New York

Racial Representation
Of New York's voting population of 6,719,609, 14.5% are black and 12.4% are Latino.  Under the current 29-district system, blacks make up the majority of three districts and Latinos make up the majority of one.  There are currently four black and two Latino representatives.  Under the proposed super districting plan, black voters are well-positioned to elect three candidates of choice.  Latino voters are well-positioned to elect one candidate of choice.  Black voters in coalition with other minority and white voters are well-positioned to elect a candidate of choice.  Latino voters in Super District D and minority voters in Super District A supporting a candidate with crossover appeal could elect a candidate of choice in coalition with other minority and white voters.  Even though Latinos are above the victory threshold in Super District B they would likely need crossover support to elect a candidate of choice.		 Political Analysis
In the 2000 Presidential Election, Al Gore won New York with 60% of the popular vote over George W. Bush's 35%.  The state's overall Democratic partisanship is 61.2%.  Despite making up nearly two-fifths of New York's voters, however, Republicans can only carry the vote in three districts, and are competitive in only five.  Under the proposed super districting plan, voters would likely elect 16 Democrats, seven Republicans, and five representatives who could come from either party.

 

SUPER DISTRICT A - FIVE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

     % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
New York 1 116308 (43.6%) 139490 (52.3%) 10705 (4.0%) 266503 4.0% 7.5%
New York 2 100708 (39.4%) 146723 (57.4%) 8165 (3.2%) 255596 9.8% 13.9%
New York 3 127869 (44.4%) 150165 (52.1%) 10251 (3.6%) 288285 2.1% 6.9%
New York 4 99263 (37.6%) 156276 (59.2%) 8612 (3.3%) 264151 17.6% 13.6%
New York 5 56027 (29.6%) 127288 (67.1%) 6256 (3.3%) 189571 5.1% 23.5%
Total   500175 (39.6%) 719942 (57.0%) 43989 (3.5%) 1264106 7.7% 12.3%

Winning Percentage:

16.7%
Voting Rights Analysis: Minority voters supporting a candidate with crossover appeal could elect a candidate of choice in coalition with white voters.
District Partisanship: 58.6% This super district would likely elect three Democrats and one
Republican with one swing seat.

 

SUPER DISTRICT B - FIVE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

     % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
New York 6 17632 (10.5%) 145684 (86.6%) 4874 (2.9%) 168190 52.1% 16.9%
New York 9 54699 (29.5%) 123763 (66.9%) 6649 (3.6%) 185111 4.0% 13.6%
New York 10 13058 (7.7%) 149018 (87.6%) 8029 (4.7%) 170105 60.2% 17.2%
New York 12 19604 (14.7%) 102465 (76.8%) 11268 (8.5%) 133337 8.8% 48.5%
New York 13 85119 (44.2%) 101079 (52.4%) 6538 (3.4%) 192736 6.3% 11.0%
Total   190112 (22.4%) 622009 (73.2%) 37358 (4.4%) 849479 37.7% 19.5%

Winning Percentage:

16.7%
Voting Rights Analysis: Black voters are well-positioned to elect a candidate of choice.  Even though Latinos are above the victory threshold they would likely need crossover support to elect a candidate of choice.
District Partisanship: 74.8% This super district would likely elect four Democrats and one
Republican.

 

SUPER DISTRICT C - FIVE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

     % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
New York 8 39280 (17.9%) 162240 (73.8%) 18448 (8.4%) 219968 5.4% 11.7%
New York 11 15652 (8.6%) 149740 (82.6%) 15828 (8.7%) 181220 58.5% 12.1%
New York 14 56055 (23.2%) 168842 (69.8%) 16908 (7.0%) 241805 4.8% 14.0%
New York 15 12430 (6.5%) 165002 (86.5%) 13292 (7.0%) 190724 30.5% 47.9%
New York 16 6634 (5.4%) 112786 (92.4%) 2630 (2.2%) 122050 30.3% 62.8%
Total   130051 (13.6%) 758610 (79.4%) 67106 (7.0%) 955767 23.5% 26.1%

Winning Percentage:

16.7%
Voting Rights Analysis: Black voters are well-positioned to elect a candidate of choice.  Latino voters are well-positioned to elect a candidate of choice.
District Partisanship: 81.0% This super district would likely elect four Democrats and one
Republican.

