California
Racial Representation Of California's voting population of 10,838,032, roughly 28.3% are Latino and 5.9% are black.  Under the current 53-district system, Latino voters make up the majority of voters in seven districts.  There are currently four black and six Latino representatives.  Under the proposed super districting plan, Latino voters are well-positioned to elect a candidate of choice in seven super districts and two in one super district for a total of nine.  Black voters are well-positioned to elect a candidate of choice in one super district.  Latino voters in coalition with other minority and white voters could elect a candidate of choice in three districts.  In Super District K, either black or Latino voters supporting a candidate with crossover appeal could, in coalition with white voters, elect a candidate of choice.
Political Analysis In the 2000 Presidential election, Al Gore won California with 53% of the vote over George Bush's 42%.  California's overall Democratic partisanship is 55.6%.  However, although conservative voters make up nearly 45% of California's population, only about 37% of the districts have Republican-leaning partisanship.  Under the proposed super districting plan, voters would likely elect a total of 28 Democrats, 17 Republicans, and eight candidates who could come from either party, potentially leading to a more accurate representation of California's voting population.

District Partisanship: District partisanship is a measure of the underyling partisanship of the district. It reflects how voters would likely divide if they voted without knowing anything about the candidates except their party label. It is determined for congressional districts by comparing the presidential vote in the district to the national presidential vote. It is presented from a Democratic Party perspective. If Al Gore ran 4% behind his national average, then the district partisanship would be 46%. If he ran 5% ahead of his national average, it would be 55%.

SUPER DISTRICT A - FIVE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

     % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
California 49 114193 (58.6%) 75561 (38.3%) 5217 (2.7%) 194971 5.0% 29.5%
California 50 136311 (53.9%) 107436 (42.5%) 8996 (3.6%) 252743 1.8% 18.8%
California 51 61008 (40.6%) 85561 (56.9%) 3819 (2.5%) 150388 9.4% 53.3%
California 52 143081 (57.3%) 98633 (39.5%) 7833 (3.1%) 249547 3.7% 13.7%
California 53 74526 (37.5%) 114435 (57.5%) 9944 (5.0%) 198905 7.2% 29.4%
Total   529119 (50.6%) 481626 (46.0%) 35809 (3.4%) 1046554 5.0% 26.5%
Winning Percentage:

16.7%
Voting Rights Analysis: Latino voters are well-positioned to elect one candidate of choice.
District Partisanship: 47.6% This super district would likely elect two Democrats and two
Republicans with one swing seat.

SUPER DISTRICT B  - FIVE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

     % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
California 40 119443 (56.4%) 86460 (40.8%) 5886 (%) 211789 2.2% 29.6%
California 44 101897 (53.3%) 84048 (44.0%) 5143 (%) 191088 5.5% 35.0%
46 145729 (54.8%) 110984 (41.7%) 9413 (%) 266126 1.5% 16.9%
California 47 43752 (41.5%) 59515 (56.4%) 2257 (%) 105524 1.4% 65.3%
California 48 156340 (57.8%) 106809 (39.5%) 7421 (%) 270570 1.5% 14.7%
Total   567161 (54.3%) 447816 (42.8%) 30120 (2.9%) 1045097 2.3% 27.1%
Winning Percentage:

16.7
Voting Rights Analysis: Latino voters are well-positioned to elect one candidate of choice.
District Partisanship: 44.4% This super district would likely elect two Democrats and two
Republicans with one swing seat leaning Republican.

SUPER DISTRICT C - FIVE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

     % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
California 33 24214 (13.5%) 148978 (83.1%) 6067 (3.4%) 179259 29.9% 34.6%
California 35 24495 (16.9%) 118450 (81.6%) 2262 (1.6%) 145207 34.1% 47.4%
California 36 88619 (38.7%) 130752 (57.1%) 9423 (4.1%) 228794 4.1% 30.3%
California 37 31832 (21.5%) 112235 (75.9%) 3712 (2.5%) 147779 24.8% 43.2%
California 39 56067 (35.5%) 98478 (62.4%) 3390 (2.1%) 157935 6.1% 61.2%
Total   225227 (26.2%) 608893 (70.9%) 24854 (2.9%) 858974 18.5% 42.0%
Winning Percentage:

16.7%
Voting Rights Analysis: Latino voters are well-positioned to elect one candidate of choice, and in coalition with white and other minority voters could elect a second.  Black voters are well-positioned to elect a candidate of choice.
District Partisanship: 72.5% This super district would likely elect four Democrats and one
Republican.

