MARYLAND

(8 seats: 4R, 4D / Clinton 1996: 54%, +5, down 2)

Reflecting Maryland's connections to the south, Democratic performance was slightly down in five districts and even in three. But as in 1994, all races were won easily -- the closest race out of 16 in 1994-1996 was won by 14%. Six incumbents appear very safe in 1998; Connie Morella theoretically should face stiffer competition, but her socially liberal brand of Republicanism has fit in well with the wealthiest district in the nation.
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PREDICTION: Landslide Win (6: 3R, 3D)
  1996: 1994: 1992: Clinton: First:
1. Wayne Gilchrest (R)* 62% 68% 52% 43% (-6, 0) 1990
{2. Robert Ehrlich, Jr. (R)}* 62% 63% - 40% (-9, down 2) 1994
3. Benjamin Cardin (D)* 67% 71% 74% 58% (+9, down 2) 1986
4. Albert Wynn (D)* 85% 75% 75% 80% (+31, 0) 1992
{6. Roscoe Bartlett (R)}* 57% 66% 54% 38% (-11, down 2) 1992
7. Elijah Cummings (D)* 83% 81% - 81% (+32, down 3) 1996


PREDICTION: Comfortable Win (2: 1R, 1D)
  1996: 1994: 1992: Clinton: First:
5. Steny Hoyer (D)* 57% 59% 53% 51% (+2, 0) 1981
8. Connie Morella (R)* 61% 70% 73% 57% (+8, down 2) 1986

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