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Reform Options for the Electoral College

Reform Options for the Electoral College and the Election of the US President:

     Direct Vote with Plurality Rule
     Popular Vote with a Runoff Election  �  50% Threshold
     Popular Vote with a Runoff Election - 40% Threshold

     Electoral College with a Popular Vote Bonus
     Proportional Allocation of Electoral Votes
     Congressional District Method
     Instant Runoff Voting


Direct Vote with Plurality Rule:

This method would require each person to cast one vote for the candidate of their choice. The candidate who receives the most votes nationwide would win the election, regardless of whether that candidate receives a majority of the votes. This option would require a constitutional amendment to be implemented and so would need to win the support of 2/3 of Congress and 3/4 of the states. It would abolish the Electoral College.

This method of voting would more accurately reflect the popular will of the nation at large. Statistics have shown that more people vote when their vote has a better chance at making a difference. Since each vote would affect the final total used to determine the winner, a direct vote would eliminate the Electoral College�s ability to create non-competitive winner-take-all enclaves that essentially dilute people�s votes. Direct, popular election is simple, popular, and eliminates the potential problem of a �faithless elector� betraying their party and unfairly negating the votes of thousands of people.

A direct vote, however, would not eliminate the entrenchment of the two party system nor the �spoiler� considerations of minor parties and independent candidates. In a close race, voting for a candidate from a minor party could have the same result as it does within the current system. Also, a close election would require a nation-wide recount rather than just recounting the states in question. The final tally would not be decided until absentee ballots were received and counted and the election process could take much longer. This system be very difficult to pass as a Constitutional Amendment.

There is also the predicament that one candidate might not receive an absolute majority (>50%) of the vote. Some feel that a simple plurality is sufficient, however, if three or more candidates run, this plurality could be well under 35%. Currently, if no majority is reached within the Electoral College, the decision of electing the president is deferred to the House of Representatives where each state casts one vote, regardless of population. For example, California and Wyoming would both have the same voting power, even though California�s population is about 70 times greater than Wyoming�s. The vice president would then be elected by the Senate. The electorate loses all voting power when this happens, and hypothetically, if the House and Senate reflect different majority parties, so could the offices of president and vice president. A non-majority winner could occur in both the Electoral College election and in a direct election when a third party or independent candidate receives significant votes. See our description of the current Electoral College for more details of these procedures. With a direct vote, it is likely that a third party candidate could receive enough votes in a close race to keep both major parties below 50% and so the House of Representatives would have a strong chance of controlling the election.

Some have suggested a mandatory threshold for election, such as 40% or 50%, to protect against such scenarios. The League of Women Voters supports a direct election with a 40% threshold. This lower threshold would make a winner much more likely but would not guarantee that the winner has the support of the majority of the people. Alternatively, many have suggested a runoff election between the two most popular candidates when no candidate receives 50% (or a defined threshold) of the vote. A runoff between two candidates is designed to produce a winner with majority support. See our description of a popular vote with runoff for more details.

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Popular Vote with a Runoff Election � 50% Threshold:

This system is similar to the pure popular vote where every person votes for one candidate and the votes are tallied on a nation-wide basis, rather than by state. The big difference is that when no candidate receives a majority of the votes (over 50%), a second runoff election takes place. In the runoff election the number of candidates would be reduced to the two most popular. Runoff elections are already used for local and statewide races in Texas, Arkansas, Alabama, Mississippi, South Dakota, South Carolina, Georgia, and Oklahoma.

Using a runoff election prevents the appointment of a candidate who does not have majority support, overcoming one of the biggest flaws of the pure popular vote. This method also eliminates potentially bad compromises that can result from non-partisan primary elections, often used to narrow candidates for mayoral races. The runoff also allows a voter to mark their true preference during the first round of voting without sacrificing their chance to support one of the major parties, giving independent candidates more opportunity to raise support. Also, using a runoff election eliminates the possibility of the House of Representatives being involved in the election.

Runoffs, however, can be very expensive, nearly doubling the cost of holding an election. They are also inconvenient for voters, and participation often declines in the second election, compromising the overall representation of the people. A runoff election would also delay the final decision, increasing the time between the initial vote and the announcement of a winner. This delay would require the surviving candidates to continue campaigning between the first election and the runoff. Depending on how the runoff participants are decided, there is room left for discrepancy when more than two candidates have widespread support. This happened in the French 2002 Presidential election when voters for left-of-Center parties split their votes among numerous candidates in the first round of election. This split allowed ultra-conservative Jean-Marie Le Pen to slide into the runoff with less than 17% of the vote.

