VIRGINIA

(11 seats: 5R, 6D / Clinton 1996: 45%, -4, down 2)

Virginia had a remarkably non-competitive year -- the closest of 11 races was won by 24%. Due to a suit against the state's black majority district, the legislature re-drew legislative districts, but with an eye toward protecting all of the incumbents. The paucity of challengers is evidence of their likely success.


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PREDICTION: Uncontested Win (7: 3R, 4D)
  1996: 1994: 1992: Clinton: First:
{1. Herbert Bateman (R)}* 99% (U) 74% 58% 40% (-9, 0) 1982
2. Owen Pickett (D)* 65% 59% 56% 44% (-5, up 3) 1986
3. Robert Scott (D)* 82% 79% 79% 72% (+23, up 1) 1992
4. Norman Sisisky (D)* 79% 62% 68% 46% (-3, up 1) 1992
5. Virgil Goode (D) 61% - - 43% (-6, down 3) 1996
{7. Thomas Bliley (R)}* 75% 84% (U) 83% (U) 35% (-14, down 1) 1980
11. Tom Davis (R)* 64% 53% - 48% (-1, 0) 1994

 

PREDICTION: Landslide Win (3: 2R, 1D)
  1996: 1994: 1992: Clinton: First:
6. Bob Goodlatte (R)* 67% 100% (U) 60% 41% (-8, down 2) 1992
8. James Moran (D)* 66% 59% 56% 55% (+6, down 2) 1990
{10. Frank Wolf (R)}* 72% 87% (U) 64% 38% (-11, down 1) 1980


PREDICTION: Comfortable Win (1: 1D)
  1996: 1994: 1992: Clinton: First:
9. Rick Boucher (D)* 65% 59% 63% 46% (-3, down 5) 1982

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