New York

31 seats: 12R, 19D     D 60

Using our analysis of district partisanship based on presidential results, Republicans are only projected to win five U.S. House seats none with more than 55%. Yet easy incumbent re-elections and big victories are common for members of both major parties in New York the majority of House seats were won by more than 40% in all five elections in each election between 1982 and 1990, and 28 of 31 seats were won by landslide in 1998. Nevertheless, the drop in Republicans' projected performance as indicated by Bill Clinton defeating Bob Dole in every House district in 1996 did help protect Louise Slaughter, John LaFalce and Maurice Hinchey from well-financed challenges in 1998. If the 2000 election reinforces these trends  particularly in Rick Lazio's open seat Republicans could face major problems in the coming years, perhaps helping to explain Michael Forbes' decision in 1999 to switch parties. Forbes' party switch makes him vulnerable, at least in his first run as a Democrat in 2000.
 
  1. Michael Forbes (D), 1994 Vulnerable
  '98: 64 '96: 55 '94: 53 ['92: D 52] D 52
 
  2. OPEN [Rick Lazio (R), 1992] Vulnerable
  '98: 66 '96: 64 '94: 68 '92: 53 D 55
 
  3. Peter King (R),1992 Win*
  '98: 64 '96: 55 '94: 59 '92: 50 D 54
 
  4. Carolyn McCarthy (D), 1996 Win
  '98: 53 '96: 57 ['94: R 50 '92: R 50]   D 57
 
  5. Gary Ackerman (D), 1983 Landslide
  '98: 65 '96: 64 '94: 55 '92: 52   D 61
 
  6. Gregory Meeks (D), 1998 Landslide
  '98: 100 ['96: D 85 '94: D 80 '92: D 81]  D 86
 
  7. Joseph Crowley (D), 1998 Landslide
  '98: 69 ['96: D 71 '94: D 87 '92: D 57] D 69
 
  8. Jerrold Nadler (D), 1992 Landslide
  '98: 86 '96: 82 '94: 82 '92: 81 D 79
 
  9. Anthony Weiner (D), 1998 Landslide
  '98: 66 ['96: D 75 '94: D 73 '92: D 89]   D 67
 
  10. Ed Towns (D), 1982 Landslide
  '98: 92 '96: 91 '94: 89 '92: 96 U   D 91
 
  11. Major Owens (D), 1982 Landslide
  '98: 90 '96: 92 '94: 89 '92: 94 U   D 92
 
  12. Nydia Velazquez (D), 1992 Landslide
  '98: 83 '96: 85 '94: 92 U '92: 77 D 85
 
  13. Vito Fossella (R), 1997 Comfortable*
  '98: 65  
['97: 61

 
'96: R 62

 
'94 R 71

 '92 R 56]

 
D 52
 
 
  14. Carolyn Maloney (D), 1992 Landslide
  '98: 77 '96: 72 '94: 64 '92: 50 D 71
 
  15. Charles Rangel (D), 1970 Landslide
  '98: 93 '96: 91 '94: 97 U '92: 95 U   D 90
 
  16. Jose Serrano (D), 1990 Landslide
  '98: 95 '96: 96 '94: 96 U '92: 91 U D 94
 
  17. Eliot Engel (D), 1988 Landslide
  '98: 88 '96: 85 '94: 78 '92: 80 D 86
 
  18. Nita Lowey (D), 1988 Landslide
  '98: 83 U '96: 64 '94: 57 '92: 56   D 59
 
  19. Sue Kelly (R), 1994 Win*
  '98: 62 '96: 46 '94: 52 ['92: R 60]   R 51
 
  20. Benjamin Gilman (R), 1972 Comfortable*
  '98: 58 '96: 57 '94: 67 '92: 66 D 55
 
  21. Michael McNulty (D), 1988 Landslide
  '98: 74 '96: 66 '94: 67 '92: 63 D 58
 
  22. John Sweeney (R), 1998 Win
  '98: 55 ['96: R 60 '94: R 73 '92: R 65] R 54
 
  23. Sherwood Boehlert (R), 1982 Landslide*
  '98: 81 U '96: 64 '94: 71 '92: 64 R 53
 
  24. John McHugh (R), 1992 Landslide*
  '98: 79 '96: 71 '94: 79 '92: 61 R 50-50
 
  25. James Walsh (R), 1988 Comfortable*
  '98: 69 '96: 55 '94: 58 '92: 56 D 52
 
  26. Maurice Hinchey (D), 1992 Comfortable*
  '98: 62 '96: 55 '94: 49 '92: 50   D 52
 
  27. Thomas Reynolds (R), 1998 Comfortable
  '98: 57 ['96: R 60 '94: R 75 '92: R 63] R 55
 
  28. Louise Slaughter (D), 1986 Comfortable
  '98: 65 '96: 57 '94: 57 '92: 55 D 56
 
  29. John LaFalce (D), 1974 Comfortable*
  '98: 57 '96: 62 '94: 55 '92: 55 D 52
 
  30. Jack Quinn (R), 1992 Comfortable*
  '98: 68 '96: 55 '94: 67 '92: 52 D 58
 
  31. Amo Houghton (R), 1986 Landslide
  '98: 68 '96: 72 '94: 85 U '92: 71 R 55
 

New York's results 1982 to 1998
Facts in Focus for New York 1982 to 1998
 


 
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