Runoff elections were used in San Francisco until they recently adopted instant runoffs where both rounds of the election take place at the same time. Several other districts and states are looking at legislation that would replace their two round runoff elections with a single, instant runoff election. IRV solves many of the problems presented by the direct vote and costly runoffs while maintaining their advantages over the Electoral College. See our description of instant runoff voting for more details.

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Popular Vote with Runoff Election with 40% Threshold :

This method is exactly like the runoff method described above, only the winner is required to receive 40% of the vote instead of 50%. If more than one candidate receives over 40% of the vote, the winner is determined by whoever has the most votes. This system attempts to eliminate costly runoffs more often while still maintaining a minimal threshold that a candidate must receive. Only one Presidential election has failed to receive a 40% majority winner among the popular vote. This alternative could easily lead to a runoff if independent or third party candidates, alone or together, received over 21% of the vote in a close race. Considering Ross Perot�s 19% in the 1992 election, and the relative popularity of mavericks like McCain, this scenario is not unlikely in the future. Otherwise, it carries the same benefits and drawbacks of the 50% runoff. The League of Women Voters supports a direct vote with a 40% threshold and runoff.

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Electoral College with a Popular Vote Bonus:

This idea, proposed by historian Arthur Schlesinger Jr., retains the current Electoral College system, but also awards extra electoral votes as a bonus to the winner of the popular vote. The amount suggested by Schlesinger was 102 extra electoral votes, two for every state plus two for Washington, DC. An extra 102 electoral votes practically guarantees that the popular vote winner would be the overall winner. While technically maintaining the Electoral College, this option nearly eliminates the uneven power given to the states by its distribution of electoral votes.

However, changing the proposed 102 votes to a smaller number would allow for any desired proportion between the popular vote system and the Electoral College as it exists today. A smaller number could still give an advantage to the person with the most nationwide support while not eliminating the distribution requirement of regional support. Deciding the exact number would be very difficult to agree on, making this proposal difficult to pass.

This method does not eliminate the �spoiler� fears of third party participation, but would encourage people to campaign and vote in non-competitive states in an attempt to win the popular vote. In the 2000 election, for example, Gore had no reason to campaign in Texas because, with a winner take all allocation of electoral votes, Bush�s conservative home state was clearly going to bring in a Republican majority. However, the Democratic voters living in Texas would have had more incentive to go to the polls if the popular vote affected the election. This situation is the same for all minority parties in non-competitive states.

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Proportional Allocation of Electoral Votes :

This system has been proposed with a number of variations. A popular alternative is to split each state�s electoral votes in accordance with their popular vote percentages. This way, a candidate who wins 45% of the popular vote in a particular state would receive 45% of the electoral votes from that state, not zero electoral votes as they would today. Several ways of dividing up these votes have been recommended.

One suggestion is to maintain the actual structure of the Electoral College, but to appoint its members in proportion to their party�s popularity in each state. This would be difficult because whole electors could seldom be evenly divided into their respective percentages.

Another alternative is to keep the idea of the Electoral College, maintaining the number of electoral votes each state is allowed to cast, but to have the votes calculated as a percentage of the popular vote rather than being cast by individual electors. This would eliminate the potential problem of �faithless electors� who vote against their party. This raises the issue as to how far one should round when counting electoral votes. Some have suggested increasing the number of electoral votes by a factor of 10 or 100 to reduce the margin of error. This method would keep the same proportionality of representation as is currently in place in the Electoral College and would ease the rounding process. Others suggest rounding to whole votes, tenth votes, and a whole variety of decimal places beyond this.

This would be difficult to pass on a nationwide basis and would most likely have to pass state-by-state. During this process, or even in the end if some states do not adopt the process, one party might gain an unfair advantage. This could easily happen if some states were dividing up their electoral votes while others were still giving all of their votes to the majority party.

This system would greatly increase the representation of individuals voting in each state and would encourage candidates to campaign in all states rather than just those that are competitive. Though the majority, as always, would be preferred, a candidate could still gain electoral votes by raising his minority and majority support throughout the country.

Third parties could still be �spoilers,� perhaps even more so than today. For example, in Massachusetts, the vote is split about 65/35, favoring the Democrats. In the 2000 election, 6% of the people voted for Ralph Nader and 60% voted for Al Gore. In this election, all of the electoral votes went to Al Gore, but with a proportional system, Gore would get his fair share. Specific details as to minimum thresholds required for electoral representation have varied but would be crucial to lay out in the implementation of proportional allocation.

Though this would be more representative than today�s system, it would not affect the disproportionate representation that is currently in place through the Electoral College. The Electoral College is designed to give smaller states more power so they will not be overruled by larger states. Proportional allocation, as it has been suggested, would not change this varied ratio of representation. Since it would be difficult to pass legislation that takes disproportionate voting power away from the small states (at least some small states would have to approve it), this method would be easier to implement in our current system. Depending on the details and wording of the legislation, this could also be passed without a Constitutional Amendment.

