North Carolina

Racial Representation
Of North Carolina's voting population of 2,888,263, 20.3% are black and 4.6% are Latino.  Under the current 13-district system, black voters make up the majority in one district.  There are currently two black representatives.  Under the proposed super districting plan, black voters are well-positioned to elect a candidate of choice in Super Districts B and C, and black voters in coalition with other minority and white voters are well-positioned to elect a candidate of choice in Super District A.
Political Analysis
In the 2000 Presidential election, George W. Bush won North Carolina with 56% of the popular vote over Al Gore's 43%.  The state's Democratic district partisanship is 44.8%.  Under the current 13-district system, Democrats can carry the vote in three districts, Republicans can carry the vote in six districts, and four districts can be considered competitive.  Under the proposed super districting plan, voters would likely elect five Democrats, five Republicans, and three candidates who could come from either party.

 

SUPER DISTRICT A - FIVE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

    % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
North Carolina 5 163705 (66.1%) 81704 (33.0%) 2147 (0.9%) 247556 6.7% 3.6%
North Carolina 9 157734 (62.8%) 91353 (36.4%) 2066 (0.8%) 251153 10.3% 3.5%
North Carolina 10 143124 (64.9%) 75592 (34.3%) 1693 (0.8%) 220409 9.2% 3.5%
North Carolina 11 150004 (58.4%) 102321 (39.8%) 4514 (1.8%) 256839 4.6% 2.6%
North Carolina 12 85950 (42.4%) 115445 (59.6%) 1495 (0.7%) 202890 44.6% 7.1%
Total   700517 (59.4%) 466415 (39.6%) 11915 (1.0%) 1178847 14.0% 3.9%

Winning Percentage:

16.7%
Voting Rights Analysis: Black voters in coalition with other minority and white voters are well-positioned to elect a candidate of choice.
District Partisanship: 41.2% This super district would likely elect two Democrats and two
Republicans with one swing seat.

 

SUPER DISTRICT B - FIVE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

    % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
North Carolina 2 98607 (53.1%) 85552 (46.1%) 1378 (0.7%) 185537 30.1% 7.9%
North Carolina 4 112885 (45.6%) 131532 (53.1%) 3180 (1.3%) 247597 20.6% 5.0%
North Carolina 6 160141 (67.2%) 76315 (32.0%) 1727 (0.7%) 238183 8.6% 3.9%
North Carolina 8 105484 (53.6%) 89672 (45.6%) 1568 (0.8%) 196724 26.6% 6.6%
North Carolina 13 113600 (49.6%) 112953 (49.3%) 2429 (1.1%) 228982 26.9% 6.0%
Total   590717 (53.8%) 496024 (45.2%) 10282 (0.9%) 1097023 22.0% 5.7%

Winning Percentage:

16.7%
Voting Rights Analysis: Black voters are well-positioned to elect a candidate of choice.
District Partisanship: 46.8% This super district would likely elect two Democrats and two
Republicans with one swing seat.

 

SUPER DISTRICT C - THREE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

    % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
North Carolina 1 82204 (42.4%) 111558 (57.6%) - - 193762 50.5% 3.1%
North Carolina 3 134471 (64.3%) 73035 (34.9%) 1589 (0.8%) 209095 16.6% 4.4%
North Carolina 7 108091 (51.6%) 100025 (47.7%) 1420 (0.7%) 209536 23.1% 3.9%
Total   324766 (53.0%) 284618 (46.5%) 3009 (0.5%) 612393 29.6% 3.8%

Winning Percentage:

25%
Voting Rights Analysis: Black voters are well-positioned to elect a candidate of choice.
District Partisanship: 48.1% This super district would likely elect one Democrat and one
Republican with one swing seat.

 

This proposal is based on the current congressional districts of North Carolina.  Because current congressional districts are often the results of gerrymandering, the proposed super district boundaries are not as smooth and nice-looking as they could be in a similar proposal that made use of sub-congressional district data.