The fact that Florida has 18 seats with only one major party candidate in 1998 simply underlines Florida's history of non-competitive elections. In 1996, for example, 20 of 23 seats were won by landslide, and 22 won by at least 16%. Yet several districts theoretically became more competitive for Democrats in a state that had been trending Republican. Senior citizens and Latinos likely were the major Democratic movers. Dave Weldon's performance in a strongly Republican district indicates possible problems for him. Although not facing a Republican, Karen Thurman does have a spirited Reform Party challenge in 1998. NOTE: Some House district lines were changed slightly between the 1994 and 1996 elections due to a lawsuit against race-conscious districting. Corrine Brown's new white-majority district remained a strongly Democratic district.
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| PREDICTION: Uncontested Win (18: 12R, 6D) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
| {1. Joe Scarborough (R)}* | 73% | 62% | - | 31% (-18, down 1) | 1994 |
| 2. Allen Boyd (D) | 59% | - | - | 48% (-1, 0) | 1996 |
| {4. Tillie Fowler (R)}* | 100% (U) | 100% (U) | 57% | 37% (-12, up 1) | 1992 |
| 5. Karen Thurman (D)* | 62% | 57% | 49% | 50% (+1, up 2) | 1992 |
| {6. Cliff Stearns (R)}* | 67% | 99% (U) | 65% | 38% (-11, up 1) | 1988 |
| 7. John Mica (R)* | 62% | 73% | 56% | 44% (-5, up 4) | 1992 |
| {9. Michael Bilirakis (R)} | 69% | 100% (U) | 59% | 45% (-4, up 5) | 1982 |
| 10. C. W. (Bill) Young (R)* | 67% | 100% (U) | 57% | 51% (+2, up 5) | 1970 |
| 12. Charles Canady (R)* | 62% | 65% | 52% | 43% (-6, up 3) | 1992 |
| 13. Dan Miller (R)* | 64% | 100% (U) | 58% | 43% (-6, up 2) | 1992 |
| {14. Porter Goss (R)}* | 73% | 100% (U) | 82% (U) | 38% (-11, up 1) | 1988 |
| 16. Mark Foley (R)* | 64% | 58% | - | 47% (-2, up 5) | 1994 |
| 17. Carrie Meek (D)* | 89% | 100% (U) | 100% (U) | 85% (+36, up 5) | 1992 |
| {18. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R)}* | 100% (U) | 100% (U) | 67% | 43% (-6, up 4) | 1989 |
| 19. Robert Wexler (D) | 66% | - | - | 65% (+16, up 5) | 1996 |
| 20. Peter Deutsch (D)* | 65% | 61% | 55% | 59% (+10, up 6) | 1992 |
| 22. Clay Shaw (R)* | 62% | 63% | 52% | 54% (+5, up 3) | 1980 |
| 23. Alcee Hastings (D)* | 74% | 100% (U) | 59% | 75% (+26, up 7) | 1992 |
| PREDICTION: Landslide Win (2: 2R) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
| {8. Bill McCollum (R)}* | 67% | 100% (U) | 69% | 43% (-6, up 5) | 1980 |
| {21. Lincoln Diaz-Balart (R)}* | 100% (U) | 100% (U) | 100% (U) | 45% (-4, up 8) | 1992 |
| PREDICTION: Comfortable Win (2: 2D) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
| 3. Corrine Brown (D)* | 61% | 58% | 59% | 60% (+11, down 3) | 1992 |
| 11. Jim Davis (D) | 58% | - | - | 52% (+3, up 5) | 1996 |
| PREDICTION: Win (1: 1R) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996: | 1994: | 1992: | Clinton: | First: | |
| 15. Dave Weldon (R)* | 51% | 54% | - | 41% (-8, up 4) | 1994 |
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