The federal Voting Rights
Act says that members of a minority group should not ìhave less
opportunity than other members of the electorate to participate in
the political process and to elect representatives of their choiceî
(42 U.S.C. ß 1973). The Act does not specify any particular remedy
for a proven breach of this standard, but over the years civil
rights plaintiffs have asked for and received singe-member districts
in most cases where blacks or Hispanics have not been able to elect
candidates at-large.
In light of the recent
attacks on single-member district remedies1, those
interested in preserving the ability of minority groups to elect
candidates of their choice must ask themselves whether there are any
other remedies that might meet that goal as well as, or better than,
a single-member district plan. This article is about those
alternatives.
In this article we
compare three forms of modified at-large electionsóchoice voting,
cumulative voting, and member plans to judge the ability of each to
meet the goal established by the Voting Rights Act. ìModified
at-large electionsî is a term used to describe elections with
multi-member districts but without the winner-take-all feature
usually found in most multi-member elections.
Most democracies use
modified at-large systems that result in nearly all votes counting
toward representation. Although many of these systems allocate votes
among parties rather than candidates, the following three systems
are based on voting for candidates and are already used in some
local elections in the United States. They require at least some
seats to be elected from districts with more than one
representative.
WHY SINGLE-MEMBER
DISTRICTS ARE USED
In several cases early in
the ìReapportionment Revolutionî, the U.S. Supreme Court approved
plans with multi-member districts and specifically held that
multi-member districts are not unconstitutional per se (Fortson v.
Dorsey, 379 U.S. 433 (1965), Burns v. Richardson, 384 U.S. 73
(1966)). However, in a Mississippi legislative redistricting case,
the district court had mixed single-member districts and
multi-member districts in the legislative plan, but the plaintiffs
presented strong evidence that multi-member districts were dilutive
of black voting strength (Connor v. Johnson, 403 U.S. 670 (1971)).
One of the lawyers for the plaintiffs in Connor has explained the
argument they made as follows:
The lawyers for the
[Connor v. Johnson] plaintiffs had made a strong case that
multi-member districts in Hinds County [Mississippi] were racially
discriminatoryÖ[T]he Supreme Court could order single-member
districts without departing from its repeatedly expressed position
that multi-member districts are not per se unconstitutional or
from the line of precedent rejecting Fourteenth Amendment
challenges to such districts (Frank Parker, Black Votes Count:
Political Empowerment in Mississippi after 1965, 1990: 114).
The district court had
agreed that ìit would be idealî if single-member districts could be
used, but decided that time was too short to order such a plan. On
an expedited appeal, the U.S. Supreme Court held, ìWe agree that
when district courts are forced to fashion apportionment plans,
single-member districts are preferable to large multi-district as a
general matterî (Connor v. Johnson, 402 U.S. 690, 692 (1971)). By
adopting single-member districts as the presumptive standard, the
Court was following a trend in American politics2 and was
insulating federal district judges from the charge that, since a
multi-member district ìallows the majority to defeat the minority on
all fronts,î3 it allows the federal judge to pick the
eventual majority party or group in the legislature.
When black and Hispanic
plaintiffs started bringing vote dilution lawsuits, they generally
requested single-member district plans.4 In Thornburg v.
Gingles, the Supreme Court focused its (and litigantsí) thinking on
single-member districts even more by defining the proof of voting
rights violation in terms that suggested such districts were the
standard for comparison. The court held,
These circumstances are
necessary preconditions for multimember districts to operate to
impair minority votersí ability to elect representatives of their
choice for the following reasons. First, the minority group must
be able to demonstrate that it is sufficiently large and
geographically compact to constitute a majority in a single-member
district. Second, the minority group must be able to show that it
is politically cohesive. Third, the minority must be able to
demonstrate that the white majority votes sufficiently as a bloc
to enable itóin the absence of special circumstances such as the
minority candidate running unopposedÖóusually to defeat the
minorityís preferred candidate (Thornburg v. Gingles. 478 U.S. 30,
50-51 (1986)).
