"The first principle of republicanism is that the lex majoris parties is the fundamental law of every society of individuals of equal rights; to consider the will of the society enounced by the majority of a single vote as sacred as if unanimous is the first of all lessons in importance, yet the last which is thoroughly learnt." -Thomas Jefferson
Summary
Political parties have broad authority over how they conduct their
nomination procedures, including in primary elections administered by
the state. Parties are private associations with protections under the
first amendment that enable them to go beyond state and federal laws in
expanding suffrage, increasing participation and allowing for more
democratic contests. With this flexibility and freedom, parties have
great opportunities to review and improve their election systems by
incorporating reforms that give more voters an equal voice and an equal
vote. From representative delegate allocation regimes to ranked choice
voting and expanded suffrage rights, a political party's nomination
process can be a true laboratory of democracy. We can start with
elections for the president, although parties ultimately could explore
reforms even more daringly in state and local elections in areas such
as campaign finance.
1. The Nominating Calendar
The first, and most essential, change the parties must make to their
presidential nominating contests is the voting schedule. The
front-loaded game of chicken used by both the Democratic and Republican
parties in 2008 to determine their nominating calendar was a disservice
to both the candidates and the public. The parties should strive for an
orderly and fair process; one that gives all states an equal
opportunity to weigh in and also has teeth to hold states accountable
for failing to follow predetermined party rules - and deter them from
rogue actions that cause their voters to suffer.
The
irony of the "ghost delegate" situation with Democrats in Michigan and
Florida, who both held their contests on January 29th in defiance of
Democratic Party rules, is that leaders in both states believed they
would gain influence by holding their contests earlier in the process.
States have long envied the position of New Hampshire and Iowa for good
reason, who only have their "first in the nation" status due to
tradition and state determination. This year's frontloading led Iowa to
consider holding their caucus before the first of the year. Other
states finally relented and allowed Iowa to keep their contest in 2008
- although barely, with the final candidate push occurring over the
winter holidays.
The million-plus voters who
participated in the unsanctioned contests in January still should have
their voice heard in determining their party's nominee; they also
deserve to know their votes count for something. Yet at the same time,
many potential voters may not have participated or may have voted in
the Republican contest because they knew that the Democrats had
determined that their votes would not count toward seating delegates at
the convention in Denver. Independent voters may have registered for
the Republican contest knowing that voting in the Democratic race would
be meaningless. Both categories of voters-those who participated in the
January contest and those who did not vote because they believed their
votes were irrelevant-deserve fair treatment to ensure they are not
disenfranchised in the process. These voters were victims of their
state's stubbornness, to be sure, but also of an overall broken process
that created incentives for states to challenge the rules. Conducting a
revote (particularly in Michigan, where Senator Obama's name did not
appear on the ballot) is one way to include these voters in the
process. Another option, while less savory but possibly more
politically feasible, is to split the delegates in Michigan in half and
seat ½ of the Florida delegation as they were elected on January 29th.
Regardless of what the party decides, the Democrats must solve this
puzzle and give the citizens of these states a voice. At the same time,
the party must take steps to avoid such situations in the future.
There are several proposals to solve the calendar problem that would
allow parties to conduct a more orderly nominating process. Proposals
include a random drawing of states based on increasing state size
(American Plan) to open voting from January until June (National Plan).
Others propose some combination in which a June national primary vote
would follow a series of contests in all states. At the 2000 GOP
convention, the party came very close to adopting a graduated primary
plan, commonly referred to as the Delaware Plan because small states
would vote first, followed sequentially by bigger and bigger states
with gaps between contests, but George W. Bush's campaign team pulled
it from the floor when it looked like the debate might take too much
time. On April 2nd, the Republican National Committee rules committee
endorsed the Ohio Plan - a new proposal that combines aspects of the
graduated schedule and the "rotating regional primary plan" favored by
the National Association of Secretaries of State.
Some elements of the current calendar should be preserved. Having small
state contests vote early on, a role traditionally played by New
Hampshire and Iowa, is important because they force retail politicking
and intensive campaigning in one or two states. Small state contests
early in the process encourage "dark horse" candidates to join the race
and limit the money advantage of "celebrity" candidates. But the same
states should not always have this favored position, and the schedule
should not be so compressed that even a surprise result for such a
candidate-as with Mike Huckabee in the Republican contest this
year-does not give such a dark horse time to be competitive across the
country.
It is also important that the contest not evolve into a one-day affair
- that can be left to the general elections. A single national primary
day without preceding contests would give an insurmountable advantage
to well-financed front-runners and make lesser-known candidates
virtually irrelevant. It would make the role of money even more
dominant and end retail campaigning as we know it. Candidates would not
be forced to answer tough questions or have time to have their
positions (and personalities) fully vetted.
