Jimmy Duncan's district is the only House district in the Deep South belt of North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, Alabama and Mississippi (redistricting made relative gauges difficult in districts in Georgia) where the Democratic performance rose -- by all of 1%. Duncan and five other incumbents cruised to landslide victories. Democrat Bart Gordon is the only incumbent in some danger in 1998, although "untouchable" Democrat Clement may face more competition than usual.
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| PREDICTION: Uncontested Win (3: 2R, 1D) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
| 2. Jimmy Duncan (R)* | 71% | 90% (U) | 72% | 42% (-7, up 1) | 1988 |
| 7. Ed Bryant (R)* | 64% | 60% | - | 41% (-8, down 5) | 1994 |
| 8. John Tanner (D)* | 67% | 64% | 84% (U) | 50% (+1, down 4) | 1988 |
| PREDICTION: Landslide Win (3: 1R, 2D) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
| 1. Bill Jenkins (R) | 65% | - | - | 37% (-12, down 6) | 1996 |
| 5. Bob Clement (D)* | 72% | 60% | 67% | 55% (+6, down 4) | 1988 |
| 9. Harold Ford, Jr. (D) | 61% | - | - | 71% (+22, down 1) | 1996 |
| PREDICTION: Comfortable Win (2: 2R) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
| 3. Zach Wamp (R)* | 56% | 52% | - | 46% (-3, down 4) | 1994 |
| 4. Van Hilleary (R)* | 56% | 56% | - | 46% (-3, down 8) | 1994 |
| PREDICTION: Vulnerable (1: 1D) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
| 6. Bart Gordon (D)* | 54% (C) | 51% | 57% | 45% (-4, down 9) | 1984 |
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