SUPER DISTRICT D - FIVE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

     % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
California 31 19400 (18.8%) 79560 (77.2%) 4156 (4.0%) 103116 4.2% 70.2%
California 32 45018 (31.2%) 96217 (66.7%) 3057 (2.1%) 144292 2.6% 62.3%
California 34 27384 (25.8%) 76876 (72.4%) 1901 (1.8%) 106161 4.4% 77.2%
California 38 41706 (27.9%) 104612 (70.1%) 2929 (2.0%) 149247 3.6% 70.6%
California 42 139655 (58.9%) 92169 (38.9%) 5157 (2.2%) 236981 2.9% 23.8%
Total   273163 (36.9%) 449434 (60.8%) 17200 (2.3%) 739797 3.4% 54.9%
Winning Percentage:

16.7%
Voting Rights Analysis: Latino voters are well-positioned to elect two candidates of choice.
District Partisanship: 62.4% This super district would likely elect three Democrats and two
Republicans.

SUPER DISTRICT E - FIVE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

     % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
California 24 84637 (33.6%) 155165 (61.5%) 12451 (4.9%) 252253 3.0% 17.5%
California 27 74974 (36.2%) 124880 (60.3%) 7108 (3.4%) 206962 2.4% 17.2%
California 28 57160 (33.3%) 109632 (63.9%) 4832 (2.8%) 171624 3.4% 37.6%
California 29 68717 (33.0%) 124580 (59.9%) 14819 (7.1%) 208116 2.6% 42.9%
California 30 65105 (44.4%) 77908 (53.1%) 3690 (2.5%) 146703 5.6% 41.9%
Total   350593 (35.6%) 592165 (60.1%) 42900 (4.4%) 985658 3.2% 29.9%
Winning Percentage:

16.7%
Voting Rights Analysis: Latino voters are well-positioned to elect one candidate of choice.
District Partisanship: 61.7% This super district would likely elect three Democrats and one
Republican with one swing seat leaning Republican.

SUPER DISTRICT F - FIVE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

     % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
California 25 108627 (55.5%) 81893 (41.9%) 5055 (2.6%) 195575 7.9% 27.1%
California 26 127468 (53.2%) 105023 (43.8%) 7044 (2.9%) 239535 4.4% 24.4%
California 41 114498 (56.3%) 83584 (41.1%) 5116 (2.5%) 203198 5.3% 23.4%
California 43 41272 (34.3%) 76710 (63.8%) 2293 (1.9%) 120275 12.4% 58.3%
California 45 93802 (51.2%) 85427 (46.6%) 4029 (2.2%) 183258 6.3% 38.0%
Total   485667 (51.6%) 432637 (45.9%) 23537 (2.5%) 941841 6.7% 31.7%
Winning Percentage:

16.7
Voting Rights Analysis: Latino voters are well-positioned to elect one candidate of choice.
District Partisanship: 47.5% This super district would likely elect two Democrats and two
Republicans with one swing seat.

SUPER DISTRICT G - FIVE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

     % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
California 19 125465 (57.9%) 84559 (39.0%) 6823 (3.1%) 216847 3.4% 28.2%
California 20 46058 (43.6%) 57790 (54.7%) 1844 (1.7%) 105692 7.2% 63.1%
California 21 107645 (60.5%) 65268 (36.7%) 5120 (2.9%) 178033 2.1% 43.4%
California 22 141156 (64.3%) 73338 (33.4%) 5043 (2.3%) 219537 5.6% 21.0%
California 23 90550 (40.4%) 119795 (53.5%) 13574 (6.1%) 223919 1.9% 41.7%
Total   510874 (54.1%) 400750 (42.5%) 32404 (3.4%) 944028 3.7% 36.5%
Winning Percentage:

16.7%
Voting Rights Analysis: Latino voters are well-positioned to elect one candidate of choice.
District Partisanship: 44.1% This super district would likely elect two Democrats and two
Republicans with one swing seat leaning Republican.