2. Superdelegates
At first blush, superdelegates-the unpledged delegates who can vote for
whichever candidate they choose, regardless of the delegate count or
popular vote-appear to be the least democratic institution in this
entire nominating process. These party leaders have votes at the
convention, completely unbound to public opinion, which will ultimately
decide the Democratic nominee.
The reality though, is that most superdelegates are elected
officials-either members of Congress or elected state officials-that
have to eventually answer to the people. As party leaders, they have
the long-term interest of the party in mind when making their decision
in Denver. As part of making that decision, they also realize that
voting against the will of the people would alienate a lot of Democrats.
But the question remains: what does the "will of the people" mean? The
many definitions explained by pundits and the campaigns are enough to
confuse even the most astute political observer. Should the
superdelegates vote for the winner of the total elected delegate count,
the winner of the national popular vote, the winner of their
local/state popular vote, the number of states won, the size of the
states won? Or should superdelegates forget about the "will of the
people" completely and simply cast their vote for the candidate that
would make the best general election candidate and President?
The concept of a "superdelegate"-someone, whose vote is mathematically
worth more than someone else's- in and of itself, is an undemocratic
institution. But parties can do what they choose because of their
freedom of association rights under the first amendment. If the
Democratic Party is going to keep the superdelegate system, they should
at least consider putting some restrictions or rules on how they can
cast their "super votes."
First, superdelegates should not be permitted to vote in the first
balloting at the convention - that should be based only on the votes as
determined by democratic contests. If a candidate fails to receive a
clear majority of elected delegates, then the superdelegates should
step in to put the nominee over the top. Second, superdelegates should
never overrule the clearly defined will of the voters. If a candidate
wins a majority of the popular vote and the most elected delegates, the
superdelegates should be prohibited from reversing that decision. If
there is a more muddied result in the primaries, the superdelegates
should be part of the decision-making process in deciding the nominee,
particularly if the convention may turn to a compromise candidate who
did not compete in the nomination contests.
3. Suffrage Rights
Parties have broad authority over who can vote in their primary
contests. In more than a dozen states, parties allow 17-year-olds who
will be 18 on or before General Election Day to participate in their
primary or caucus. In Maryland this year, the state Republican and
Democratic Parties pushed back against a State Board of Elections
decision ending the practice. This example shows that even when the
state makes a decision about primary election rules, the parties' have
the final word.
Democrats and Republicans should encourage 17-year-old primary voting
as a matter of basic fairness. If someone is eligible to vote in the
general election, he or she should have a say in who is on that general
election ballot. In addition, studies show that voting is habit
forming-by letting young people vote early, they are more likely to
vote for life. Finally, people decide party affiliation early on in
life. If one party allows 17-year-old primary voting and the other does
not, young people may be more likely to vote-and keep voting-for the
party that gives them the opportunity to participate.
Parties do not have to stop at granting suffrage rights to young
people. Many states have stringent prohibitions that make it difficult
for people convicted of felonies to vote. Parties have the right to
establish more lenient rules to allow people who may not be eligible to
vote in the general election to vote in their party primary. The same
goes for legal immigrants-people who pay taxes and send their children
to school, but have no voice in the political process. Like young
people, if a legal immigrant is allowed to vote in a party primary, he
or she may be more likely to vote with that party for life once they
become a citizen.
4. Caucuses vs. Primaries
A
debate is also necessary about role of caucuses in the nominating
process. Many argue that they discourage participation because some
voters are intimidated or confused by the process. Other voters, with
family or work obligations during the time of the caucuses are unable
to participate. Military, overseas and voters not near their caucus
site during the election are completely shut out of the process. States
with a history of caucuses, like Iowa, may want to continue their
tradition, but it is imperative that they open up the process by
expanding accessibility as much as possible. The online primary system
used by the Democrats Abroad is one way to update the caucus process
for the 21st Century.
States without a recent history
of competitive caucuses, like Texas, should be wary of incorporating
caucuses as part of their delegate allocation process. Many Texas
caucus sites were woefully unprepared to handle the volume of voters
and there is continuing controversy over the eligibility of some caucus
goers who may not have voted earlier in the day in the primary contest,
per party rules. Ensuring equal access to the polls is a basic right
that the Democratic Party should mandate that every state follow when
designing their primary.
5. Delegate Allocation Rules
The biggest difference between the Democratic and Republican primaries
is that the Democrats require states to allocate delegates
proportionally and the Republicans use a winner-take-all system of
delegate allocation in most of their contests after their early votes
in Iowa and New Hampshire. If a Republican candidate wins a state, even
by the slimmest plurality, he or she wins all of the delegates for that
state. While this system boosts frontrunners to their party's
nomination after winning a few large states, it has many drawbacks. It
discourages candidates from staying in the race, even if they
consistently come in second place narrowly. It also stifles debate by
forcing challengers to drop out much earlier than if delegates were
awarded on a proportional basis. The worst aspect of winner-take-all is
that in a multiple candidate race, the voice of the majority of voters
can be completely ignored - which means the nominee could be a true
fringe candidate who poorly represents the party.
