Democrats face at least temporary extinction in Kentucky in 1998 --
with a good chance that the open U.S. Senate seat and Scott Baesler's open House seat will
go to Republicans. The key test may be whether Anne Northup can win re-election in a
district that trended Republican in 1996, but remains one a Democrat should win -- Northup
is the only 1st-year Republican to win in a district where Clinton ran ahead of his
national average.
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| PREDICTION: Landslide Win (2: 2R) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
| 2. Ron Lewis (R)* | 58% | 60% | - | 41% (-8, down 6) | 1994 |
| 5. Harold Rogers (R)* | 100% (U) | 79% | 55% | 47% (-2, down 7) | 1980 |
| PREDICTION: Comfortable Win (1: 1R) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
| 4. OPEN [Safe R- Bunning (R)] | [68%] | [74%] | [62%] | 41% (-8, down 4) | [1986] |
| PREDICTION: Vulnerable (1: 1R) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
| 1. Edward Whitfield (R)* | 54% | 51% | - | 47% (-2, down 7) | 1994 |
| PREDICTION: Underdog (2: 1R, 1D) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
| 3. Anne Northup (R) | 50% | - | - | 53% (+4, down 3) | 1996 |
| 6. OPEN [Scott Baesler (D)] | [56%] | [59%] | [61%] | 46% (-3, down 1) | [1992] |
click here to go to key to explain symbols
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