California's entrenched incumbents had a typically easy year
in 1998, especially in the state's many districts drawn to one party's
advantage. A landslide-winning Democrat represents all 19 districts where
Democrats are projected to win with at least 58% of the vote, while a Republican
landslide winner represents all 12 districts where Republicans are projected to
win with at least 58%. The only races in 1998 won by less than 10% were in
districts where neither party was projected to win more than 54%. Incumbent
performance has been very consistent in 1992-1996. Despite surges of support for
most Democratic incumbents, Republicans gained a seat in 1998 because Democrats
held more vulnerable districts coming into the election. Of the three most
vulnerable seats in 2000, two (Tom Campbell's open seat in CA-15 and James
Rogan's seat in CA-27) are held by Republicans. Hilda Solis has been rewarded
for her monumental feat of defeating an incumbent in a primary with a general
election walkover, as she faces no Republican opposition.
1. Mike Thompson (D), 1998 |
Win* |
|
'98: 62 |
['96: R 50 |
'94: R 53 |
'92: D 48] |
|
R 51 |
|
2. Wally Herger (R), 1986 |
Landslide |
|
'98: 62 |
'96: 61 |
'94: 64 |
'92: 65 |
|
R 63 |
|
3. Douglas Ose (R), 1998 |
Win |
|
'98: 52 |
['96: D 54 |
'94: D 50 |
'92: D 51] |
|
R 54 |
|
4. John Doolittle (R), 1990 |
Landslide |
|
'98: 63 |
'96: 61 |
'94: 61 |
'92: 50 |
|
R 61 |
|
5. Robert Matsui (D), 1978 |
Landslide |
|
'98: 72 |
'96: 70 |
'94: 68 |
'92: 69 |
|
D 58 |
|
6. Lynn Woolsey (D), 1992 |
Landslide |
|
'98: 68 |
'96: 62 |
'94: 58 |
'92: 65 |
|
D58 |
|
7. George Miller (D), 1974 |
Landslide |
|
'98: 77 |
'96: 72 |
'94: 70 |
'92: 70 |
|
D 66 |
|
8. Nancy Pelosi (D), 1986 |
Landslide |
|
'98: 86 |
'96: 84 |
'94: 82 |
'92: 83 |
|
D 75 |
|
9. Barbara Lee (D), April 1998 |
Landslide |
|
'98: 83 71 |
['96: D 77 |
'94: D 72 |
'92: D 72] |
|
D 76 |
|
10. Ellen Tauscher (D), 1996 |
Vulnerable |
|
'98: 53 |
'96: 49 |
['94: R 59 |
'92: R 52] |
|
R 51 |
|
11. Richard Pombo (R), 1992 |
Comfortable* |
|
'98: 61 |
'96: 59 L |
'94: 62 |
'92: 48 |
|
R 53 |
|
12. Tom Lantos (D), 1980 |
Landslide |
|
'98: 74 |
'96: 72 |
'94: 67 |
'92: 69 |
|
D 65 |
|
13. Pete Stark (D), 1972 |
Landslide |
|
'98: 71 |
'96: 65 |
'94: 65 |
'92: 60 |
|
D 63 |
|
14. Anna Eshoo (D), 1992 |
Landslide |
|
'98: 69 |
'96: 65 |
'94: 61 |
'92: 57 |
|
D 59 |
|
15. OPEN [Tom Campbell (R), 1995] |
Vulnerable |
|
['98: 60 |
'96: 59 |
'94: D 60 |
'92: D 64] |
|
D 54 |
|
16. Zoe Lofgren (D), 1994 |
Landslide |
|
'98: 73 |
'96: 66 |
'94: 65 |
['92: D 62] |
|
D 62 |
|
17. Sam Farr (D), 1993 |
Comfortable |
|
'98: 65 |
'96: 59 L |
'94: 52 |
['92: D 72] |
|
D 56 |
|
18. Gary Condit (D), 1988 |
Landslide* |
|
'98: 87 U |
'96: 66 |
'94: 66 |
'92: 85 U |
|
R 53 |
|
19. George Radanovich (R), 1994 |
Landslide |
|
'98: 80 U |
'96: 67 |
'94: 57 |
['92: D 47] |
|
R 59 |
|
20. Calvin Dooley (D), 1990 |
Comfortable |
|
'98: 61 |
'96: 57 |
'94: 57 |
'92: 65 |
|
D 53 |
|
21. Bill Thomas (R), 1978 |
Landslide |
|
'98: 79 U |
'96: 66 |
'94: 68 |
'92: 65 |
|
R 65 |
|