Once litigants started
thinking that proof of a single-member district was necessary to
prove a violation, single-member districts were the natural remedy
for the violation. As we show below, there are other remedies which
meet the statutory standard, if not the Gingles ìpreconditions.î The
three election methods discussed below are all candidate-centered
methods of electionóthat is, they may be used in non-partisan
elections as well as partisan elections. In contrast, most European
counties use proportional representation systems in which voters
vote for a political party (although some systems allow voters to
vote directly for candidates).
CUMULATIVE VOTING
In cumulative voting,
voters cast as many votes as there are seats. The most common form
of cumulative voting allows voters to allocate their votes however
they wish, including giving all their votes to their favorite
candidate.
Because voters in a
minority can assign all of their votes to one candidate, that
candidate can win with support from fewer voters than in a
traditional at-large election. The ìthreshold of exclusionî is the
lowest percentage of support that ensures a candidate will win no
matter what other voters do. With cumulative voting, this threshold
is equal to 1+(1/(Seats +1)), which is 20% in a
four-seat race and 10% in a nine-seat race.
In practice, a cohesive
block of voters can elect a candidate with less than the threshold
of exclusion, as majority community voters are unlikely to
distribute their votes evenly among a number of candidates equal in
number to the number of seats (with cumulative voting) or not to
rank any minority-supported voters before some majority-supported
candidates (with choice voting).
The equal allocation form
of cumulative voting may promote more coalition-building and provide
easier voting instructions. Voters simply vote for as many
candidates as they like, and votes are allocated equally among these
candidates. In a five seat race, for example, a voter choosing two
candidates would give each candidate 2.5 votes, while a voter
choosing four candidates would give each candidate 1.25 votes. A
locality presently using at-large voting in which the voters are
voluntarily limiting their choices to less than the full number for
whom they may vote could easily change to this system. Most voters
would not have to change their voting behavior, but could do so if
they wished.
Cumulative voting was
used for more than a century to elect the house of representatives
in Illinois. In recent years cumulative voting has been adopted to
resolve voting rights cases in over fifty localities, including
Amarillo (TX), Peoria (IL), and Chilton County (AL). A member of the
racial or ethnic minority won office in nearly every subsequent
election in which a minority candidate participated.5
LIMITED VOTING
Limited voting is similar
to traditional at-large elections, except voters may cast fewer
votes than the number of seats available. The greater the difference
between the number of seats and the number of votes, the greater the
opportunities for fair representation of those in the minority. The
threshold of exclusion for limited voting is 1 +
(Votes/(Votes+Seats)) where ìVotesî is the maximum number
of votes cast by each voter and ìSeatsî is the number of seats to be
filled in the election. In a race to elect five candidates in which
voters had two votes, any cohesive group of voters comprising more
than 2/7 of the electorate would be guaranteed to win one seat.
(Why would this group not
win two seats, you ask. If the other 5/7 of the voting population
divided their votes equally among four candidates, each of the
majorityís candidates would win. For instance, assume there are 350
voters. The threshold would be one more than 2/7 of 350, or 101. One
hundred cast their votes for minority candidates X and Y, 125 cast
votes for A and B, and 125 cast their for C and D. The winners would
be A, B, C, D and either X or Y. On the other hand, if the majority
group tried to win all five seats, the most votes each of its five
candidates could receive would be 100 each.)
