Ohio

Racial Representation
Of Ohio's voting population of 4,546,767, 11.0% are black and 1.9% are Latino.  Under the current 18-district system, black voters make up the majority of one district's population.  There is currently one black representative from Ohio.  Under the proposed super districting plan, black voters in coalition with other minority and white voters are well-positioned to elect a representative of choice in two super districts.

Political Analysis
George W. Bush won Ohio in the 2000 Presidential election with 50% of the vote over Al Gore's 46%.  The state's overall Democratic partisanship is 47.8%.  Under the current 18-district system, 10 districts can be considered Republican, five can be considered Democratic, and three can be considered competitive.  Under the proposed super districting plan, voters would likely elect seven Republicans, seven Democrats, and four representatives who could come from either party, which is a much better representation of Ohio voters.

 

SUPER DISTRICT A - FIVE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

    % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
Ohio 1 136372 (51.3%) 120927 (44.5%) 8463 (3.2%) 265762 27.4% 1.1%
Ohio 4 158862 (62.1%) 88760 (34.7%) 8244 (3.2%) 255866 5.2% 1.2%
Ohio 5 158037 (59.1%) 99818 (37.4%) 9383 (3.5%) 267238 1.1% 3.8%
Ohio 8 155132 (61.0%) 91744 (36.1%) 7371 (2.9%) 254247 4.4% 1.3%
Ohio 9 100704 (41.4%) 134907 (55.4%) 7894 (3.2%) 243505 13.6% 4.0%
Total   709107 (55.1%) 536156 (41.7%) 41355 (3.2%) 1286618 15.3% 2.6%

Winning Percentage:

16.7%
Voting Rights Analysis: Black voters in coalition with other minority and white voters are well-positioned to elect a candidate of choice.
District Partisanship: 43.3% This super district would likely elect two Democrats and two
Republicans with one swing seat.

 

SUPER DISTRICT B - FIVE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

    % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
Ohio 10 96623 (41.9%) 122219 (53.1%) 11540 (5.0%) 230382 4.2% 5.0%
Ohio 11 38382 (17.7%) 172146 (79.2%) 6706 (3.1%) 217234 55.5% 2.3%
Ohio 13 110812 (43.7%) 133458 (52.6%) 9559 (3.8%) 253829 12.1% 3.5%
Ohio 14 147148 (52.0%) 124582 (44.0%) 11360 (4.0%) 283090 2.5% 1.3%
Ohio 16 141311 (53.4%) 112270 (42.4%) 10908 (4.1%) 264489 4.8% 0.9%
Total   534276 (42.8%) 664675 (53.2%) 50073 (4.0%) 1249024 5.9% 2.3%

Winning Percentage:

16.7%
Voting Rights Analysis: Racial minority voters would likely not be able to control their representation.
District Partisanship: 54.8% This super district would likely elect two Democrats and two
Republicans with one swing seat.

 

SUPER DISTRICT C - FIVE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

    % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
Ohio 6 129689 (48.6%) 125292 (46.9%) 11969 (4.5%) 266950 2.4% 0.8%
Ohio 12 129840 (51.5%) 115083 (45.6%) 7340 (2.9%) 252263 21.7% 1.7%
Ohio 15 117175 (52.2%) 98204 (43.8%) 8931 (4.0%) 224310 7.2% 2.3%
Ohio 17 88184 (35.3%) 150748 (60.4%) 10767 (4.3%) 249699 11.6% 1.6%
Ohio 18 132709 (55.1%) 98328 (40.8%) 9810 (4.1%) 240847 1.9% 0.6%
Total   597597 (48.4%) 587655 (47.6%) 48817 (4.0%) 1234069 13.2% 1.3%

Winning Percentage:

16.7%
Voting Rights Analysis: Black voters in coalition with other minority and white voters are well-positioned to elect a candidate of choice.
District Partisanship: 49.2% This super district would likely elect two Democrats and two
Republicans with one swing seat.

 

SUPER DISTRICT D - THREE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

    % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
Ohio 2 175382 (62.7%) 96027 (34.3%) 8187 (2.9%) 279596 4.7% 1.0%
Ohio 3 130446 (52.3%) 112102 (44.9%) 6874 (2.8%) 249422 16.9% 1.1%
Ohio 7 137548 (55.5%) 102846 (41.5%) 7644 (3.1%) 248038 7.5% 1.1%
Total   443376 (57.1%) 310975 (40.0%) 22705 (2.9%) 777056 8.5% 1.0%

Winning Percentage:

25%
Voting Rights Analysis: Racial minority voters would likely not be able to control their representation.
District Partisanship: 41.6% This super district would likely elect one Democrat and one
Republican with one swing seat.

This proposal is based on the current congressional districts of Ohio.  Because current congressional districts are often the results of gerrymandering, the proposed super district boundaries are not as smooth and nice-looking as they could be in a similar proposal that made use of sub-congressional district data.