The Democrats' proportional system is good in principle because it
gives all voters an equal voice in the contest for elected delegates.
However, it has quirks when you read the fine print. Some states
allocate their elected delegates proportionally by state total; others
split their delegates according to congressional or state senate
district - without enough delegates allocated to these districts to be
responsive to relatively large changes in the popular vote in those
areas. This inconsistent, patchwork system of delegate allocation leads
to some delegates counting more than others, which seems to be a theme
running through the Democratic nominating process. If the DNC truly
believes in an equitable system where each elected delegate represents
the same number of people, it should mandate a standardized process for
allocating delegates that provides both fairness and responsiveness.
Proportionality is key-as long as proportionality means the same thing
no matter what state you call home.
6. Instant Runoff Voting
The only way to ensure majority support for a candidate in a
multi-candidate race and allow voters the freedom to vote their
conscious is instant runoff voting (IRV). Advocated by influential
major party leaders like John McCain, Barack Obama and Howard Dean, IRV
enables voters to rank their choices 1, 2, 3, instead of simply voting
for a single candidate. Ballots are counted for voters' first choices.
If that first choice is not viable, your ballot moves to your second
choice until one candidate wins a majority of the vote. IRV eliminates
the "spoiler effect" of voting for a "second-tier" candidate, which
often helps the candidate the voter wants least - plurality winners
often do not have the support of the majority of voters, which is an
undemocratic way to conduct elections.
Consider the Republican contest this year. John McCain earned his
frontrunner status in January without ever winning more than 37% of the
vote in a primary or caucus. The Republican's winner-take-all rules
also aided him in gaining frontrunner status. Even on February 5th,
where he essentially locked up the nomination, he only won a majority
of the vote in three states. Whether Sen. McCain is the right nominee
for the Republican Party is not the point; the reality is that he
easily could have been a splinter candidate who didn't reflect the
views of the majority of Republican voters.
On the Democratic side, even with proportional allocation rules
mitigating the impact on distortions in allocating delegates due to
plurality voting rules, the lack of instant runoff voting had a clear
impact on the race. The media inevitably focuses on who wins the most
votes, no matter how low that percentage might be - consider New
Hampshire this year, where Sen. Clinton won a big boost despite
securing less than 40% of the vote and potentially not being able to
have defeated Barack Obama if supporters of the remaining candidates
could have indicated a second choice between the frontrunners.
The process of counting people's second choices is a familiar one
because Democrats in Iowa and some other states already use a form of
IRV in their caucus process. If a candidate is not declared "viable" at
a caucus site (getting at least 15% of the vote), those caucus goers
must choose a "viable" candidate, or their second choice. That
increases the number of effective votes, but unfortunately, Iowa does
not release the tally of the first vote, which is important to know how
much support "second tier" candidates really have in the state.
Instant runoff voting should be used in three ways to improve contests.
First, the "Iowa model" should be used in primaries so that any voter
casting a first choice for a candidate unable to win delegates as their
ballot move to their next choice among the viable candidates. Second,
after most delegates have been allocated proportionally, a small
"winner's bonus" could be given to the majority winner statewide as
determined by IRV. Finally, instant runoff ballots make particular
sense for those voting early or by absentee. What happened to all those
Super Tuesday voters on February 5th who voted early or absentee for
John Edwards or Rudy Giuliani? Since neither major party used IRV
ballots, those ballots were irrelevant. Military voters, people who are
out of town on Election Day or those who vote early should have the
same opportunity to participate in the process as people who vote on
the day of the election. If the parties used IRV, those voters' backup
choices would have counted.
Conclusion
As we have observed over the past year, our presidential nominating
system is in need of a major overhaul. Incremental changes, like
instituting instant runoff voting or expanding suffrage rights for
young people would be a positive start, but more sweeping reform is
required to transform the process into what we can truly call
"democracy." The calendar needs a facelift, the superdelegates need
some directions and the people need to have a greater voice in deciding
their parties' nominee for President.
Republicans can only reform their system at their convention, which
means they may have a similar situation to what happened in 2000-where
the nominee does not want a floor fight about the nominating process.
At their convention, the Republicans should consider adopting rules to
mirror the Democrats, which allow amendments to the process throughout
the year. If the Democrats start the process of making these
improvements at their convention in August and finish them in the
coming years, they will have an opportunity to transform the way we run
elections in this country as soon as 2012 and then, perhaps, live up to
their name.
Rob Richie | Executive Director | [email protected] | (301) 270-4616 |
Adam Fogel | Right to Vote Director | [email protected] | (301) 270-4616 |