12 seats: 7R, 5D      R 55 

Republicans' projected performance rose in every House district in 1996, and they appeared well-positioned to gain three seats in 1998. The state in 1998 drew new districts due to a voting rights suit, however, with an explicit goal to protect all incumbents. All incumbents indeed did win by more than 10%, but Republicans took the open seat. (NOTE: Due to this 1998 redistricting and the lack of presidential numbers for all districts, predictions are less precise than others in this report. Still, given the legislature's intent to protect incumbents, expect few surprises in 2000.)
 

1. Eva Clayton (D), 1992					Landslide
	'98: 62	'96: 66	'94: 61	'92: 67		[D 65]
2. Bob Etheridge (D), 1996					Vulnerable
	'98: 57	'96: 53	['94: R 56	'92: D 54]		[R 57]
3. Walter Jones, Jr. (R), 1994					Landslide
	'98: 62	'96: 63	'94: 53	['92: D 54]		[R 57]
4. David Price (D), 1996					Win*
	'98: 58	'96: 54 C	['94: R 50	'92: D 65]	D	[50-50]
5. Richard Burr (R), 1994					Uncontested
	'98: 68	'96: 62	'94: 57	['92: D 53]		[R 58]
6. Howard Coble (R), 1984					Uncontested
	'98: 89 U	'96: 73	'94: 100	'92: 71		[R 66]
7. Mike McIntyre (D), 1996					Win
	'98: 91 U	'96: 53	['94: D 52	'92: D 57]		[R 55]
8. Robert Hayes (R), 1998					Vulnerable
	'98: 51	['96: D 55	'94: D 52	'92: D 58]		[R 56]
9. Sue Myrick (R), 1994					Landslide
	'98: 69	'96: 63	'94: 65	['92: R 67]		[R 61]
10. Cass Ballenger (R), 1986					Landslide
	'98: 86 U	'96: 70	'94: 72	'92: 63		[R 68]
11. Charles Taylor (R), 1990					Win
	'98: 57	'96: 58	'94: 60	'92: 55		[R 56]
12. Melvin Watt (D), 1992					Comfortable
	'98: 56	'96: 71	'94: 66	'92: 70		[D 71]