ALABAMA

(7 seats: 5R, 2D / Clinton 1996: 43%, -6, down 4)

The Democratic performance -- as measured by Bill Clinton's percentage relative to his national average -- fell in every Alabama House district, as true through the south. Republicans took over two open seats that grew more conservative. The four "untouchable" representatives almost certainly will repeat their landslide wins in districts that strongly match their party affiliation; the one remaining white Democrat is vulnerable in 1998.

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PREDICTION: Uncontested Win (2: 1R, 1D)
  1996: 1994: 1992: Clinton: First:
{1. Sonny Callahan (R)}* 64% 67% 60% 39%(-10,down 4) 1984
7. Earl Hilliard (D)* 71% 77% 70% 73%(+24,down 2) 1992

 

PREDICTION: Landslide Win (2: 2R)
  1996: 1994: 1992: Clinton: First:
{2. Terry Everett (R)}* 63% 74% 50% 37%(-12,down 4) 1992
{6. Spencer Bachus (R)}* 71% 79% 52% 28%(-21,down 4) 1992


PREDICTION: Win (2: 2R)
  1996: 1994: 1992: Clinton: First:
3. Robert Riley (R) 50% - - 44%(-5,down 4) 1996
4. Robert Aderholt (R) 50% - - 43%(-6,down 7) 1996


PREDICTION: Vulnerable (1: 1D)
  1996 1994 1992 Clinton First:
5. Bud Cramer (D)* 56% 50.5% 66% 43%(-6,down 4) 1990

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