Monopoly Politics Arizona 2000
6 seats: 5R, 1D
Republicans
maintained their 5-1 edge in seats in 1996 and 1998, but their
projected performance dropped in several districts in 1996 -- in part
due to the national trend of Democratic improvement in districts with
large Latino populations. As predicted in our 1997 report, elections as
a result grew more competitive in 1998. Three Republican seats could be
vulnerable in 2000.
1. OPEN [Matt Salmon, R, 1994] | Vulnerable | |||||
['98: 65 | '96: 60 | '94: 56 | '92: R 59] | R 53 | ||
2. Ed Pastor (D), 1990 | Landslide | |||||
'98: 68 | '96: 65 | '94: 62 | '92: 66 | D 65 | ||
3. Bob Stump (R), 1976 | Landslide | |||||
'98: 67 | '96: 67 | '94: 70 | '92: 62 | R 58 | ||
4. John Shadegg (R), 1994 | Landslide | |||||
'98: 64 | '96: 67 | '94: 60 | '92: 62 | R 55 | ||
5. Jim Kolbe (R), 1984 | Vulnerable | |||||
'98: 52 | '96: 69 | '94: 68 | '92: 67 | R 52 | ||
6. J. D. Hayworth (R), 1994 | Vulnerable | |||||
'98: 53 | '96: 48 | '94: 55 | '92: D 53 | R 52 |