Two Democrats who continue to win easily in Republican-leaning districts are the key to their overall majority in Missouri. Three districts trended strongly Republican -- in the two open seat races and in district 9, where Harold Volkmer was one of only three Democratic incumbents to lose in 1996.
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| PREDICTION: Landslide Win (5: 2R, 3D) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
| 1. William Clay (D)* | 70% | 63% | 68% | 74% (+25, 0) | 1968 |
| 2. James Talent (R)* | 61% | 67% | 50% | 41% (-8, down 1) | 1992 |
| 5. Karen McCarthy (D)* | 67% | 57% | - | 58% (+9, 0) | 1994 |
| 6. Pat Danner (D)* | 69% | 66% | 55% | 46% (-3, 0) | 1992 |
| {7. Roy Blunt (R)} | 65% | - | - | 37% (-12, down 6) | 1996 |
| PREDICTION: Comfortable Win (3: 1R, 2D) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
| 3. Richard Gephardt (D)* | 59% (L) | 58% | 64% | 49% (0, down 1) | 1976 |
| 4. Ike Skelton (D)* | 64% | 68% | 70% | 41% (-8, down 2) | 1976 |
| 8. Jo Ann Emerson (R) | 50% (C) | - | - | 45% (-4, down 7) | 1996 |
| PREDICTION: Win (1: 1R) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
| 9. Kenny Hulshof (R) | 49% | - | - | 44% (-5, down 3) | 1996 |
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