Limited voting has been
or is used in Rome, New York; Hartford and other Connecticut cities
and towns; in Pennsylvania counties; and in several counties in
North Carolina and small towns in Alabama.6 Limited
voting was also used in 12 three-member districts and one for-member
district in the British Parliament between 1867 and 1885 (when the
three-member districts were abolished); in each case, the voter
could cast one vote less than the number of seats. It has also been
used to elect the former City Council in Gibraltar (four votes for
seven councilors) and has been used since 1968 for the Gibraltar
House of Assembly (eight votes for 15 seats). Japan used limited
voting (one vote in three-, four-, and five-member constituencies)
for electing the Diet, its house of representatives, until 1996 when
it converted to another semi-proportional system. Limited voting is
used for the election of the Spanish upper house (mostly three votes
for four seats in each district).7
CHOICE VOTING
Choice voting (also
called ìpreference votingî and ìsingle transferable voteî) is a form
of limited voting in which voters have one vote, but can maximize
the strength of this vote by ranking candidates in order of
preference. Voting is easy with choice voting, but determining the
results is more complicated.
To vote, electors simply
indicate their first choice candidate, and ar second choice and so
one. Voters can rank as many candidates as they wish, knowing that
supporting a lower choice may help that lower choice, but will never
help defeat a higher choice.
Candidates win by gaining
enough votes to guarantee victory. The most commonly used ìwinning
thresholdî is the same number as the ìthreshold of exclusionî in a
cumulative voting race; e.g., the fewest number of votes that only
can be obtained by winning candidates. Thus, in a race to elect
three seats with 100,000 voters, the winning threshold is 25,001, as
the most votes that a fourth-place candidate could obtain would be
24,997.
To ensure that as many
voters as possible help elect someone and that support cannot be
split between similar candidates, ballots are transferred during the
ballot-count to the next candidate ranked on the ballot when a
higher choice is already elected or has no chance to win. Ballots
count for a voterís highest-ranked candidate who can win with the
vote. A sample count in a choice voting election is included in the
appendix to this article.
Choice voting is used for
national elections in Ireland and Australia and for local elections
since 1941 in Cambridge (MA),Blacks make up less than 20%of
Cambridgeís population, but have been represented on council since
the 1950s and as if 2001 hold two seats on the council and school
board. It was used for New York city council elections in the
LaGuardia era, Cincinnati from 1925 through 1955, and 21 other
American cities, but fell victim anti-reform forces when people of
color and leftists won seats (Kathleen Barber, Proportional
Representation and Electoral Reform in Ohio 11 ff (1995)).
Choice voting is also
used in New York City community school board elections.
Unfortunately, many observers have dismissed the system as
complicated without trying to understand the fairness of the
representation that is has producedóa problem magnified by the fact
that most eligible voters have little interest in these elections
and that the ballot-count administration is done with very
primitive, slow methods. In 1998, the state legislature voted to
convert these elections to limited voting, but the Department of
Justice refused to preclear the change due to the fair results
generated by the choice voting system.
The Asian American Legal
Defense and Education Fund in New York City reports that in 1996 11
of 15 Asian American candidates were elected, despite the Asian
population being below 20% (usually much lower) in every school
district in the city. The report found that ìa majority of the Asian
American candidates who ran in those electionsn seem in agreement
that the proportional representation system of voting works to the
advantage of minority candidates and votersÖThe majority of
candidates did not support the notion of abandoning the entire
system when many of its weaknesses are clearly due to mistakes of
elections officials at specific stages of the election processî
(AALDF, Asian American Participation in the 1996 New York City
Community School Board Elections).
WINNER-TAKE-ALL
ELECTIONS DILUTE MINORITY REPRESENTATION
Multi-member districts
typically cause a severe underrepresentation of racial minority
groups-perhaps even a complete exclusion of the minority group
(Richard L. Engstrom and Michael D. McDonald, ìThe Effect of
At-Large versus District Elections on Racial Representation in U.S.
Municipalities,î in Bernard Grofman and Arend Lijphart, eds.,
Electoral Laws and Their Political Consequences, 1986).
It is an unfortunate fact
of life that racially polarized voting exists. Racially polarized
voting simply means that two racial groups vote cohesively within
each racial group and differently from the other group. The fact
that the two groups vote differently and cohesively does not assign
blame or even tell us a reason for the difference. Racial
polarization may be based on the different political interests of
the two groups, or it may be based on their prejudices about the
other group. It is really fruitless for election system designers to
try to decide why polarization occurs; instead, they should try to
alleviate its pernicious effects.