 

SUPER DISTRICT D - FIVE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

     % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
New York 7 31682 (20.8%) 114365 (75.1%) 6236 (4.1%) 152283 16.5% 39.5%
New York 17 54362 (26.6%) 141525 (69.3%) 8438 (4.1%) 204325 30.4% 20.4%
New York 18 103248 (38.5%) 155700 (58.1%) 9268 (3.5%) 268216 9.5% 16.2%
New York 19 133157 (49.0%) 126785 (46.7%) 11698 (4.3%) 271640 5.0% 7.7%
New York 22 108460 (42.1%) 131421 (51.0%) 17578 (6.8%) 257459 7.7% 7.8%
Total   430909 (37.3%) 669796 (58.0%) 53218 (4.6%) 1153923 12.7% 16.1%

Winning Percentage:

16.7%
Voting Rights Analysis: Black voters in coalition with other minority and white voters are well-positioned to elect a candidate of choice.  Latino voters supporting a candidate with crossover appeal could elect a candidate of choice in coalition with white voters.
District Partisanship: 50.8% This super district would likely elect two Democrats and two
Republicans with one swing seat.

 

SUPER DISTRICT E - THREE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

     % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
New York 20 146792 (50.7%) 127419 (44.0%) 15232 (5.3%) 289443 2.4% 2.2%
New York 21 114979 (39.0%) 165003 (55.9%) 15101 (5.1%) 295083 7.5% 3.2%
New York 23 119472 (48.6%) 115611 (47.1%) 10520 (4.3%) 245603 2.6% 2.1%
Total   381243 (45.9%) 408033 (49.2%) 40853 (4.9%) 830129 4.3% 2.5%

Winning Percentage:

25%
Voting Rights Analysis: No racial minority can control their representation.
District Partisanship: 50.8% This super district would likely elect one Democrat and one
Republican with one swing seat.

 

SUPER DISTRICT F - THREE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

     % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
New York 24 129050 (48.2%) 126021 (47.1%) 12639 (4.7%) 267710 3.3% 2.3%
New York 25 132126 (45.0%) 148623 (50.7%) 12619 (4.3%) 293368 7.1% 2.3%
New York 29 152004 (53.4%) 121596 (42.7%) 11318 (4.0%) 284918 2.7% 1.4%
Total   413180 (48.8%) 396240 (46.8%) 36576 (4.3%) 845996 4.4% 2.0%

Winning Percentage:

25%
Voting Rights Analysis: No racial minority can control their representation.
District Partisanship: 48.4% This super district would likely elect one Democrat and one
Republicans with one swing seat.

 

SUPER DISTRICT G - THREE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

     % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
New York 26 144516 (50.6%) 126693 (44.4%) 14188 (5.0%) 285397 3.0% 1.9%
New York 27 114859 (40.9%) 149840 (53.4%) 16090 (5.7%) 280789 47.0% 4.6%
New York 28 88461 (34.8%) 151402 (59.6%) 14160 (5.6%) 254023 28.7% 5.5%
Total   347836 (42.4%) 427935 (52.2%) 44438 (5.4%) 820209 26.0% 3.9%

Winning Percentage:

25%
Voting Rights Analysis: Black voters are well-positioned to elect a candidate of choice.
District Partisanship: 53.8% This super district would likely elect one Democrat and one
Republican with one swing seat.

 

This proposal is based on the current congressional districts of New York.  Because current congressional districts are often the results of gerrymandering, the proposed super district boundaries are not as smooth and nice-looking as they could be in a similar proposal that made use of sub-congressional district data.