6% of
their 2nd choice votes to Harding. He actually usually did better
than this with people running against his slate, as the non-CCA
candidates gave Harding between 3.5-11.3% of their 2nd choice
votes. Precinct Analysis Precinct and ward returns have shown that
African-Americans in the city though, do tend to engage in cohesive
voting. In the 2001 school committee elections, for example,
African-American candidate Richard Harding was elected, with most of
his core support of 1st choice votes coming from precincts with
strong African-American populations. Ward 2 has a large
African-American constituency, and gave 41% of its 1st choice votes
to Harding, the largest percentage given to any candidate. The next
highest candidate only received 10% of 1st choice votes in the ward.
Similarly, in Wards 1, 7, 8, and 9, which have very low
African-American populations, Harding���s share of 1st choice votes
dropped to 3 or 4%. In fact, this racially cohesive voting spills
over to the City Council races too. For example, Harding received
the most 1st choice votes in six precincts in the city, and those
same six precincts all gave either Simmons or Reeves the most 1st
choice votes: W2/P1, W2/P2, W3/P4, W4/P4, W5/P4, and W6/P1.
Moreover, in all but one of those precincts, Simmons and Reeves came
in 1st and 2nd. The election of Harding and Price also elucidates
yet another point about Choice Voting: this method is not a quota
system, as demonstrated by the fact that in 2001 African-Americans
held 33% of the school committee seats, while only making up 10% of
the voting-age population. Proportional representation, it should be
noted, does not limit African-American representation to its
percentage of the population. In 1999, a similar dynamic existed in
the school committee elections. There were three African-American
candidates: Denise Simmons, Don Harding, and Alvin Thompson. Harding
and Thompson were eventually eliminated, but voters for both
candidates supported Simmons the most often as their 2nd choice,
offering her between 20 and 30% of their second choice votes. Those
votes helped propel Simmons to reelection. Choice Voting vs.
Traditional Winner-Take-All Elections
The Choice Voting system in
Cambridge has many clear advantages for minority representation over
the traditional winner-take-all method of election. By allowing for
proportional representation, Choice Voting only requires that a
minority population is at least 10% of the total population in order
to guarantee a City Council seat or 14% for a school committee seat.
Under a typical winner-take-all system, a 51% white-majority can
dominate all nine seats of the council or all six seats of the
committee. In the 1999 City Council race, Ken Reeves was the only
African-American running. Under the choice voting system, he was the
8th candidate elected, out of nine seats to be filled. He was 314
votes ahead of the candidate defeated in the final round, which is a
sizeable margin at that point in the race. However, under a
simulated traditional at-large, winner-take-all election (where all
9 ranks are weighted as equal votes) Reeves drops to 9th place and
is only 45 votes away from being defeated. A change of 23 voters
would cause Reeves to lose in that election. Under the traditional
system, voters can hurt their favorite candidate by voting for
others, but under Choice Voting, voters can safely rank their votes
without endangering their favorites. Hence, in 1999 Reeves initially
started with only 1,141 1st choice votes, but needed 1,713 to win.
After eliminating weaker candidates and transferring their next best
preferences, Reeves finally crossed the threshold needed to win. In
traditional elections winner-take-all elections, you can hurt your
candidates by voting for others, so there is incentive to vote for
only one person. The zero-sum nature of the traditional system
discourages coalition building and creates an adversarial process.