Any ìwinner-take-allî
election will allow racially polarized voting to have an effect.
Assume, for instance, that a city had two polarized groups, the
Blues and the Greens. If the Blues win 51% of the vote in an
at-large election, they will win all the seats. Many cities have
adopted single-member district plans as a method of ameliorating the
effect of racially polarized voting. If the Blues and Greens were
residentially concentrated, it would be a simple matter to draw
districts in which one group or the other had a clear majority. For
instance, the Blues with 55% of the cityís population could be the
majority in three districts, and the Greens in two. This example of
the Blues and Greens is not far-fetched. In 1832, the Democrats
swept New Jerseyís at-large election for members of the U.S. House
by winning with a margin of 24 votes (the lowest Democrat over the
highest National Republican); overall the range of votes was 23,257
to 24,383 (The Guide to U.S. Elections, 714, 726, 1985).
In the Blue-Green
example, single-member districts provide an adequate remedy because
the city has a geographically concentrated minority that votes
cohesively. On the other hand, the city may have a racial minority
for which one district cannot be drawn. In many cities, for
instance, Hispanics live in several areas of the city, but still
have a distinctive and cohesive political agenda. Or the minority
group may be cohesive in wishing to have its own representation, but
different factions would like to have the upper hand in choosing the
representative. Letís assume the city council has agreed to draw one
black majority district, but not all blacks can be fitted into the
district. Should the district start at the northern end of the back
residential area leaving out the southern endóor vice versa? What if
the Booker T. Washington faction wants different district boundaries
than the W.E.B. DuBois faction? How does the city council make a
decision between those plans?
An alternative election
system would avoid most of these problems. Choice voting, limited
voting, and cumulative voting do as well as, if not better than,
single-member districts in ameliorating the effects of racial bloc
voting. Rather than drawing districts for each group, these
alternative systems allow voters to group themselves into ìvoluntary
constituencies.î Such non-geographic groupings will allow the
formation of bi-racial coalitions and racial crossover voting, both
of which might have been frustrated by the rigid district lines
imposed under single-member districts. Cumulative voting and limited
voting give minority groups a chance to have some representation on
the council, while choice voting gives each group a chance at fair
representation. Because a minority group will want to undertake a
cautious strategy of minimizing the votes they receive, cumulative
voting and limited voting may only result in only one minority
representative. On the other hand, because choice voting allows
votes to be transferred according to the wishes of each voter, the
minority group does not need to limit the number of its candidates
and may be able to win several seats on the council.
Finally, these
alternative elections systems may provide female candidates with a
greater electoral opportunity than single-member districts do.
Studies of various types of electoral systems have shown that women
do better in multi-member plans than in single-member district
plans.8 Generally, the larger the number of members
elected from a particular district, the more likely it is that women
will be elected. Thus, any system electing several council members
in the same election or district will probably elect more women than
single-member districts.
MODIFIED AT-LARGE
SYSTEMS ARE FAIR TO THE MINORITY
While modified at-large
elections give minority groups representation, the majority of the
electorate is not short-changed by their use. Winner-take-all
inevitably leads to ìwasted votes,î which occur whenever a voter
gets nothing back for his or her vote. While the number of wasted
votes may be diminished by districting, all the people in the
minority political group in each district will still be wasting
their votes-the election results will not be affected by their
participation. Under the example of the Blues and Greens, discussed
above, the line drawers usually put some of each group in each
district, but make sure that there are enough of one group to make
that district ìsafeî for its candidates. When the city creates a
district with a voting majority of some minority group, it generally
has to add enough voters from some other group to make the requisite
number of people to meet the one-person-one-vote standard. Two law
professors have called these added voters ìfiller peopleî: ^
These additional
individuals must not be of the relevant demographic group (in order
to avoid claims of packing [the district to reduce the minority
groupís influence in other districts]), and in the interest of
minority representation, they should not be expected to compete in
any genuine sense for electoral representation in the district to
which they are assigned lest they undo the preference given to the
specified minority group (T. Alexander Aleinikoff and Samuel
Isaacharoff, ìRace and Redistricting: Drawing Constitutional Lines
after Shaw v. Reno,î 92 Mich. L. Rev., 588, 631, 1993).
