Second-choice candidates deserve voters' scrutiny


By Darren Allen
Published March 19th 2006 in The Rutland Herald (VT)

One of the biggest questions opponents of instant runoff voting need to answer is, "What are you afraid of?"

Sen. Hinda Miller, the Burlington Democrat who lost her bid for mayor in a race that featured instant runoff voting for the first time, said the whole process has left her bruised and dismayed.

She told her colleagues in the state Senate last week that while she does not dispute the results – Rep. Robert Kiss, a Burlington Progressive, led on both the first and second ballots – she wondered whether the whole process left voters susceptible to undue influence by the candidates.

"I as a candidate couldn't figure out how to game the system, and it is a game," she said. "I personally found it very scary."

The heart of her fear was the belief that her Republican opponent, longtime city councilor Kevin Curley, had told his supporters to mark Kiss as their second choice. Indeed, Curley boasted after the election that even though he didn't win, he saved the city from a Hinda Miller administration.

"This changes how candidates have to think about ourselves," she said. "I don't think candidates ought to be able to influence people like that. That is not what we are about in this country."

Such sentiments should leave voters wondering whether this major-party candidate has much faith in their intelligence. After all, what did she think the endorsements and sizable campaign war chests of U.S. Sen. Patrick Leahy, Democratic National Committee Chairman Howard Dean, outgoing Mayor Peter Clavelle were supposed to do? Influence voters' decisions?

Of course they were.

Under instant runoff voting, voters were asked to mark a first and second choice. If a single candidate reaches a majority of votes cast, then there is no runoff. If, as happened in Burlington's race, none does – Kiss had 39 percent, Miller 31 percent and Curley 26 percent – then the bottom candidates drop out and their second choices are distributed to the remaining two.

There was much speculation that Curley's strategy ultimately hurt Miller. But an analysis of where Curley's second-choicers went reveals a third went to Miller, a third to Kiss and a third to no one. And, in the end, Kiss won by the same percentage margin on the second vote.

In other words, it appeared that instant runoff voting worked: The candidate who got the most votes won.

Instant runoff voting worked so well in Burlington that its supporters are hoping to introduce it to statewide races. It is a proposal that is long overdue. In Vermont, if statewide office seekers fail to reach a majority, then the 180 lawmakers get to make the call. That's hardly a recipe for participatory democracy.

"This is going to get more people involved in the process, and I am supportive of anything that gets more of us engaged," said Anthony Pollina, a Progressive activist who has run for statewide office, and lost. "People are trying to find fault in IRV. It's not the process that failed."

In the end, Burlington was able to avoid the expense of a runoff election. Its voters got to make informed choices among candidates who conducted a spirited campaign. And it made it easier for citizens to have a say in who will lead their city for the next three years.

It's high time Vermont takes the experiment statewide. Democrats were generally supportive of the notion before Burlington's election. Their heavily favored and financed candidate lost, and that has probably tempered some of their enthusiasm. It shouldn't temper ours.

But, really, was it the failure of the voting method or the failure of the candidate to connect with a majority of voters? In the end, the voters had a direct say.

Isn't it time for us to select our statewide officeholders directly rather than leave it potentially up to the politically charged General Assembly?

Darren Allen writes weekly about Vermont issues, people and events.

IRV Soars in Twin Cities, FairVote Corrects the Pundits on Meaning of Election Night '09
Election Day '09 was a roller-coaster for election reformers.  Instant runoff voting had a great night in Minnesota, where St. Paul voters chose to implement IRV for its city elections, and Minneapolis voters used IRV for the first time—with local media touting it as a big success. As the Star-Tribune noted in endorsing IRV for St. Paul, Tuesday’s elections give the Twin Cities a chance to show the whole state of Minnesota the benefits of adopting IRV. There were disappointments in Lowell and Pierce County too, but high-profile multi-candidate races in New Jersey and New York keep policymakers focused on ways to reform elections;  the Baltimore Sun and Miami Herald were among many newspapers publishing commentary from FairVote board member and former presidential candidate John Anderson on how IRV can mitigate the problems of plurality elections.

And as pundits try to make hay out of the national implications of Tuesday’s gubernatorial elections, Rob Richie in the Huffington Post concludes that the gubernatorial elections have little bearing on federal elections.

Links