CONNECTICUT

(6 seats: 2R, 4D / Clinton 1996: 53%, +4, up 5)

Bill Clinton did well in Connecticut, as in the rest of the northeast, . The rise in Democratic performance helps explain the defeat of Republican Gary Franks -- the first incumbent to lose in the state since 1984 -- and the near-defeat of Nancy Johnson. Despite his untouchable status, Christopher Shays could join Johnson in facing tough competition in 1998. Sam Gejdenson's under-performance in his district could indicate problems for him.

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PREDICTION: Landslide Win (1: 1D)
  1996: 1994: 1992: Clinton: First:
3. Rosa DeLauro (D)* 71% 63% 66% 57% (+8, up 6) 1990


PREDICTION: Comfortable Win (1: 1D)
  1996: 1994: 1992: Clinton: First:
1. Open [Barbara Kennelly (D)] [74%] [73%] [67%] 59% (+10, up 3) [1981]


PREDICTION: Win (2: 1R, 1D)
  1996: 1994: 1992: Clinton: First:
2. Sam Gejdenson (D)* 52% 43% 51% 53% (+4, up 4) 1980
4. Christopher Shays (R)* 60% 74% 67% 51% (+2, up 3) 1987


PREDICTION: Vulnerable (2: 1R, 1D)
  1996: 1994: 1992: Clinton: First:
5. Jim Maloney (D) 52% - - 48% (-1, up 7) 1996
6. Nancy Johnson (R)* 50% 64% 70% 50% (+1, up 4) 1982

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