By avoiding both
districts and winner-take-all elections, alternative election plans
eliminate ìfiller peopleî and reduce waste votes greatly. For
instance, in a choice voting election for five members of a city
council, we know that at least 5/6 of the ballots will be counted
for winning candidates. Many of the final 1/6 of the voters might
have expressed a preference for one or more of the winners, so that
the number of wasted votes will be even less than 1/6. Contrast that
with the wasted votes in five single-member districts; as many as
49% of the voters in each district could have voted for a losing
candidate.
Because of the way
limited voting and cumulative voting work, it is much harder to
predict the number of potentially wasted votes. An empirical study
of the limited voting and cumulative voting elections in Alabama has
shown that at least 73% of the voters in limited voting
jurisdictions and at least 61% of the voters in cumulative voting
jurisdictions have voted for winning candidates.9 The
number of wasted votes will depend, of course, upon the particular
conditions in the election. If there are many candidates with fairly
even support in the electorate, the number of wasted votes could
fall closer to or even exceed 50% of the electorate.
The will of the majority
can also be frustrated by a candidate winning a seat with only a
plurality of the vote. While most medium sized and large cities have
runoffs, they are less common in county and state elections outside
the South.10 If several such candidates in a multi-member
district election are all supported by the same group of voters,
that majority of the voters can win a majority of the council or
other legislative body. Similarly, in single-member district
elections, one group could win a majority of the seats with only a
majority of the vote in a majority of the districts and no other
votes at all-again, a plurality of the voters would have elected a
majority of the council. For instance, consider the results in the
1993 Canadian election:
In the election,
Canadians clearly wanted to show the ruling Progressive
Conservatives that they had lost confidence in them, and the party
won only 16% of the popular vote. However, the workings of the
voting system turned a show of non-confidence into a massacre.
Rather than electing 46 of the 295 members that a proportional
system would have provided, the Tories elected only two. By
contrast, two regionally-based parties, the Bloc Quebecois and
Reform, with 13% and 19% of the popular vote respectively, elected
54 and 52 Members. The voting system also turned the victorious
Liberalsí 41% of the vote into a very solid majority of 177 seats
(Henry Milner, ìProspects for Electoral Reform in Canada,î Voting
and Democracy Report 1995, 159, Washington: Center for Voting a
Democracy, 1995).
The results of the 1997
Canadian elections were even more skewed. The Bloc Quebecois won
only 37.9% of the vote in Quebec, but captured a comfortable
majority of the provinceís delegation and will be the third largest
party in parliament despite not fielding any candidates outside of
Quebec. Meanwhile, the second largest party in parliament, the
Reform party, has no patience with Quebecís separatists and won no
seats east of the western province of Manitoba. To add to the
distortions, the governing Liberals also won two-thirds of their
seats in only one provinceóOntario, where their 49.5% of the vote
won an astounding 101 of 103 seats.11 The results in
Canada show the distortions that can occur when the people spread
their votes around among several parties, but the election system is
still winner-take-all.
Limited voting and
cumulative voting elections could also allow a minority of voters to
control a majority of the council. For instance, three of five
council seats might be won by three different ìsingle issueî groups
if each had the support of about 15% of the electorate, and the
remainder of the electorate was fragmented in its choices for the
council.
