Average Margin of Victory

Margin of Victory: The winner's percentage of all votes cast minus the second-place candidate's percentage

Rank
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25     
 State 
Montana
North Dakota
New Hampshire 
New Mexico
Nevada
Indiana
Kentucky
Washington
Connecticut
Minnesota
Utah
Iowa
Missouri
Oregon
Wisconsin
Hawaii
Kansas
South Carolina
Arkansas
Maine
New Jersey
Michigan
Rhode Island
Georgia
North Carolina
Margin
5.2%
8.4%
11.7%
19.1%
21.1%
22.4%
22.8%
22.9%
24.2%
24.9%
25.9%
26.1%
30.7%
32.5%
33%
33%
33.1%
33.7%
34.4%
35.1%
35.5%
35.9%
36%
36.6%
36.7%
             Rank
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50     
 State 
Delaware
Oklahoma
California
Wyoming
Colorado
Ohio
Idaho
Mississippi
Maryland
Pennsylvania
Illinois
Texas
Nebraska
New York
South Dakota
Alabama
Virginia
Florida
Alaska
West Virginia
Arizona
Tennessee
Vermont
Louisiana
Massachusetts 
Margin
36.8%
36.9%
37.6%
38.3%
38.5%
38.7%
39.1%
40.3%
40.6%
42.1%
42.9%
43.9%
45.7%
46.6%
48.5%
49.4%
50.3%
51.6%
53%
53.6%
55.4%
55.6%
58.1%
59.8%
72.9%
Ranking the States
Please see menu on the left for the various rankings.

States are ranked in the following categories:

Voter Turnout: The percentage of the voting eligible population which voted in a state's U.S. House elections (as opposed to statewide and presidential elections). We use population estimates by Professor Michael McDonald at George Mason University.  His figures estimate the number of voting age adults who are eligible to vote, which means they excludes non-citizens and ex-felons in states that disenfranchise them.

Representation: This index measures the percentage of adult voters in a state who voted for the winning candidate in House elections; it is determined by multiplying voter turnout in U.S. House races by the percentage of votes cast for winning candidates.

Landslide Index: Percentage of all races won by at least 20%

Margin of Victory: The winner's percentage of all votes cast minus the second-place candidate's percentage

Seats-to-Votes Distortion: The seats-to votes distortion measures the extent to which one party wins a greater percentage of seats than votes and the other party wins a smaller percentage of seats than votes.  You add the percentage distortion for each party and divide by two.  For example, if Democrats won 10% more seats than votes and Republicans 6% fewer seats than votes, the distortion would be 8.0%.

Democracy Index: A state's average ranking in key categories: average margin of victory (measuring overall competitiveness), landslide index(measuring number of somewhat competitive races), seats-to-votes distortion(measuring how well the intent of voters was reflected by results) and representation index (weighted double, as it measures both voter participation and the percentage of effective votes that elect someone)