22. Lois Capps (D), March 1998 |
Vulnerable |
|
'98: 55 54 |
['96: D 48 |
'94: R 49 |
'92: R 53] |
|
R 55 |
|
23. Elton Gallegly (R), 1986 |
Comfortable |
|
'98: 60 |
'96: 60 |
'94: 66 |
'92: 54 |
|
R 54 |
|
24. Brad Sherman (D), 1996 |
Comfortable* |
|
'98: 57 |
'96: 49 |
['94: D 49 |
'92: D 56] |
|
D 53 |
|
25. Buck McKeon (R), 1992 |
Landslide |
|
'98: 75 U |
'96: 62 |
'94: 65 |
'92: 52 |
|
R 58 |
|
26. Howard Berman (D), 1982 |
Uncontested |
|
'98: 83 U |
'96: 66 |
'94: 63 |
'92: 61 |
|
D 66 |
|
27. James Rogan (R), 1996 |
Vulnerable |
|
'98: 51 |
'96: 50 |
['94: R 53 |
'92: R 50] |
|
50-50 |
|
28. David Dreier (R), 1980 |
Comfortable |
|
'98: 58 |
'96: 61 |
'94: 67 |
'92: 58 |
|
R 54 |
|
29. Henry Waxman (D), 1974 |
Landslide |
|
'98: 74 |
'96: 68 |
'94: 68 |
'92: 61 |
|
D 67 |
|
30. Xavier Becerra (D), 1992 |
Landslide |
|
'98: 81 |
'96: 72 |
'94: 66 |
'92: 58 |
|
D 72 |
|
31. OPEN [Matthew Martinez (D), 1982] |
Uncontested |
|
['98: 71 |
'96: 67 |
'94: 59 |
'92: 63] |
|
D 66 |
|
32. Julian Dixon (D), 1978 |
Landslide |
|
'98: 87 |
'96: 82 |
'94: 78 |
'92: 87 |
|
D 82 |
|
33. Lucille Roybal-Allard (D), 1992 |
Landslide |
|
'98: 87 |
'96: 82 |
'94: 81 |
'92: 63 |
|
D 81 |
|
34. Grace Napolitano (D), 1998 |
Landslide |
|
'98: 68 |
['96: D 68 |
'94: D 62 |
'92 D 61] |
|
D 65 |
|
35. Maxine Waters (D), 1990 |
Landslide |
|
'98: 89 U |
'96: 86 |
'94: 78 |
'92: 83 |
|
D 85 |
|
36. Steve Kuykendall (R), 1998 |
Vulnerable |
|
'98: 49 |
['96: D 53 |
'94: D 48 |
'92 D 48] |
|
R 52 |
|
37. Juanita Mill.-McDonald (D), 1995 |
Landslide |
|
'98: 85 |
'96: 85 |
['94 D 77 |
'92 D 86] |
|
D 82 |
|
38. Steve Horn (R), 1992 |
Vulnerable |
|
'98: 53 |
'96: 53 |
'94: 58 |
'92: 49 |
|
D 54 |
|
39. Ed Royce (R), 1992 |
Landslide |
|
'98: 63 |
'96: 63 |
'94: 66 |
'92: 57 |
|
R 58 |
|
40. Jerry Lewis (R), 1978 |
Uncontested |
|
'98: 65 |
'96: 65 |
'94: 71 |
'92: 63 |
|
R 61 |
|
41. Gary Miller (R), 1998 |
Comfortable |
|
'98: 53 C |
['96: R 58 |
'94: R 62 |
'92 R 60] |
|
R 56 |
|
42. Jim Baca (D), November 1999 |
Win |
|
'99: 52
'98: 55
|
96: 50
|
'94: 51
|
'92: 51
|
|
D 54 |
|
43. Ken Calvert (R), 1992 |
Uncontested |
|
'98: 56 |
'96: 55 |
'94: 55 |
'92: 47 |
|
R 56 |
|
44. Mary Bono (R), April 1998 |
Comfortable |
|
'98: 60 57 |
['96: R 58 |
'94: R 56 |
'92: R 54] |
|
R 55 |
|
45. Dana Rohrabacher (R), 1988 |
Landslide |
|
'98: 58 L |
'96: 61 |
'94: 69 |
'92: 55 |
|
R 61 |
|
46. Loretta Sanchez (D), 1996 |
Vulnerable |
|
'98: 56 |
'96: 47 |
['94: R 57 |
'92: R 50] |
D |
50-50 |
|
47. Christopher Cox (R), 1988 |
Landslide |
|
'98: 68 |
'96: 66 |
'94: 72 |
'92: 65 |
|
R 63 |
|
48. OPEN [on Packard (R), 1982] |
Landslide |
|
['98: 77 U |
'96: 66 |
'94: 73 |
'92: 61] |
|
R 65 |
|
49. Brian Bilbray (R), 1994 |
Vulnerable |
|
'98: 49 |
'96: 53 C |
'94: 49 |
['92: D 51] |
|
50-50 |
|
50. Bob Filner (D), 1992 |
Landslide |
|
'98: 100 |
'96: 62 |
'94: 57 |
'92: 57 |
|
D 61 |
|
51. Duke Cunningham (R), 1990 |
Landslide |
|
'98: 61 |
'96: 65 |
'94: 67 |
'92: 56 |
|
R 61 |
|
52. Duncan Hunter (R), 1980 |
Landslide |
|
'98: 76 U |
'96: 65 |
'94: 64 |
'92: 53 |
|
R 58 |