Elimination of two black-majority districts because of a Supreme
Court ruling against race-conscious districting did not cause the defeat of the two black
incumbents, but neither did they help white Democratic challengers. The key races in 1998
will be in competitive districts represented by black Democrat Bishop and white
Republicans Chambliss and Norwood. Newt Gingrich ran relatively poorly in 1996 -- despite
not being seriously threatened as reported recklessly in some news coverage -- but
represents one of the nation's most conservative districts. NOTE: Due to the court-ordered
redistricting plan, incumbents in districts 4 and 11 switched districts.
click here to go to key to explain symbols
| PREDICTION: Uncontested Wins (3: 3R) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
| 1. Jack Kingston (R)* | 68% | 77% | 58% | 45% (-4, up 1) | 1992 |
| 3. Mac Collins (R)* | 61% | 66% | 55% | 43% (-6, 0) | 1992 |
| {9. Nathan Deal (R)}* | 66% | 58% | 59% | 35% (-14, up 6) | 1992 |
| PREDICTION: Landslide Wins (3: 2R, 1D) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
| 5. John Lewis (D)* | 100% (U) | 69% | 72% | 74% (+25, 0) | 1986 |
| {6. Newt Gingrich (R)}* | 58% | 64% | 58% | 33% (-16, down 2) | 1978 |
| {11. John Linder (R)}* | 64% | 58% | 51% | 37% (-12, down 10) | 1992 |
| PREDICTION: Comfortable Win (2: 1R, 1D) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
| 4. Cynthia McKinney (D)* | 58% | 66% | 73% | 64% (+15, down 9) | 1992 |
| {7. Bob Barr (R)}* | 58% | 52% | - | 40% (-9, down 4) | 1994 |
| PREDICTION: Vulnerable (3: 2R, 1D) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
| 2. Sanford Bishop (D)* | 54% | 66% | 64% | 49% (0, down 17) | 1992 |
| 8. Saxby Chambliss (R)* | 53% | 63% | - | 47% (-2, up 1) | 1994 |
| 10. Charlie Norwood (R)* | 52% | 65% | - | 48% (-1, up 3) | 1994 |
click here to go to key to explain symbols
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