Monopoly Politics California 2000

52 seats: 24R, 28D    D 52

California's entrenched incumbents had a typically easy year in 1998, especially in the state's many districts drawn to one party's advantage. A landslide-winning Democrat represents all 19 districts where Democrats are projected to win with at least 58% of the vote, while a Republican landslide winner represents all 12 districts where Republicans are projected to win with at least 58%. The only races in 1998 won by less than 10% were in districts where neither party was projected to win more than 54%. Incumbent performance has been very consistent in 1992-1996. Despite surges of support for most Democratic incumbents, Republicans gained a seat in 1998 because Democrats held more vulnerable districts coming into the election. Of the three most vulnerable seats in 2000, two (Tom Campbell's open seat in CA-15 and James Rogan's seat in CA-27) are held by Republicans. Hilda Solis has been rewarded for her monumental feat of defeating an incumbent in a primary with a general election walkover, as she faces no Republican opposition.

 
  1. Mike Thompson (D), 1998Win*
 '98: 62['96: R 50'94: R 53'92: D 48]R 51
 
  2. Wally Herger (R), 1986Landslide
 '98: 62'96: 61'94: 64'92: 65R 63
 
  3. Douglas Ose (R), 1998Win
 '98: 52['96: D 54'94: D 50'92: D 51] R 54
 
  4. John Doolittle (R), 1990Landslide
 '98: 63'96: 61'94: 61'92: 50 R 61
 
  5. Robert Matsui (D), 1978Landslide
 '98: 72'96: 70'94: 68'92: 69 D 58
 
  6. Lynn Woolsey (D), 1992Landslide
 '98: 68 '96: 62'94: 58'92: 65 D58
 
  7. George Miller (D), 1974Landslide
 '98: 77'96: 72'94: 70'92: 70 D 66
 
  8. Nancy Pelosi (D), 1986Landslide
 '98: 86'96: 84'94: 82'92: 83D 75
 
  9. Barbara Lee (D), April 1998Landslide
 '98: 83 71['96: D 77'94: D 72'92: D 72]D 76
 
  10. Ellen Tauscher (D), 1996Vulnerable
 '98: 53'96: 49['94: R 59'92: R 52] R 51
 
  11. Richard Pombo (R), 1992Comfortable*
 '98: 61'96: 59 L'94: 62'92: 48 R 53
 
  12. Tom Lantos (D), 1980Landslide
 '98: 74'96: 72'94: 67'92: 69 D 65
 
  13. Pete Stark (D), 1972Landslide
 '98: 71'96: 65'94: 65'92: 60 D 63
 
  14. Anna Eshoo (D), 1992Landslide
 '98: 69'96: 65'94: 61'92: 57 D 59
 
  15. OPEN [Tom Campbell (R), 1995]Vulnerable
 ['98: 60'96: 59'94: D 60'92: D 64] D 54
 
  16. Zoe Lofgren (D), 1994Landslide
 '98: 73'96: 66'94: 65['92: D 62]D 62
 
  17. Sam Farr (D), 1993Comfortable
 '98: 65'96: 59 L'94: 52['92: D 72]D 56
 
  18. Gary Condit (D), 1988Landslide*
 '98: 87 U'96: 66'94: 66'92: 85 U R 53
 
  19. George Radanovich (R), 1994Landslide
 '98: 80 U'96: 67'94: 57['92: D 47]R 59
 
  20. Calvin Dooley (D), 1990Comfortable
 '98: 61'96: 57'94: 57'92: 65 D 53
 
  21. Bill Thomas (R), 1978Landslide
 '98: 79 U'96: 66'94: 68'92: 65R 65
 
  22. Lois Capps (D), March 1998Vulnerable
 '98: 55 54['96: D 48'94: R 49'92: R 53]R 55
 
  23. Elton Gallegly (R), 1986Comfortable
 '98: 60'96: 60'94: 66'92: 54 R 54
 
  24. Brad Sherman (D), 1996Comfortable*
 '98: 57'96: 49['94: D 49'92: D 56] D 53
 
  25. Buck McKeon (R), 1992Landslide
 '98: 75 U'96: 62'94: 65'92: 52 R 58
 
  26. Howard Berman (D), 1982Uncontested
 '98: 83 U'96: 66'94: 63'92: 61 D 66
 
  27. James Rogan (R), 1996Vulnerable
 '98: 51'96: 50['94: R 53'92: R 50]  50-50
 
  28. David Dreier (R), 1980Comfortable
 '98: 58'96: 61'94: 67'92: 58 R 54
 
  29. Henry Waxman (D), 1974Landslide
 '98: 74'96: 68'94: 68'92: 61D 67
 
  30. Xavier Becerra (D), 1992Landslide
 '98: 81'96: 72'94: 66'92: 58 D 72
 
  31. OPEN [Matthew Martinez (D), 1982]Uncontested
 ['98: 71'96: 67'94: 59'92: 63]D 66
 
  32. Julian Dixon (D), 1978Landslide
 '98: 87'96: 82'94: 78'92: 87D 82
 
  33. Lucille Roybal-Allard (D), 1992Landslide
 '98: 87'96: 82'94: 81'92: 63D 81
 
  34. Grace Napolitano (D), 1998Landslide
 '98: 68['96: D 68'94: D 62'92 D 61]D 65
 
  35. Maxine Waters (D), 1990Landslide
 '98: 89 U'96: 86'94: 78'92: 83  D 85
 
  36. Steve Kuykendall (R), 1998Vulnerable
 '98: 49['96: D 53'94: D 48'92 D 48] R 52
 
  37. Juanita Mill.-McDonald (D), 1995Landslide
 '98: 85'96: 85['94 D 77'92 D 86] D 82
 
  38. Steve Horn (R), 1992Vulnerable
 '98: 53'96: 53'94: 58'92: 49 D 54
 
  39. Ed Royce (R), 1992Landslide
 '98: 63'96: 63'94: 66'92: 57 R 58
 
  40. Jerry Lewis (R), 1978Uncontested
 '98: 65'96: 65'94: 71'92: 63R 61
 
  41. Gary Miller (R), 1998Comfortable
 '98: 53 C['96: R 58'94: R 62'92 R 60] R 56
 
  42. Jim Baca (D), November 1999Win
 

 

'99: 52

'98: 55

 

96: 50

 

'94: 51

 

'92: 51

 D 54
 
  43. Ken Calvert (R), 1992Uncontested
 '98: 56'96: 55'94: 55'92: 47 R 56
 
  44. Mary Bono (R), April 1998Comfortable
 '98: 60 57['96: R 58'94: R 56'92: R 54]R 55
 
  45. Dana Rohrabacher (R), 1988 Landslide
 '98: 58 L'96: 61'94: 69'92: 55 R 61
 
  46. Loretta Sanchez (D), 1996 Vulnerable
 '98: 56'96: 47['94: R 57'92: R 50] D50-50
 
  47. Christopher Cox (R), 1988Landslide
 '98: 68'96: 66'94: 72'92: 65 R 63
 
  48. OPEN [on Packard (R), 1982]Landslide
 ['98: 77 U'96: 66'94: 73'92: 61] R 65
 
  49. Brian Bilbray (R), 1994Vulnerable
 '98: 49'96: 53 C'94: 49['92: D 51] 50-50
 
  50. Bob Filner (D), 1992Landslide
 '98: 100'96: 62'94: 57'92: 57D 61
 
  51. Duke Cunningham (R), 1990Landslide
 '98: 61'96: 65'94: 67'92: 56 R 61
 
  52. Duncan Hunter (R), 1980Landslide
 '98: 76 U'96: 65'94: 64'92: 53 R 58