Louisiana bucked the general southern trend in holding firm in its
relative Democratic presidential performance. If sustained, Democrats have a real chance
of reversing Republicans' 5-2 edge in House seats, as three Republicans represent
Democratic-leaning districts and a fourth is competitive. The problem for Democrats is
that 45 of 61 elections were won by at least 40% in the 1982-1996 period. NOTE: Several
House districts were changed between 1994 and 1996; Jim McCrery represented a very
different District 5 before 1996.
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| PREDICTION: Landslide Win (2: 1R, 1D) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
| {1. Bob Livingston (R)}* | 100% (U) | 81% | 73% | 37% (-12, up 1) | 1974 |
| 2. William Jefferson (D)* | 100% (U) | 75% | 73% | 78% (+29, up 3) | 1990 |
| PREDICTION: Comfortable Win (5: 4R, 1D) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
| 3. Billy Tauzin (R)* | 100% (U) | 76% | 82% | 53% (+4, up 2) | 1980 |
| 4. Jim McCrery (R)* | 71% | 80% | 63% | 52% (+3, up 9) | 1988 |
| 5. John Cooksey (R) | 58% | - | - | 47% (-2, down 26) | 1996 |
| 6. Richard Baker (R)* | 69% | 81% | 51% | 50% (+1, up 9) | 1986 |
| 7. Chris John (D) | 53% | - | - | 52% (+3, down 1) | 1996 |
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