Illinois

1998 will be an intriguing political year in Illinois. The Senate election should be very competitive, while at least some House districts are volatile. Four untouchable Republicans had their districts become somewhat more competitive, but there was movement toward the Republican side in several swing districts. Four House seats might change hands -- the other 16 districts almost certainly will be won by comfortable margins of at least 10%.
click here to go to key to explain symbols

PREDICTION: Uncontested Win (4: 3R, 1D)
	1996:	1994:	1992:	Clinton:	First:
6. Henry Hyde (R)*	64%	73%	66%	42% (-7, up 3)	1974
7. Danny Davis (D)	83%	-	-	82% (+33, down 2)	1996
10. John Porter (R)*	69%	75%	65%	50% (+1, up 3)	1979
18. Ray LaHood (R)*	59%	60%	-	44% (-5, down 4)	1994

PREDICTION: Landslide Win (9: 3R, 6D)
	1996:	1994:	1992:	Clinton:	First:
1. Bobby Rush (D)*	86%	76%	83%	85% (+36, down 2)	1992
2. Jesse Jackson, Jr. (D)*	94% (U)	1995: 76% (special election)		85% (+36, down 1)	1995
4. Luis Gutierrez (D)*	94% (U)	75%	78%	80% (+31, up 9)	1992
5. Rod Blagojevich (D)	64%	-	-	63% (+14, up 6)	1996
8. Philip Crane (R)*	62%	65%	56%	41% (-8, up 4)	1969
9. OPEN [D. - Yates]	[63%]	[66%]	[68%]	69% (+20, up 2)	[1964]
12. Jerry Costello (D)*	72%	66%	71%	56% (+7, down 4)	1988
14. Dennis Hastert (R)*	64%	76%	67%	41% (-8, up 1)	1986
16. Donald Manzullo (R)*	60%	71%	56%	42% (-7, down 1)	1992

PREDICTION: Comfortable Win (3: 2R, 1D)
	1996:	1994:	1992:	Clinton:	First:
3. William Lipinski (D)*	65%	54%	64%	53% (+4, up 6)	1982
13. Open [Harris Fawell (R)]	[60%]	[73%]	[68%]	41% (-8, up 3)	[1984]
15. Thomas Ewing (R)*	57%	68%	59%	45% (-4, down 4)	1991

PREDICTION: Vulnerable (3: 2R, 1D)
	1996:	1994:	1992:	Clinton:	First:
11. Jerry Weller (R)*	52%	61%	-	51% (+2, up 1)	1994
17. Lane Evans (D)*	52%	55%	60%	51% (+2, down 2)	1982
19. OPEN [G. Poshard (D)]	[67%]	[58%]	[69%]	47% (-2, down 6)	[1988]
20. John Shimkus (R)	50%	-	-	47% (-2, down 5)	1996

ILLINOIS

(20 seats: 10R, 10D / Clinton 1996: 54%, +5, down 1)