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Congressional District Method:

A similar method, often confused with proportional allocation, is dividing electoral votes by district. Currently, each state receives two electoral votes for the state as a whole plus one electoral vote for each of its Congressional districts. Rather than giving all electoral votes to the statewide plurality winner as today, this method would only give the two statewide votes to the statewide winner and divide up the rest of the votes by giving one vote to the plurality winner in each Congressional district. This method of distribution has been used in Maine since 1972 and Nebraska since 1996, though neither state has had different winners in different Congressional districts or statewide. Consequently, neither state has ever spilt its electoral votes.

This system does not address the issue of disproportionality present in the Electoral College. Using Congressional districts to determine each elector would also draw more attention to the way districts are drawn, already a hot-topic in politics today. The vast majority of districts are drawn as �safe zones� for one of the two major political parties and using them for the Presidential election would considerably raise the stakes of redistricting. Since these �safe zones� have strong partisan majorities, truly competitive districts would be rare. For more information see our page on the controversial process of redistricting.

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Instant Runoff Voting:

Instant runoff voting (IRV) could be used for Presidential elections in 2 ways: through a direct, nationwide election without the Electoral College or on a state-by-state basis with the Electoral College. The direct vote alternative would be just like the popular vote option described earlier, only voters would rank their preferences rather than marking only one candidate. This option, nationwide, would require a Constitutional amendment and so would be difficult to pass because it would need the approval of smaller states that currently enjoy disproportionate voting power given to them by the Electoral College. However, if passed, instant runoff voting on a national scale has the potential to solve many of the current dilemmas introduced by the Electoral College as well as the problems introduced by some of the other alternatives. It would end the �spoiler� tag of third party and independent candidates and produce a majority, nationwide winner

On a state-by-state basis, instant runoff voting would ensure that the winner of the state�s electoral votes receives the majority of the votes in that state. The number of electoral votes cast by each state would not change. Individual states can adopt instant runoffs without a Constitutional amendment. Unlike proportional allocation, which could be unfair if only used in some states, instant runoff voting would not have negative consequences if only adopted by a few states. Each state�s electors would still be appointed through a winner-take-all method, but the IRV states would now be guaranteed to have a winner with majority approval. Though each state�s winner would enjoy a majority of the vote, states would still, like today, have disproportionate voting power.

Instant runoff voting allows for better voter choice and wider voter participation by accommodating multiple candidates in single seat races and assuring that a "spoiler" effect will not result in undemocratic outcomes. IRV also allows all voters to vote for their favorite candidate without the fear of helping elect their least favorite candidate, and it ensures that the winner enjoys true support from a majority of the voters. Third parties can build and attract exactly as many voters as they actually represent the beliefs of, because the voter has no fear of losing their vote to a "spoiler" if their second or third choice is a mainstream candidate. Plurality voting does not meet these basic requirements for a fair election system that promotes wide participation, and traditional runoff elections are costly to the taxpayer and often suffer from low voter turnout.

Instant runoff voting corrects the defects of plurality elections and two-round runoff elections, the two most widely used voting systems in the country. In plurality voting -- as used in most U.S. elections -- candidates can win with less than a majority when there are more than two candidates running for the office, as there generally are in the Presidential election. In contrast, IRV elects a majority candidate while still allowing voters to support a candidate who is not from one of the major parties.

In an instant runoff election, voters rank candidates as their first choice, second choice, third, fourth and so on. If a candidate does not receive a clear majority of votes on the first count, a series of runoff counts are conducted, using each voter�s top choice indicated on the ballot. The candidate who received the fewest first place ballots is eliminated. All ballots are then retabulated, with each ballot counting as one vote for each voter's favorite candidate who is still in contention. Voters who chose the now-eliminated candidate as their first choice now support their second choice candidate -- just as if they were voting in a traditional two-round runoff election -- but all other voters get to continue supporting their top candidate. This process continues until a candidate receives a majority.

Voters have the option to rank as many or as few candidates as they wish�their favorite candidate first, their next favorite second and so on. Voters have every incentive to vote for their favorite candidate rather than the "lesser of two evils" because their ballot can still count toward a winner if their first choice loses. There also is every reason for a voter to rank as many candidates as they want, since a voter�s lower choice will never help defeat one of their higher choices as can happen with weighted ranking methods such as the Borda count. See our web page on IRV for more descriptions and visual examples.

In the 2000 presidential election, 10 states were won with less than a 50% majority, 6 for Al Gore (44 electoral votes) and 4 for George Bush (54 electoral votes). IRV would have ensured that each of those state�s electors represented the true majority of the people.

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