2004 U.S. House Elections

         Voting Age Population:
 
               Presidential Vote
  • 2004:  221,257,000
    • 2004 Voting Eligible: 201,210,315
  • 2002:  214,726,000
  • 2000: 205,815,000
  • 1998: 200,515,000





  • 2004: Kerry 48, Bush 51, Nader 1
  • 2000: Gore 48, Bush 48, Nader 3
  • 1996: Clinton 49, Dole 41, Perot 7
U.S. House: 232 R, 202 D, 1 Ind
Party Seat Changes 2004: 13
House Districts: 435


Fairness of 2004 Elections

Democracy Index: N/A
Seats-to-Votes Distortion: 2.1%
Margin of Victory: 37.4%
Representation Index: 37.9%
Landslide Index: 82.5%
Voter Participation: 57.8%
For definitions of terms, please see this report's glossary page.



 US Competitveness 2004 Graph Seats vs Votes Graph 2004


Democracy Index: 2002-2010


 2002
   2004 2006 2008 2010 
Democracy Index NANA  
  
Voter Turnout
38.4%57.8%   
Representation Index
23.5%37.9%   
      
Wasted Votes
32.7%31.9%   
% of Wasted R / D Votes
25 / 3525 / 37
   
Drop-Off Voters
5.6% 8.6%   
Avg. Margin of Victory42.5%40.5%   

     
Votes for (R-D-O%) 
50.9-46.0-3.1  
50.1-47.5-2.4       
Seats for (R-D-O%)52.6-47.1-0.2
53.3-46.4-0.2
   
Seat Changes3813   
High % Turnout, District--------
   
Low % Turnout, District--------   


Democracy Index: 1992-2000

 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 
Democracy Index
NANA
NA NA  NA
Voter Turnout
52%36.6% 45.6% 32.8% 47.3%
Representation Index
31.8%23.4% 28.7% 22.1% 31.2%
      
Wasted Votes
38%36% 37% 33% 33%
% of Wasted R / D Votes
42 / 29
31 / 39 31 / 40 28 / 33 26 / 35
Drop-Off Voters
9.1%6.0%
6.9% 9.1% 7.6%
Avg. Margin of Victory
30.5%
34.4%30.4% 42.6% 39.9%
      
Votes for (R-D-O %)
45.4-50.8-3.852.4-45.4-2.2 48.9-48.6-2.549.1-47.9-3.0 48.2-47.9-3.9 
Seats for (R-D-O %) 40.5-59.3-0.2 52.9-46.9-0.252.2-47.6-0.251.3-48.5-0.250.8-48.7-0.4
Seat Changes
4960341717
High % Turnout, District
----60 (MN-6, OR-6)
77 (MN-6)
78 (MN-3)
91 (MN-6)
Low % Turnout, District
----10 (NY-12)
15 (CA-33)
12 (CA-33)
17 (CA-33)


Election Results & Analysis: 2002-2010

   
RESULTS 2002-2010
2002
2004 2006 2008 2010 
U.S. House (R-D-O)
229-205-1
232-202-1   
Lanslide Index
81.8%
82.5%    
SCALE OF COMPETITIVENESS
     
Tight: < 5 23
10    
Competitive: 5-10
15
13
   
Comfortable: 10-20
41
53    
Landslide: 20-40
156
192
   
No Contest: 40+ 120
102
   
Uncontested
80
65
   
INCUMBENTS
     
Total Running / Total Seats
390 / 435 400 / 435    
Re-Election / Total Incumbent
382 / 390
393 / 400
   
Landslide / Total Incumbent
335 / 390*
340 / 400*    
R. Landslide / R. Incumbent
179 / 200
174 / 207    
D. Landslide / D. Incumbent
156 / 189 165 / 192    
Untouchable
253
286
   
Uncontested Primary
255
283
   
Elected Women
59
64
   
Elected Minorities
37B, 21L, 3A
40B, 25L, 3A
   

*There were four incumbent on incumbent match-ups in 2002.  Only four incumbents lost to challengers. In 2004 there were two incumbent-on-incumbent match-ups.  Only five incumbents lost to challengers.


Election Results & Analysis: 1992-2000


RESULTS 1992-2000
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
U.S. House (R-D-O) 176-258-1230-204-1 227-207-1 223-211-1221-212-2 
Landslide Index
61% 63%
64%
73%
77% 
SCALE OF COMPETITIVENESS
 
   
Tight: < 5
52 51 40
17 19 
Competitive: 5-10
32
36
40
2623 
Comfortable: 10-20
85
72
76
74 57 
Landslide: 20-40
153
133
161
134 163 
No Contest: 40+
105
108
101
90 109 
Uncontested
8
35
17
94 64 
INCUMBENTS
     
Total Running / Total Seats
350 / 435
383 / 435
382 / 435
401 / 435 403 / 435 
Re-Election / Total Incumbent
326 / 350
349 / 383
361 / 382
395 / 401 397 / 403 
Landslide / Total Incumbent
227 / 350
256 / 383
260 / 382
306 / 401 333 / 403 
R. Landslide / R. Incumbent
92 / 139
140 / 157
135 / 212
163 / 207 163 / 213 
D. Landslide / D. Incumbent
134 / 210
116 / 225 125 / 169
142 / 193 170 / 190 
Untouchable
186
193
223
241 285 
Uncontested Primary
178
204
252
281 274 
Elected Women
47
47
51
58 59 
Elected Minorities
38B, 17L, 4A
38B, 17L, 4A 37B, 20L, 4A
37B, 17L, 3A 37B, 18L, 4A 


Election Results & Analysis: 1982-1990


RESULTS 1982-1990
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
U.S. House (R-D-O)
166-269-0
182-253-0  177-258-0175-260-0 167-226-1 
Landslide Index
69% 75% 81% 85% 74% 
SCALE OF COMPETITIVENESS
     
Tight: < 5
35 302519 33 
Competitive: 5-10
35 24 18  1120 
Comfortable: 10-20
66 55 41 4259 
Landslide: 20-40
136 131 115 137 165 
No Contest: 40+ 144 151 187 180 109 
Uncontested
19 44 49 46 49 
INCUMBENTS
     
Total Running / Total Seats
383 / 435 409 / 435 391 / 435 408 / 435 406 / 435 
Re-Election / Total Incumbent
354 / 383 393 / 409 385 / 391 402 / 408 391 / 406 
Landslide / Total Incumbent
268 / 383 319 / 409 332 / 391 359 / 408 309 / 406 
R. Landslide / R. Incumbent
89 / 215 133 / 155 123 / 159 139 / 163 111 / 156 
D. Landslide / D. Incumbent
179 / 215
186 / 254 209 / 232 220 / 245 198 / 250 
Untouchable Repeat Landslide
204
244 270 312 270 
Uncontested Primary
 245
249 262 291 275 
Elected Women
21 22 23 25 28 
Elected Minorities
 19B, 8L, 3A
18B, 11L, 3A 21B, 11L, 4A 22B, 10L, 4A 25B, 10L, 2A