SUPER DISTRICT H - FIVE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

     % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
California 14 84637 (33.6%) 155165 (61.5%) 12451 (4.9%) 252253 3.0% 17.5%
California 15 74974 (36.2%) 124880 (60.3%) 7108 (3.4%) 206962 2.4% 17.2%
California 16 57160 (33.3%) 109632 (63.9%) 4832 (2.8%) 171624 3.4% 37.6%
California 17 68717 (33.0%) 124580 (59.9%) 14819 (7.1%) 208116 2.6% 42.9%
California 18 65105 (44.4%) 77908 (53.1%) 3690 (2.5%) 146703 5.6% 41.9%
Total   350593 (35.6%) 592165 (60.1%) 42900 (4.4%) 985658 3.2% 29.9%
Winning Percentage:

16.7%
Voting Rights Analysis: Latino voters are well-positioned to elect one candidate of choice.
District Partisanship: 61.7% This super district would likely elect three Democrats and one
Republican with one swing seat leaning Republican.

SUPER DISTRICT I - FIVE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

     % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
California 1 98506 (38.8%) 131376 (51.7%) 24220 (9.5%) 254102 1.3% 17.9%
California 2 150196 (61.1%) 81861 (33.3%) 13609 (5.5%) 245666 1.2% 14.0%
California 3 142946 (54.9%) 107690 (41.3%) 9820 (3.8%) 260456 4.3% 10.7%
California 4 172169 (58.9%) 104437 (35.7%) 15633 (5.3%) 292239 1.2% 8.9%
California 5 66011 (34.9%) 113987 (60.2%) 9239 (4.9%) 189237 14.4% 20.8%
Total   629828 (50.7%) 539351 (43.4%) 72521 (5.8%) 1241700 3.9% 13.9%
Winning Percentage:

16.7%
Voting Rights Analysis: Latino voters supporting a candidate with crossover appeal could elect a candidate of choice in coalition with other minority and white voters.
District Partisanship: 45.0% This super district would likely elect two Democrats and two
Republicans with one swing seat leaning Republican.

SUPER DISTRICT J - FIVE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

     % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
California 7 64477 (30.6%) 139421 (66.2%) 6824 (3.2%) 210722 16.8% 21.4%
California 10 109149 (41.3%) 145996 (55.2%) 9273 (3.5%) 264418 5.7% 15.0%
California 11 125876 (52.9%) 106354 (44.7%) 5882 (2.5%) 238112 3.4% 19.7%
California 12 70468 (28.6%) 164490 (66.8%) 11103 (4.5%) 246061 2.5% 15.7%
California 13 55803 (29.6%) 126477 (67.0%) 6472 (3.4%) 188752 6.3% 21.1%
Total   425773 (37.1%) 682738 (59.5%) 39554 (3.4%) 1148065 6.7% 18.3%
Winning Percentage:

16.7%
Voting Rights Analysis: Even though Latino voters are above the victory threshold, to elect a candidate of choice they would likely need support from white and other racial minority voters.
District Partisanship: 61.1% This super district would likely elect three Democrats and two
Republicans

SUPER DISTRICT K - THREE SEATS
     

            2000 Presidential Vote

     % Black % Latino
State CD Bush (%) Gore (%) Other (%) Total Origin Origin
California 6 87082 (30.3%) 178746 (62.2%) 21514 (7.5%) 287342 2.0% 14.5%
California 8 37737 (14.8%) 196878 (77.1%) 20869 (8.2%) 255484 8.6% 15.7%
California 9 31464 (13.4%) 184030 (78.5%) 18868 (8.1%) 234362 26.0% 18.7%
Total   156283 (20.1%) 559654 (72.0%) 61251 (7.9%) 777188 11.4% 16.2%
Winning Percentage:

25%
Voting Rights Analysis: Either black or Latino voters supporting a candidate with crossover appeal could, in coalition with white voters, elect a candidate of choice.
District Partisanship: 73.6% This super district would likely elect two Democrats with one
swing seat.

 

This proposal is based on the current congressional districts of California.  Because current congressional districts are often the results of gerrymandering, the proposed super district boundaries are not as smooth  and nice-looking as they could be in a similar proposal that made use of sub-congressional district data.