Minority control is
extremely unlikely under choice voting. Assume that a particular
group with about 52% of the voters endorses five candidates for the
five-member city council. If all the voters in the group case their
preferences for all five candidates of the groupóin any orderóthe
group will win three seats, since it has enough voters to fill three
threshold (each threshold would be 1/6 + 1, so three seats would be
elected by 3/6 + 3 of all the votes).
MODIFIED AT-LARGE
ELECTIONS MAY INCREASE TURNOUT
Several political science
and legal commentators have contended that single-member districts
depress voter turnout because of ìincumbency lock.î In a study of
Latino politics, two political scientists said,
Thus, in these [barrio]
districts, incumbents have few electoral incentives to mobilize
new voters; moreover, they are not indebted to their party for
their office, and they have no reason to seek party support to win
re-election. These districts are also safe districts for the
incumbentís party. Thus, neither the incumbent nor the party is
likely to try to mobilize voters in these districts. The design of
these districts, therefore, may effectively eliminate the partyís
need to mobilize the grassroots (Rodolpho O. de la Garza and Louis
DeSipio, ìOverview: The Link Between Individuals and Electoral
Institutions in five Latino Neighborhoods,î in de la Garza, et
al., eds., Barrio Ballots: Latino Politics in the 1990 Elections,
1994).
Professor Lani Guinier
has taken her criticism a step earlier in timeóto the creation of
the district.
[D]istricting decisions
may simply reflect the arbitrary preferences of incumbent
politicians who prefer packed, safe districts to ensure their
reelection. Indeed, districting battles are often pitched between
incumbents fighting to retain their seats, without regard to
issues of voter representation. Because the choice of districts is
so arbitrary, incumbents enjoy extraordinary leverage in
self-perpetuation through gerrymandering.
Thus, districting
strategies often promote noncompetitive election contests, which
further reduce voter participation and interest (Lani Guinier, ìNo
Two Seats: The Elusive Quest for Political Equality,î 77 Va. L.
Rev. 1413, 1451-52, 1454-55, 1991 (footnotes omitted)).
Since alternative
election systems do not use districts, they avoid the problems of
incumbency lock and depressed voter turnout associated with
districts. In limited voting, cumulative voting, or choice voting
elections, all candidatesóincumbents and challengers alikeóare
running against each other. No incumbent has a ìfree ride,î but must
instead rally the faithful behind his or her candidacy.
In a study of municipal
elections in four Massachusetts cities, George Pillsbury found that
voter turnout had declined in all four, but less in Cambridge (which
uses choice voting) than in the other three (which use plurality
voting). Pillsbury concluded, ìÖthe evidence certainly points to
choice voting providing more incentive for voters to participate
than plurality electionsî (George Pillsbury, ìPreference Voting and
Voter Turnout,î Voting and Democracy Report 1995, 79-80 (Washington:
Center for Voting and Democracy, 1995)).12 Arend Lijphart
has explained the connection between the voting system and turnout
in this way:
Proportional
representation (PR) tends to simulate voter participation by
giving the voters more choices and by eliminating the problem of
wasted votesÖfrom which systems using single-member districts
suffer, this makes it more attractive for individuals to cast
their votes and for parties to mobilize voters even in areas of
the country in which they are weak. Recent comparative studies
have estimated that the turnout boost from PR is somewhere between
9 and 12% (Arend Lijphart, ìUnequal Participation: Democracyís
Unresolved Dilemma,î 91, American Political Science Review, 1.7,
1997).