Hence, even in if there is only one African-American candidate
running in a nine-member race, winner-take-all makes it harder for
he or she to win. An even more telling example though lies in the
2001 school committee race. Here, there were two African-American
candidates: Alan Price and Richard Harding. Under the Choice Voting
method, Price and Harding were elected 5th and 6th, in the race for
six seats. However, if we simulate a traditional winner-take-all
election, where the rankings are weighted as equal votes, Harding
comes in 6th place and is barely elected, with Price losing the
election and coming in 7th. This reveals the negative elements of
winner-take-all elections in two aspects. The higher threshold in
that form of election makes it harder for minorities to win seats,
and it could end up pitting African-American candidates against each
other, as they must fight for the same voters. Under Choice Voting
though, Harding and Price ran on the same slate and could help each
other win. Also, under Choice Voting, African-Americans, while only
10% of the population, can more safely field more than one
candidate, as the election system encourages coalition-building. In
2001 Simmons and Reeves both needed crossover votes from other
candidates and were able to build this support through similar
ideals, slate endorsements, or other forms of networking, and
thereby build on their African-American voting vase. Simmons, in
fact, got a sizeable amount of support through defeated, white,
non-CCA candidates. Likewise, under a Choice Voting system it is not
in the candidates��� interest to run ���against��� the other candidates,
as they must often rely upon receiving 2nd, 3rd, and 4th choice
votes in order to get elected. As a result, negative campaigning is
almost non-existent in Cambridge elections. The candidates are more
respectful of each other, realizing that they might need the support
of each other���s voters. In addition, voter turnout in Cambridge
elections is significantly higher than in comparable cities, such as
Lowell, and even in nearby Boston. Cambridge does not even have a
mayoral election, which boosts turnout in Boston city elections, yet
still does better. Cambridge���s turnout can be attributed at least in
part to the proportional representation system, which allows
minorities that would otherwise be unable to elect a member to do
so. In this situation too, supermajority single-member districts
would not be feasible, as the African-American population is
geographically dispersed, with small concentrations in the eastern
part of the city and in the western part of the city. In fact,
Choice Voting allows African-American voters (or any political
group) of much smaller percentages than exist in supermajority
districts to elect a candidate of their choice, despite their
dispersion. For example, in 1999 school committee candidate Richard
Harding was largely supported by African-Americans and was able to
get over 50% of his 1st choice votes from only 8 of the city���s 42
precincts. While some may see this as a negative aspect in terms of
creating de facto districts, this is mitigated by the fact that
despite campaigns that are often based on targeting certain
neighborhoods, candidates usually try to reach out to larger bases,
in order to try and capture some of the voters��� next best
preferences. Certain candidates then, will enjoy great citywide
support, while others may be supported by smaller pockets of voters,
but in the end greater opportunities for a diversity of
representatives are created. This is certainly more representative
than a district-based system, which will still leave 49% of voters
in each district without a representative, or an at-large
winner-take-all system which can do the same thing citywide.
Instead, Choice Voting allows Cambridge voters to coalesce along
various lines of interest. Others still, will complain that
Cambridge candidates are forced to spend a great deal of money on
their elections, as they must run citywide. However, as explained
above, many candidates choose to focus on different regions of the
city, and in fact the high cost of Cambridge elections is explained
by other factors. According to one Massachusetts voting expert,
Cambridge elections are pretty costly because there is a lot of
money there and a lot of donors. Apparently Cambridge has one of the
larger political donor bases, so it would have expensive elections
regardless of the method of election. A comparable town, like
Lowell, Massachusetts, would have cheaper elections. This difference
is due to tremendous disparities in socioeconomic status and local
civic engagement, Cambridge obviously having a wealthier and more
engaged citizenry. Money is not always decisive in Cambridge
elections, as the candidates that do the best are not necessarily
the ones who spend the most money. For example, in the 1997 school
committee elections, Denise Simmons spent $15,204.93 and received
2,043 1st choice votes. This is a cost of $7.44 per vote. Meanwhile,
Fred Fantini spent a total of $1,155.25 and received 1,781 1st
choice votes, at a cost of $0.65 per vote. Simmons spent more than
eleven times as much as Fantini did for her first choice votes.
Granted, Fantini eventually lost the election, but Simmons came in
third place out of the six winners. The first place winner, Alice
Turkel received more 1st choice votes than Simmons, but Simmons
spent nearly three times as much money per vote. The same patterns
appeared in the city council races that year. Conclusion Choice
Voting has clearly provided African-Americans with electoral
opportunities unavailable under a winner-take-all system. Cambridge
voters, to a large degree, engage in racially cohesive voting. While
the introduction of coalition-building in Cambridge has eased the
election of African-Americans and women, Choice Voting was
instrumental in allowing these opportunities to form. There have
been five referenda (in 1952, 1953, 1957, 1961, and 1965) on whether
to repeal or retain the Choice Voting system. Each time the vote was
to retain it. Choice Voting has also withstood legal challenges, as
recently as 1996. |