Coverage of IRV
Goes Mainstream
Media coverage of electoral reform is
exploding. Here are examples from the Wall
Street Journal and the Minneapolis Star
Tribune.
The Wall Street Journal
Tired
of Recounts? Try Irish Approach to Voting By David Wessel
and James R. Hagerty November 14, 2000
In
the three-way contest for the presidency of Ireland in 1990, Brian
Lenihan got about 44% of the vote, surpassing Mary Robinson with 39%
and Austin Currie with 17%. The winner: Mary Robinson.
Since no candidate had
a majority, Mr. Currie was eliminated, and the votes of those for
whom he was the first choice were distributed among their second
choices. Because most of Mr. Currie's backers had listed Ms.
Robinson as their second choice, she won the second round with 53%,
and became Ireland's first female president.
Enthusiasm in the U.S.
for this 130-year old alternative to conventional pick-one voting is
limited to a small band of zealots, third-party candidates and an
occasional newspaper editorial. But with the U.S. president election
a virtual tie, and the outcome still in doubt a week after Election
Day, alternatives are bound to get a harder look.
"Instant-Runoff
Voting"
"With all this talk,
you can't avoid talk about reforming or eliminating the Electoral
College, and that gives us a huge opening to make it even fairer,"
say Eric Olson, deputy director of Center for Voting and Democracy,
a Takoma Park, Md., group that campaigns for the Irish approach,
which is know, among other terms, as "instant runoff voting."
Variants of the Irish
approach have been used in parliamentary elections in Australia
since 1918, in Malta since 1921 and [in a proportional
representation version of a ranked ballot system] in municipal
elections in Cambridge, Mass., since 1940. London used it to pick
its new mayor. While those places may put the system to use for less
potent jobs than the U.S. presidency, the Irish approach might have
produced a different result in the very close U.S. presidential race
in which George W. Bush and Al Gore each apparently drew 48% of the
popular vote, and others shared 4%.
Here's how instant
runoff voting, also called "preferential voting" or "single
transferable vote," works. In a race with more than two candidates,
voters mark not only their first choice, but their second, third,
fourth choice and so on. If no candidate gets a majority, the losing
candidates' votes are reallocated until one candidate has a
majority. If the U.S. used such a system, votes for Ralph Nader and
Patrick Buchanan (or Ross Perot in the 1992 and 1996 elections)
would have been reallocated to whomever their supporters listed as a
second choice.
Alaska Referendum
in '02
Advocates of instant
runoffs in the U.S. are pushing-with little success, so far-to use
it more widely. Last month in Alaska, instant-runoff backers
submitted 35,000 signatures in an effort to force a referendum on
the issue in 2002. Across the country, backers hope the historic
2000 presidential elections will give them traction that has been
sorely lacking. "I think our campaign opened the door for a national
discussion" of alternative voting systems, Ralph Nader said last
week.
Instant-runoff voting
is more complicated than the U.S. system, dubbed "first past the
post." It tends to strengthen the hand of smaller parties, which
advocates see as a strength and detractors see as a weakness.
But
a Vermont state commission in January 1999 concluded that
instant-runoff voting is "as easy as 1-2-3," and recommended that it
be used for all state-wide voting. "Voters do not need to learn any
of the intricacies of the transfer-tabulation methodology, just as
hardly any citizens understand how the Electoral College works," the
commission said. The proposal has substantial support, but hasn't
been adopted.
Instant runoff voting
has its roots in schemes developed in the 1850s, but in its modern
form was invented by W.R. Ware, a Massachusetts Institute of
Technology professor, around 1870, and was first used in Australia.
Progressive Movement reforms in the U.S. in the early 20th century
persuaded about two dozen U.S. cities to adopt [the proportional
representation version of a ranked-ballot system called choice
voting]. The high-water mark came in 1936, when New York City voters
embraces [choice voting] in a referendum, but it was abandoned in
the 1940s amid fears that it was helping Communists win legislative
seats [because choice voting elects political minorities, unlike
instant runoff voting]. By 1962, only Cambridge was still using
[choice voting].