GERRYMANDERING IS
NOT A PROBLEM WITH MODIFIED AT-LARGE
Gerrymandering is defined
as ìpolitical manipulation within the process of drawing district
boundariesî (Michael D. McDonald and Richard L. Engstrom, ìDetecting
Gerrymandering,î in Bernard Grofman, ed., Political Gerrymandering
and the Courts 182 (1990)). In essence, it is the effort by one
group to force a disfavored group to waste its votes. Methods of
gerrymandering include packing, stacking, and cracking. Cracking is
splitting a political groupís population concentration to prevent it
from having a majority in a district. Stacking occurs when a group
numerous enough to elect one representative is combined with an
opposing group in a multi-member district. Packing is the over
concentration of a group in one or a few districts to prevent its
members from having an impact in adjoining districts (Gus Tyler,
ìCourt versus Legislature: The Sociopolitics of Malapportionment,î
27 Law and Contemporary Problems, 390, 400, 1962).
By definition,
gerrymandering can only occur if there are districts. Therefore,
eliminating districts eliminates gerrymanders. Any of the
non-single-member districts election systems may be run from the
city at-large or from smaller, multi-member districts. A city
electing fewer than a dozen members of a city council can easily run
an election in the whole city. The alternative election systems have
the advantage of completely eliminating the cost of redistricting.
INTER-CENSUS
MALAPPORTIONMENT IS ALSO AVOIDED
A city can spend a lot of
money on a districting plan (including perhaps on a court challenge
to the plan), but the plan will be malapportioned as soon as there
are significant changes in the population of the city. For instance,
the annexation of territory with occupied houses, the creation of
new subdivisions or residential apartments in the city, the movement
of people out of a decaying neighborhoodóall these can cause changes
in the population of the various districts. Even before the city
reaches the next census, its districts can be malapportioned.
Any system without
districts will avoid this creeping malapportionment problem.
CHOICE VOTING MAY
REDUCE THE COST OF CAMPAIGNS AND ELECTION ADMINISTRATION
There are several factors
that may affect the cost of campaigns for the candidates:
… The absolute number of
people who are potential voters for a particular office. If the
candidate wants to use direct mail or telephone banks to reach 5,000
voters, the cost will be less than reaching 50,000 voters by the
same method. Similarly, a smaller district size may allow the
candidate to make personal contact with all the voters, while she
will have to use media or surrogates to contact everyone in a larger
district.
… The number of
votes the candidate expects to need to win. In a winner-take-all
election, this will be one-half of all the votes. This is true if
there are three or more candidates. Since it is possible that some
candidates could receive negligible numbers of votes. On the other
hand, in the alternative election systems the usual number of votes
needed is 1+(1/(Seats +1)). Thus, if candidates are able to target
direct mail, phone bank, or media campaigns, they may be able to
spend their money more effectively on voters who are likely to
provide them a margin of victory.
… The number of campaigns
the candidate must endure to win office. For instance, a candidate
will have to spend more money to run in a partisan primary, a
possible runoff, and the general election than on a nonpartisan
election with no runoff. These three alternative systems have the
advantage that they can eliminate the necessity of having (general
election or primary) runoffs, and choice voting eliminates the
necessity of partisan nominating primaries.
… Joint political
advertisements. If the candidate must run a media campaign that will
reach many voters who are not in her district, she might be able to
share the cost with other candidates by running joint adsófor
example, ìVote for the Cost-Cutting Team of Smith (District 1),
Katzenbach (District 2), and Paglia (District 3).ìThese joint ads
will be more effective if all the candidates listed are running in
the same multi-member district, as they would be under multi-member
districts, limited voting, cumulative voting, or choice voting.
… Eliminating ìswing
voterî support. Candidates can win under an alternative system with
the support of voters already inclined to support the candidate
rather than needing the support of ìswing votersî who by definition
do not like either candidate. A disproportionate amount of money in
single-member district elections must be spent on either winning the
support of these swing voters or keeping them from the polls with a
negative campaign.
While there will be some
tradeoffs in costs, a choice voting election campaign is likely to
be more cost-efficient for the candidate. The candidate can target
potential supporters wherever they live in the jurisdiction and not
have to run multiple election campaigns.
Just as it costs more for
the candidates to run in two or three elections (primary, general,
runoff), the cost to the jurisdiction is greater also. By holding
only one election, the jurisdiction avoids the cost of polling
officials and election supplies (and in some places the rental cost
of the polling places) for a second or third election.
