Florida

Racial Representation
Of Florida's voting population of 5,824,878, 14.9% are Latino and 12.5% are black.  Under the current 25-district system Latinos can carry the vote in three districts and blacks can carry the vote in two districts.  There are currently three black and two Latino representatives.  Under the proposed super districting plan, Latino voters are well-positioned to elect two candidates of choice.  Either black or Latino voters in coalition with white and other racial minority voters could elect a candidate of choice in Super Districts B, C, and D.  Black voters in coalition with Latino and white voters are well-positioned to elect a candidate of choice in Super District E.		 Political Analysis
In the 2000 Presidential election, George W. Bush narrowly won Florida over Al Gore, each of whom took 49% of the popular vote.  Florida's overall Democratic partisanship is roughly 51.6%.  Under the current 25-district system there are seven districts with Democratic partisanships, eight districts with Republican partisanships, and eleven swing districts.  Under the proposed super districting plan, voters would likely elect 12 Democrats and eight Republicans with four swing seats.

SUPER DISTRICT A - FIVE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

     % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
Florida 17 26081 (15.2%) 145341 (84.8%) - - 171422 55.2% 21.2%
Florida 18 109596 (56.8%) 83524 (43.2%) - - 193120 5.7% 62.7%
Florida 20 72553 (31.0%) 161154 (69.0%) - - 233707 7.9% 20.6%
Florida 21 104888 (57.9%) 76322 (42.1%) - - 181210 6.5% 69.7%
Florida 25 88308 (55.1%) 72050 (44.9%) - - 160358 10.0% 62.4%
Total   375345 (48.8%) 393050 (51.2%) - - 768395 7.5% 51.5%
Winning Percentage:

16.7%
Voting Rights Analysis: Latino voters are well-positioned to elect two candidates of choice.
District Partisanship: 52.8% This super district would likely elect three Democrats and two
Republicans.

 

SUPER DISTRICT B - FIVE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

     % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
Florida 14 163750 (61.4%) 103118 (38.6%) - - 266868 5.1% 9.0%
Florida 16 141029 (53.1%) 124752 (46.9%) - - 265781 5.8% 10.1%
Florida 19 71544 (27.2%) 191382 (72.8%) - - 262926 6.1% 12.7%
Florida 22 123302 (47.6%) 135868 (52.4%) - - 259170 3.8% 10.7%
Florida 23 33034 (20.2%) 130518 (79.8%) - - 163552 51.2% 13.7%
Total   368909 (38.8%) 582520 (61.2%) - - 951429 13.1% 11.6%
Winning Percentage:

16.7%
Voting Rights Analysis: Either black or Latino voters in coalition with white and other racial minority voters are well-positioned to elect a candidate of choice.
District Partisanship: 62.8% This super district would likely elect three Democrats and one
Republican with one swing seat.

 

SUPER DISTRICT C - FIVE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

     % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
Florida 10 133004 (49.2%) 137286 (50.8%) - - 270290 3.6% 4.4%
Florida 11 77367 (39.0%) 120926 (61.0%) - - 198293 27.4% 20.0%
Florida 12 121083 (54.8%) 99826 (45.2%) - - 220909 13.0% 12.0%
Florida 13 152725 (54.5%) 127751 (45.5%) - - 280476 4.4% 7.7%
Florida 15 141242 (53.7%) 121611 (46.3%) - - 262853 7.3% 11.3%
Total   492417 (51.2%) 470114 (48.8%) - - 962531 11.9% 12.2%
Winning Percentage:

16.7%
Voting Rights Analysis: Either black or Latino voters in coalition with white and other racial minority voters are well-positioned to elect a candidate of choice.
District Partisanship: 50.4% This super district would likely elect two Democrats and two
Republicans with one swing seat.

 

SUPER DISTRICT D - FIVE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

     % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
Florida 3 59114 (34.9%) 110501 (65.1%) - - 169645 49.3% 8.0%
Florida 6 142489 (58.2%) 102179 (41.8%) - - 244668 11.9% 5.2%
Florida 7 143672 (53.9%) 122818 (46.1%) - - 266490 8.8% 6.9%
Florida 8 119139 (53.7%) 102538 (46.3%) - - 221677 7.2% 17.6%
Florida 24 133531 (53.4%) 116502 (46.6%) - - 250033 6.3% 9.8%
Total   538831 (54.8%) 444037 (45.2%) - - 982868 8.6% 9.6%
Winning Percentage:

16.7%
Voting Rights Analysis: Either black or Latino voters supporting a candidate with crossover appeal could elect a candidate of choice in coalition with white and other racial minority voters.
District Partisanship: 46.8% This super district would likely elect two Democrats and two
Republicans with one swing seat.

 

SUPER DISTRICT E - FIVE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

     % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
Florida 1 173896 (68.9%) 78469 (31.1%) - - 252365 14.0% 3.0%
Florida 2 132275 (52.7%) 118758 (47.3%) - - 251033 22.1% 3.3%
Florida 4 154615 (65.8%) 80227 (34.2%) - - 234842 13.5% 4.2%
Florida 5 147231 (54.1%) 124982 (45.9%) - - 272213 4.5% 5.6%
Florida 9 146735 (54.2%) 124242 (45.8%) - - 270977 3.5% 7.9%
Total   580856 (56.4%) 448209 (43.6%) - - 1029065 10.6% 5.3%
Winning Percentage:

16.7%
Voting Rights Analysis: Black voters in coalition with Latino and white voters are well-positioned to elect a candidate of choice.
District Partisanship: 45.2% This super district would likely elect two Democrats and two
Republicans with one swing seat.

 

This proposal is based on the current congressional districts of Florida.  Because current congressional districts are often the results of gerrymandering, the proposed super district boundaries are not as smooth and nice-looking as they could be in a similar proposal that made use of sub-congressional district data.