New York
31 seats: 12R, 19D D 60 
Using our analysis of district partisanship based on presidential results,
Republicans are only projected to win five U.S. House seats � none with more
than 55%. Yet easy incumbent re-elections and big victories are common for
members of both major parties in New York � the majority of House seats were
won by more than 40% in all five elections in each election between 1982 and
1990, and 28 of 31 seats were won by landslide in 1998. Nevertheless, the drop
in Republicans' projected performance � as indicated by Bill Clinton defeating
Bob Dole in every House district in 1996 � did help protect Louise Slaughter,
John LaFalce and Maurice Hinchey from well-financed challenges in 1998. If the
2000 election reinforces these trends � particularly in Rick Lazio's
open seat � Republicans could face major problems in the coming years, perhaps
helping to explain Michael Forbes' decision in 1999 to switch parties. Forbes'
party switch makes him vulnerable, at least in his first run as a Democrat in 2000.
| 1. Michael Forbes (D), 1994 |
Vulnerable |
| |
'98: 64 |
'96: 55 |
'94: 53 |
['92: D 52] |
|
D 52 |
| |
| 2. OPEN [Rick Lazio (R), 1992] |
Vulnerable |
| |
'98: 66 |
'96: 64 |
'94: 68 |
'92: 53 |
|
D 55 |
| |
| 3. Peter King (R),1992 |
Win* |
| |
'98: 64 |
'96: 55 |
'94: 59 |
'92: 50 |
|
D 54 |
| |
| 4. Carolyn McCarthy (D), 1996 |
Win |
| |
'98: 53 |
'96: 57 |
['94: R 50 |
'92: R 50] |
|
D 57 |
| |
| 5. Gary Ackerman (D), 1983 |
Landslide |
| |
'98: 65 |
'96: 64 |
'94: 55 |
'92: 52 |
|
D 61 |
| |
| 6. Gregory Meeks (D), 1998 |
Landslide |
| |
'98: 100 |
['96: D 85 |
'94: D 80 |
'92: D 81] |
|
D 86 |
| |
| 7. Joseph Crowley (D), 1998 |
Landslide |
| |
'98: 69 |
['96: D 71 |
'94: D 87 |
'92: D 57] |
|
D 69 |
| |
| 8. Jerrold Nadler (D), 1992 |
Landslide |
| |
'98: 86 |
'96: 82 |
'94: 82 |
'92: 81 |
 |
D 79 |
| |
| 9. Anthony Weiner (D), 1998 |
Landslide |
| |
'98: 66 |
['96: D 75 |
'94: D 73 |
'92: D 89] |
|
D 67 |
| |
| 10. Ed Towns (D), 1982 |
Landslide |
| |
'98: 92 |
'96: 91 |
'94: 89 |
'92: 96 U |
|
D 91 |
| |
| 11. Major Owens (D), 1982 |
Landslide |
| |
'98: 90 |
'96: 92 |
'94: 89 |
'92: 94 U |
|
D 92 |
| |
| 12. Nydia Velazquez (D), 1992 |
Landslide |
| |
'98: 83 |
'96: 85 |
'94: 92 U |
'92: 77 |
|
D 85 |
| |
| 13. Vito Fossella (R), 1997 |
Comfortable* |
| |
'98: 65
['97: 61 |
'96: R 62 |
'94 R 71 |
'92 R 56] |
|
D 52
|
| |
| 14. Carolyn Maloney (D), 1992 |
Landslide |
| |
'98: 77 |
'96: 72 |
'94: 64 |
'92: 50 |
|
D 71 |
| |
| 15. Charles Rangel (D), 1970 |
Landslide |
| |
'98: 93 |
'96: 91 |
'94: 97 U |
'92: 95 U |
|
D 90 |
| |
| 16. Jose Serrano (D), 1990 |
Landslide |
| |
'98: 95 |
'96: 96 |
'94: 96 U |
'92: 91 U |
|
D 94 |
| |
| 17. Eliot Engel (D), 1988 |
Landslide |
| |
'98: 88 |
'96: 85 |
'94: 78 |
'92: 80 |
|
D 86 |
| |
| 18. Nita Lowey (D), 1988 |
Landslide |
| |
'98: 83 U |
'96: 64 |
'94: 57 |
'92: 56 |
|
D 59 |
| |
| 19. Sue Kelly (R), 1994 |
Win* |
| |
'98: 62 |
'96: 46 |
'94: 52 |
['92: R 60] |
|
R 51 |
| |
| 20. Benjamin Gilman (R), 1972 |
Comfortable* |
| |
'98: 58 |
'96: 57 |
'94: 67 |
'92: 66 |
|
D 55 |
| |
| 21. Michael McNulty (D), 1988 |
Landslide |
| |
'98: 74 |
'96: 66 |
'94: 67 |
'92: 63 |
|
D 58 |
| |
| 22. John Sweeney (R), 1998 |
Win |
| |
'98: 55 |
['96: R 60 |
'94: R 73 |
'92: R 65] |
|
R 54 |
| |
| 23. Sherwood Boehlert (R), 1982 |
Landslide* |
| |
'98: 81 U |
'96: 64 |
'94: 71 |
'92: 64 |
|
R 53 |
| |
| 24. John McHugh (R), 1992 |
Landslide* |
| |
'98: 79 |
'96: 71 |
'94: 79 |
'92: 61 |
R |
50-50 |
| |
| 25. James Walsh (R), 1988 |
Comfortable* |
| |
'98: 69 |
'96: 55 |
'94: 58 |
'92: 56 |
|
D 52 |
| |
| 26. Maurice Hinchey (D), 1992 |
Comfortable* |
| |
'98: 62 |
'96: 55 |
'94: 49 |
'92: 50 |
|
D 52 |
| |
| 27. Thomas Reynolds (R), 1998 |
Comfortable |
| |
'98: 57 |
['96: R 60 |
'94: R 75 |
'92: R 63] |
|
R 55 |
| |
| 28. Louise Slaughter (D), 1986 |
Comfortable |
| |
'98: 65 |
'96: 57 |
'94: 57 |
'92: 55 |
|
D 56 |
| |
| 29. John LaFalce (D), 1974 |
Comfortable* |
| |
'98: 57 |
'96: 62 |
'94: 55 |
'92: 55 |
|
D 52 |
| |
| 30. Jack Quinn (R), 1992 |
Comfortable* |
| |
'98: 68 |
'96: 55 |
'94: 67 |
'92: 52 |
|
D 58 |
| |
| 31. Amo Houghton (R), 1986 |
Landslide |
| |
'98: 68 |
'96: 72 |
'94: 85 U |
'92: 71 |
|
R 55 |
New York's results 1982 to 1998
Facts in Focus for New York 1982 to 1998
|
