Missouri

Racial Representation

Of Missouri's voting population of 2,348,223, 10.9% are black and 2.1% are Latino. Under the current nine-district system, no racial minority makes up the majority in any district. Under the proposed super districting plan, black voters in two super districts supporting a candidate with crossover appeal could, in coalition with other minority and white voters, elect a candidate of choice.

Political Analysis

In the 2000 Presidential election, George W. Bush won Missouri with 50% of the popular vote, over Al Gore's 47%. The state's overall Democratic partisanship is 48.7%. Despite making up almost half of the voting population, Democrats can elect candidates in only three of the current nine districts. Under the proposed super districting plan, voters would likely elect four Republicans, three Democrats, and two candidates who could come from either party.

SUPER DISTRICT A - THREE SEATS
			2000 Presidential Vote						% Black	% Latino
State	CD	Bush	(%)	Gore	(%)	Other	(%)	Total	Origin	Origin
Missouri	5	91626	(37.0%)	149621	(60.4%)	6625	(2.7%)	247872	24.2%	5.6%
Missouri	6	143954	(53.1%)	119861	(44.2%)	7380	(2.7%)	271195	2.8%	2.4%
Missouri	9	145604	(55.0%)	112239	(42.4%)	7093	(2.7%)	264936	3.9%	1.1%
Total		381184	(48.6%)	381721	(48.7%)	21098	(2.7%)	784003	9.9%	3.0%

Winning Percentage:				25%
Voting Rights Analysis:				Black voters supporting a candidate with crossover appeal could, in coalition with other minority and white voters, elect a candidate of choice.
District Partisanship:				50.3%	This super district would likely elect one Democrat and one
				Republican with one swing seat.

SUPER DISTRICT B - THREE SEATS
			2000 Presidential Vote						% Black	% Latino
State	CD	Bush	(%)	Gore	(%)	Other	(%)	Total	Origin	Origin
Missouri	1	65686	(26.0%)	182323	(72.1%)	5022	(2.0%)	253031	49.7%	1.3%
Missouri	2	179633	(58.6%)	119907	(39.1%)	6744	(2.2%)	306284	2.2%	1.4%
Missouri	3	112460	(43.0%)	140954	(53.9%)	7972	(3.0%)	261386	9.1%	1.8%
Total		357779	(43.6%)	443184	(54.0%)	19738	(2.4%)	820701	19.0%	1.5%

Winning Percentage:				25%
Voting Rights Analysis:				Black voters supporting a candidate with crossover appeal could, in coalition with other minority and white voters, elect a candidate of choice.
District Partisanship:				55.6%	This super district would likely elect one Democrat and one
				Republican with one swing seat.

SUPER DISTRICT C - THREE SEATS
			2000 Presidential Vote						% Black	% Latino
State	CD	Bush	(%)	Gore	(%)	Other	(%)	Total	Origin	Origin
Missouri	4	147694	(58.2%)	100171	(39.5%)	6024	(2.4%)	253889	3.2%	1.9%
Missouri	7	193453	(62.1%)	87663	(35.5%)	6124	(2.5%)	247240	1.2%	2.6%
Missouri	8	143511	(59.2%)	93244	(38.5%)	5635	(2.3%)	242390	4.3%	1.0%
Total		444658	(59.8%)	281078	(37.8%)	17783	(2.4%)	743519	2.9%	1.8%

Winning Percentage:				25%
Voting Rights Analysis:				No racial minority can control their representation.
District Partisanship:				39.4%	This super district would likely elect two Republicans and one
				Democrat.

This proposal is based on the current congressional districts of Missouri. Because current congressional districts are often the results of gerrymandering, the proposed super district boundaries are not as smooth and nice-looking as they could be in a similar proposal that made use of sub-congressional district data.