"With our voting
system you don't have the capacity to have a spoiler," said Joe
Kaplan, assistant director of Cambridge's election commission.
Ann
Arbor, Mich., adopted instant runoff voting in 1975. The first time
it proved decisive, a Democrat was elected by second-choice votes.
Republicans were infuriated, and the system was quickly dropped. "It
was way too complicated to implement. Nobody was sure at the end
whether the one who got the most votes was the one who won. It was
not a success," says Yvonne Clark, interim city clerk.
Minneapolis Star-Tribune
Recent elections
have made instant runoff voting look intriguing By Lori
Sturdevant November 16, 2000
Alan Shilepsky, come
back. I want you to explain "instant runoff voting" one more time.
This time, I promise to listen more closely. When Shilepsky was
running for secretary of state on the Reform ticket in October 1998
and came to call on the Star Tribune, he was revved up about
a new kind of voting.
Instead of marking a
ballot with a line or a colored-in oval or -- Mary Kiffmeyer forbid
-- a punched-out hole, he said people could vote with numbers. They
could mark their ballot with a "1" next to their first choice for an
office, a "2" next to their second choice, and so on. The votes
would be counted according to the number-one choices. But if that
initial count failed to give one candidate more than 50 percent of
the vote, the count would continue with another step. The ballots
for the candidate in last place would be resorted according to their
second-place choices. The sorting would continue until one
candidate's count crossed the 50 percent threshold. Have I got it
right, Alan?
Instant runoff voting
sounded complicated and unnecessary when Shilepsky made it the
centerpiece of his campaign in 1998. Back then -- so long ago, it
seems -- elections were assumed to be two-way affairs, with a little
color provided on the sidelines by the third-party also-rans. If the
sideshow made the winner's vote percentage 49.5 instead of 52.5, who
cared? That was before Shilepsky's ticket-mate Jesse Ventura was
elected Minnesota's governor. It was before Ralph Nader siphoned
enough votes away from Al Gore to -- most likely -- cost him the
presidency. It was before so many thoughtful participants in the
Star Tribune-Twin Cities Public Television Minnesota
Citizens' Forum confided that they sincerely wished for more choices
on the general election ballot -- and for some way to support a
third-party candidate without inadvertently electing a candidate
they abhorred.
In
today's light, instant runoff voting looks intriguing. Granted, it
is more complicated than marking a ballot with a single X. But
presumably, instant runoff voting would allow anyone who did not
care to express a second choice to mark a ballot with a single X --
or 1 -- and call it an election. Other than added complexity,
however, the drawbacks of voting by the numbers are hard to spot
(though they are probably lurking out there, in the land of
unintended consequences).
The
virtues are more obvious. For one, it would give any election winner
the legitimacy of majority support. A governor elected in a replay
of the 1998 election in Minnesota would not have to attempt to
govern from a base of only 37 percent of the state's voters. For
another, it would put to rest the tired contention that a vote for a
third-party candidate is a "wasted vote." No legitimately cast vote
is ever wasted in a democracy. But a third-party vote this year
could assist a Republican or a Democrat whom the voter would rather
not help.
Instant runoff voting
would not let a third-party vote accrue to the benefit of Mr. or Ms.
Undesirable. That might encourage more people to vote for
third-party candidates. Which might encourage more third parties.
Which might make politics more lively and engaging. And more
fractious. (Aha! There's one of those pesky unintended
consequences.) On the other hand, a candidate in a multicandidate
race would know that he or she must get some second-place votes to
win. Appealing only to one's own base wouldn't get the job done. The
need to court the other candidates' supporters should enlarge each
candidate's agenda -- and, blessedly, tone down the attack ads.
Minnesota should not
rush to change the way it votes. But this year's presidential
election is bound to generate great interest in new voting methods
and procedures. That should make the next legislative session a fine
one in which to give instant runoff voting a harder look. |