MASSACHUSETTS

(10 seats: 10D / Clinton 1996: 61%, +12, up 7)

Democrats surged more in Massachusetts than in any other state. Democratic performance rose in nine of ten districts by at least 7% -- comparable rises took place in only 14 other districts in the nation. The two Republican House incumbents lost, and based on presidential results, no Democrat should face a close contest in 1998. John Olver's relatively poor performance and John Tierney's plurality win indicate reason for some caution, however.
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PREDICTION: Uncontested Win (3: 3D)
  1996: 1994: 1992: Clinton: First:
2. Richard Neal (D)* 72% 59% 53% 61% (+12, up 9) 1988
4. Barney Frank (D)* 72% 100% (U) 68% 64% (+15, up 7) 1980
9. Joe Moakley (D)* 72% 70% 69% 64% (+15, up 10) 1972

 

PREDICTION: Landslide Win (3: 3D)
  1996: 1994: 1992: Clinton: First:
5. Martin Meehan (D)* 99% (U) 70% 52% 58% (+9, up 10) 1992
7. Edward Markey (D)* 70% 64% 62% 64% (+15, up 8) 1976
8. Open [Joseph Kennedy (D)]* [84%] [99% (U)] [83% (U)] 74% (+25, 0) [1986]


PREDICTION: Comfortable Win (2: 2D)
  1996: 1994: 1992: Clinton: First:
3. Jim McGovern (D) 53% - - 60% (+11, up 8) 1996
10. Bill Delahunt (D) 54% (C) - - 56% (+7, up 8) 1996


PREDICTION: Win (2: 2D)
  1996: 1994: 1992: Clinton: First:
1. John Olver (D)* 53% 99% (U) 52% 61% (+12, up 7) 1991
6. John Tierney (D) 48% - - 59% (+10, up 9) 1996

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