In the past, one of the
complaints about choice voting has been that the counting of the
ballots took too long. For instance, in Cambridge, Massachusetts,
ballot-counting typically took four days for the city council race
However, the City since 1997 has computerized its ballot, using
optical scan ballots and software from Voting Solutions, that
generate unofficial results on election nights and final results
within 24 hours. In terms of simplicity of marking the ballot, the
ìXî voting (winner-take-all) systems are likely to take the prize.
But for whom should individuals cast their ballot? If the voters are
Perot supporters in 1996, should they stick with Perot and probably
throw away their vote, or make a choice between Clinton and Dole? If
voters are pretty sure Perot will lose, they might switch to the
least objectionable second choice.
In choice voting
elections the voter has only to mark first, second, third,Ö(and so
on) choices. Here an individual could vote for Perot first and
Clinton second with the assurance that the vote for Perot would
ìsend those politicians a messageî but still allow the second vote
to have an effect in choosing the winner. (Such an ìinstant runoffî
system in fact is used in several countries and is under
consideration in a growing number of American ciites and states.)
Cumulative voting voters
are likely to suffer from the agonies of strategic voting, just as
the winner-take-all voters do. If individuals have five votes, but
think that their party can probably get only one or two candidates
elected, should they call all their votes for one candidate or
divide them among two candidates? If they divide their votes, which
candidate gets three or four votes and which only one or two? All of
these calculations have to be made in trying to figure out what
like-minded voters and the opposing voters are going to do. In
short, the voter has to play a three-dimensional video game with a
constantly moving target.
Limited voting voters may
have to make the same sort of strategic choice if there is more than
one attractive candidate. Voting for a losing candidate is a wasted
vote, and it is especially wasted if there was another candidate who
could have been helped by the votes received by the loser.
WHAT SYSTEM IS
ìTHE BESTî?
As Bernard Grofman and
Shaun Bowler have recently argued, the ìbestî system can vary
depending on the questions one asks. They compared party list
proportional representation (the typical European system), the
alternative systems discussed in this article, and winner-take-all
by looking at whether they encourage candidate centered or
party-centered politics, encourage a parochial or jurisdiction-wide
outlook by candidates, make it difficult for voters to make
effective votes, and encourage coalition building (Bernard Grofman
and Shaun Bowler, ìSTVís Place in the Family of Electoral Systems:
The Theoretical Comparisons and Contrasts,î 34, Representation, 43,
1997).
Each of the alternatives
discussed in this article are candidate-centered, as are traditional
multi- and single-member district plans.
While single-member
district plans encourage each candidate and office holder to focus
on ìbringing home the baconî to constituents, multi-member plans and
alternative systems generally encourage a view that encompasses the
whole geographic area of the jurisdiction-although alternative
systems ensure that any minority group of significant size with
pressing geographic interest can elect a candidate of its choice.
Voters will have the
easiest time in causing an effective vote in choice voting because
they may rank the candidates and are assured that their ballot will
be counted for one of their choices. Wasted votes are still a
problem in Limited and cumulative voting, although it is mostly
self-imposed rather than the result of a gerrymander. In those two
systems, voters and candidates organizations may misjudge the
potential popularity of candidates so that there are too many
candidates vying for the votes of like-minded voters. As already
noted, wasted votes are endemic to traditional winner-take-all
plans.
Just as voters may have
difficulty in casting effective votes under cumulative voting, they
may also be discouraged from forming coalitions by fear that they
may be diluting their votes for high-preference candidates by
sharing them with coalition partners. In limited voting, the fixed
number of votes for each elector will obviate the coalition problem,
but the effective vote problem remains. Choice voting allows voters
the assurance that their ballots will count for their first choices
if needed by the first choice, but the second choice if need by that
candidate, and so on.
While limited and cumulative voting ought to be
considered by election reformers who have decided to abandon
winner-take-all elections in a particular case, we believe they will
be eclipsed by an honest appraisal of the merits of choice
voting.