Reflecting Maryland's connections to the south, Democratic
performance was slightly down in five districts and even in three. But as in 1994, all
races were won easily -- the closest race out of 16 in 1994-1996 was won by 14%. Six
incumbents appear very safe in 1998; Connie Morella theoretically should face stiffer
competition, but her socially liberal brand of Republicanism has fit in well with the
wealthiest district in the nation.
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PREDICTION: Landslide Win (6: 3R, 3D) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
1. Wayne Gilchrest (R)* | 62% | 68% | 52% | 43% (-6, 0) | 1990 |
{2. Robert Ehrlich, Jr. (R)}* | 62% | 63% | - | 40% (-9, down 2) | 1994 |
3. Benjamin Cardin (D)* | 67% | 71% | 74% | 58% (+9, down 2) | 1986 |
4. Albert Wynn (D)* | 85% | 75% | 75% | 80% (+31, 0) | 1992 |
{6. Roscoe Bartlett (R)}* | 57% | 66% | 54% | 38% (-11, down 2) | 1992 |
7. Elijah Cummings (D)* | 83% | 81% | - | 81% (+32, down 3) | 1996 |
PREDICTION: Comfortable Win (2: 1R, 1D) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
5. Steny Hoyer (D)* | 57% | 59% | 53% | 51% (+2, 0) | 1981 |
8. Connie Morella (R)* | 61% | 70% | 73% | 57% (+8, down 2) | 1986 |
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