The following is a list of the winners in the 1996 U.S. House elections in California. From left to right, data includes: 1) the district; 2) the winner (grouped by party); 3) presidential vote in the district (Bill Clinton percentage for Democrats and the vote against Clinton for Republicans); 4) difference in percentage points between the House winner's percentage and the presidential vote (Clinton vote for Democrats and anti-Clinton vote for Republicans); 5) candidates' spending relative to major opponent (e.g., "2.3" indicates that a winner spent 2.3 times as much money as the major party opponent, "1.0" indicates the winner spent the same as the opponent and "0.7" indicates that the winner spent 70% as much as the opponent); 6) the winner's percentage in 1994, if applicable; 7) the relative change in the winner's percentage between 1994 and 1996; and 8) the winner's percentage in 1992, if applicable.
Note that most Democrats had their percentage of the vote rise over 1994 and that most Republicans had their vote percentage drop. At the same time, only five Democratic winners won 7% more of the district's vote than Clinton despite often outspending opponents by more than 10 to 1. And only one Republican ran more than 7% ahead of the vote against Clinton in districts despite having similar spending advantages. On average, winning Democrats ran 4.2% ahead of Clinton in their districts, while winning Republicans ran 2.5% ahead of the anti-Clinton vote in their districts. If the Clinton vote is measured against his national average of 49% -- the gauge of relative Democratic performance in the district -- winning Democrats ran on average 3.2% ahead of the expected Democratic performance in their districts and Republicans ran 3.5% ahead of the expected anti-Democratic performance.
| Democrats: Winning Percentage compared to Percentage for Bill Clinton in 1996 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clinton: | 1996: | Difference, Pres.: | Relative Spending: | 1994: | 1994 >1996: | 1992: | |
| 3. Vic Fazio | 45% | 54% | +9 | 3.6 | 50% | +4 | 51% |
| 5. Robert Matsui | 57% | 70% | +13 | 43.4 | 68% | +2 | 69% |
| 6. Lynn Woolsley | 57% | 62% | +5 | 1.9 | 58% | +4 | 65% |
| 7. George Miller | 65% | 72% | +7 | 10.6 | 70% | +2 | 70% |
| 8. Nancy Pelosi | 74% | 84% | +10 | - | 82% | +2 | 83% |
| 9. Ronald Dellums | 75% | 77% | +2 | 12.2 | 72% | +5 | 72% |
| 10. Ellen Tauscher | 48% | 49% | +1 | 1.8 | - | - | - |
| 12. Tom Lantos | 64% | 72% | +8 | 147.2 | 67% | +5 | 69% |
| 13. Pete Stark | 62% | 65% | +3 | 10.5 | 65% | 0 | 60% |
| 14. Anna Eshoo | 58% | 65% | +7 | 1.3 | 61% | +4 | 57% |
| 16. Zoe Lofgren | 61% | 66% | +5 | 2.5 | 65% | +1 | - |
| 17. Sam Farr | 55% | 59% | +4 | 1.2 | 52% | +7 | - |
| 18. Gary Condit | 46% | 66% | +20 | 9.0 | 66% | 0 | 85% |
| 20. Calvin Dooley | 52% | 57% | +5 | 1.3 | 57% | 0 | 65% |
| 22. Walter Capps | 44% | 48% | +4 | 0.7 | - | - | - |
| 24. Brad Sherman | 52% | 49% | -3 | 1.5 | - | - | - |
| 26. Howard Berman | 65% | 66% | +1 | 5.2 | 63% | +3 | 61% |
| 29. Henry Waxman | 66% | 68% | +2 | 2.7 | 68% | 0 | 61% |
| 30. Xavier Becerra | 71% | 72% | +1 | - | 66% | +6 | 58% |
| 31. Matthew Martinez | 65% | 67% | +2 | 2.1 | 59% | +8 | 63% |
| 32. Julian Dixon | 81% | 82% | +1 | - | 78% | +4 | 87% |
| 33. Lucille Roybal-Al. | 80% | 82% | +2 | 23.2 | 81% | +1 | 63% |
| 34. Esteban Torres | 64% | 68% | +4 | 18.6 | 62% | +6 | 61% |
| 35. Maxine Waters | 84% | 86% | +2 | 97.1 | 78% | +8 | 83% |
| 36. Jane Harman | 47% | 53% | +6 | 3.2 | 48% | -1 | 48% |
| 37. Juanita Mill.-McD. | 81% | 85% | +4 | 2.6 | 1995: 78% special election | ||
| 42. George Brown | 53% | 50% | -3 | 1.1 | 51% | -1 | 51% |
| 46. Loretta Sanchez | 49% | 47% | -2 | 1.1 | - | - | - |
| 50. Bob Filner | 60% | 62% | +2 | 9.5 | 57% | +5 | 57% |
| Republicans: Winning Percentage vs. Percentage Against Bill Clinton in 1996 | |||||||
| Ant- Clinton: | 1996: | Difference, Pres.: | Relative Spending: | 1994: | 1994 >1996: | 1992: | |
| 1. Frank Riggs | 52% | 50% | -2 | 1.1 | 53% | -3 | - |
| 2. Wally Herger | 64% | 61% | -3 | 3.3 | 64% | 0 | 65% |
| 4. John Doolittle | 62% | 61% | -1 | 3.0 | 61% | 0 | 50% |
| 11. Richard Pombo | 54% | 59% | +5 | 1.3 | 62% | -3 | 48% |
| 15. Tom Campbell | 47% | 59% | +12 | 8.1 | 1996: 59% special election | ||
| 19. George Radanovich | 60% | 67% | +7 | 95.0 | 57% | +10 | - |
| 21. Bill Thomas | 66% | 66% | 0 | 23.1 | 68% | -2 | 65% |
| 23. Elton Gallegly | 55% | 60% | +5 | 12.0 | 66% | -6 | 54% |
| 25. Buck McKeon | 59% | 62% | +3 | 23.4 | 65% | -3 | 52% |
| 27. James Rogan | 51% | 50% | -1 | 0.7 | - | - | - |
| 28. David Dreier | 55% | 61% | +6 | 7.8 | 67% | -6 | 58% |
| 38. Steve Horn | 47% | 53% | +6 | 0.5 | 58% | -5 | 49% |
| 39. Ed Royce | 59% | 63% | +4 | - | 66% | -3 | 57% |
| 40. Jerry Lewis | 62% | 65% | +3 | 19.8 | 71% | -6 | 63% |
| 41. Jay Kim | 57% | 58% | +1 | - | 62% | -4 | 60% |
| 43. Ken Calvert | 57% | 55% | -2 | 12.8 | 55% | 0 | 47% |
| 44. Sonny Bono | 56% | 58% | +2 | 3.9 | 56% | +2 | - |
| 45. Dana Rohrabacher | 62% | 61% | -1 | 5.3 | 69% | -8 | 55% |
| 47. Christopher Cox | 64% | 66% | +2 | 7.1 | 72% | -6 | 65% |
| 48. Ron Packard | 66% | 66% | 0 | 24.9 | 73% | -7 | 61% |
| 49. Brian Bilbray | 51% | 53% | +2 | 2.5 | 49% | +4 | - |
| 51. Duke Cunningham | 62% | 65% | +3 | 21.3 | 67% | -2 | 56% |
| 52. Duncan Hunter | 59% | 65% | +6 | 15.7 | 64% | +1 | 53% |
Produced in July 1997 by
The Center for Voting and Democracy
(301) 270-4616 P.O. Box 60037 Washington, DC 20039