Ohio Democrats picked up two of the four seats they lost in 1994. At least five races should be quite competitive in 1998, but most seats will continue to be one-sided. In an indication of great voter consistency, Democratic performance in Ohio changed more than 2% in only two districts -- and in those districts it changed by only 3%.
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PREDICTION: Landslide Winner (12: 8R, 4D) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
{2. Rob Portman (R)}* | 72% | 77% | - | 34% (-15, down 1) | 1993 |
3. Tony Hall (D)* | 64% | 59% | 60% | 50% (+1, up 2) | 1978 |
{4. Michael Oxley (R)}* | 65% | 100% (U) | 61% | 37% (-12, 0) | 1981 |
5. Paul Gilmor (R)* | 61% | 73% | 100% (U) | 42% (-7, up 2) | 1988 |
7. David Hobson (R)* | 68% | 100% (U) | 71% | 41% (-8, up 2) | 1990 |
{8. John Boehner (R)}* | 70% | 100% (U) | 74% | 37% (-12, up 2) | 1990 |
9. Marcy Kaptur (D)* | 77% | 75% | 74% | 55% (+6, up 2) | 1982 |
11. OPEN [Louis Stokes (D)*] | [81%] | [77%] | [69%] | 79% (+30, 0) | [1968] |
12. John Kasich (R)* | 64% | 67% | 71% | 47% (-2, 0) | 1982 |
15. Deborah Pryce (R)* | 71% | 71% | 44% | 44% (-5, up 3) | 1992 |
16. Ralph Regula (R)* | 69% | 75% | 64% | 43% (-6, 0) | 1972 |
17. James Traficant (D)* | 91% (U) | 77% | 84% | 58% (+9, up 2) | 1984 |
PREDICTION: Win (2: 1R, 1D) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
14. Tom Sawyer (D)* | 54% (C) | 52% | 68% | 53% (+4, up 1) | 1986 |
19. Steve LaTourette (R)* | 55% | 48% | - | 48% (-1, up 2) | 1994 |
PREDICTION: Vulnerable (4: 2R, 2D) | |||||
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1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
1. Steve Chabot (R)* | 54% (C) | 56% | - | 50% (+1, up 1) | 1994 |
10. Dennis Kucinich (D) | 49% | - | - | 51% (+2. up 3) | 1996 |
13. Sherrod Brown (D)* | 60% | 49% | 53% | 46% (-3, up 2) | 1992 |
18. Bob Ney (R)* | 50% | 54% | - | 47% (-2, down 2) | 1994 |
PREDICTION: Underdog (1D) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
6. Ted Strickland (D) | 51% | - | - | 45% (-4, 0) | 1996 |
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