Virginia had a remarkably non-competitive year -- the closest of 11 races was won by 24%. Due to a suit against the state's black majority district, the legislature re-drew legislative districts, but with an eye toward protecting all of the incumbents. The paucity of challengers is evidence of their likely success.
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PREDICTION: Uncontested Win (7: 3R, 4D) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
{1. Herbert Bateman (R)}* | 99% (U) | 74% | 58% | 40% (-9, 0) | 1982 |
2. Owen Pickett (D)* | 65% | 59% | 56% | 44% (-5, up 3) | 1986 |
3. Robert Scott (D)* | 82% | 79% | 79% | 72% (+23, up 1) | 1992 |
4. Norman Sisisky (D)* | 79% | 62% | 68% | 46% (-3, up 1) | 1992 |
5. Virgil Goode (D) | 61% | - | - | 43% (-6, down 3) | 1996 |
{7. Thomas Bliley (R)}* | 75% | 84% (U) | 83% (U) | 35% (-14, down 1) | 1980 |
11. Tom Davis (R)* | 64% | 53% | - | 48% (-1, 0) | 1994 |
PREDICTION: Landslide Win (3: 2R, 1D) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
6. Bob Goodlatte (R)* | 67% | 100% (U) | 60% | 41% (-8, down 2) | 1992 |
8. James Moran (D)* | 66% | 59% | 56% | 55% (+6, down 2) | 1990 |
{10. Frank Wolf (R)}* | 72% | 87% (U) | 64% | 38% (-11, down 1) | 1980 |
PREDICTION: Comfortable Win (1: 1D) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
9. Rick Boucher (D)* | 65% | 59% | 63% | 46% (-3, down 5) | 1982 |
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